Projected Income Statement: Heineken N.V.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Heineken N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 16,721 13,625 13,531 15,835 14,651 14,575 16,896 15,668
Change - -18.52% -0.69% 17.03% -7.48% -0.52% 15.92% -7.27%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Heineken N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,501 1,324 1,791 2,434 2,465 2,393 2,492 2,590
Change - -11.79% 35.27% 35.9% 1.27% -2.9% 4.12% 3.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,635 2,857 2,705 1,996 3,038 2,437 2,663 2,905
Change - 74.74% -5.32% -26.21% 52.2% -19.78% 9.29% 9.08%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Heineken N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.46% 23.23% 21.1% 23.6% 18.86% 22.05% 22.35% 22.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.27% 15.59% 15.69% 14.66% 12.55% 15.17% 15.57% 15.85%
EBT Margin (%) 0.8% 19.79% 14.53% 8.32% 5.58% 11.38% 13.04% 13.33%
Net margin (%) -1.03% 15.18% 9.35% 7.6% 2.72% 7.32% 8.55% 8.76%
FCF margin (%) 8.29% 13.05% 9.43% 6.59% 8.45% 8.44% 8.75% 9.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) -801.47% 85.95% 100.86% 86.63% 310.63% 115.3% 102.36% 103.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.59% 4.46% 5.3% 4.89% 5.03% 4.35% 4.5% 4.7%
ROE 7.81% 13.28% 14.53% 13.29% 12.12% 12.97% 13.45% 13.95%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.33x 2.68x 2.23x 2.21x 2.16x 2.29x 2.48x 2.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.23x 4.77x 5x 7.93x 4.82x 5.98x 6.34x 5.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.61% 6.05% 6.24% 8.03% 6.86% 8.29% 8.19% 8.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.89% 26.03% 29.58% 34.02% 36.36% 37.6% 36.63% 35.72%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 91.8% 46.34% 66.21% 121.94% 81.14% 98.21% 93.57% 89.17%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.89 7.26 7.81 7.86 6.35 8.058 8.762 9.275
Change - -33.32% 7.58% 0.64% -19.21% 26.9% 8.73% 5.85%
Dividend per Share 1 0.7 1.24 1.73 1.73 1.86 1.88 2.001 2.144
Change - 77.14% 39.52% 0% 7.51% 1.07% 6.46% 7.13%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.26 30.15 33.97 35.6 39.96 35.97 39.88 43.24
Change - 29.61% 12.67% 4.8% 12.24% -9.99% 10.88% 8.43%
EPS 1 -0.36 5.77 4.65 4.09 1.74 3.756 4.726 5.224
Change - 1,702.78% -19.41% -12.04% -57.46% 115.85% 25.83% 10.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 575,308 575,740 575,595 566,680 560,214 553,111 553,111 553,111
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 19.6x 15.6x
PBR 2.05x 1.85x
EV / Sales 1.92x 1.89x
Yield 2.55% 2.72%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
73.68EUR
Average target price
84.66EUR
Spread / Average Target
+14.90%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HEIA Stock
  4. Financials Heineken N.V.