Projected Income Statement: Hindalco Industries Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Hindalco Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 574,330 390,960 339,590 386,470 425,510 524,904 626,057 590,482
Change - -31.93% -13.14% 13.8% 10.1% 23.36% 19.27% -5.68%
Announcement Date 5/21/21 5/26/22 5/24/23 5/24/24 5/20/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Hindalco Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 55,650 54,260 98,420 157,280 206,490 272,046 320,124 263,032
Change - -2.5% 81.39% 59.8% 31.29% 31.75% 17.67% -17.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 116,670 114,120 93,660 83,280 37,610 -56,939 -40,335 52,626
Change - -2.19% -17.93% -11.08% -54.84% -251.39% 29.16% 230.47%
Announcement Date 5/21/21 5/26/22 5/24/23 5/24/24 5/20/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Hindalco Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.32% 15.41% 10.15% 11.05% 13.34% 12.79% 13.46% 13.52%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.29% 11.88% 6.98% 7.57% 10.03% 9.29% 9.87% 9.81%
EBT Margin (%) 5.99% 10.03% 5.93% 6.49% 9.37% 8.09% 8.74% 8.77%
Net margin (%) 2.64% 7.04% 4.52% 4.7% 6.71% 5.84% 6.38% 6.39%
FCF margin (%) 8.84% 5.85% 4.2% 3.86% 1.58% -2.16% -1.37% 1.68%
FCF / Net Income (%) 334.97% 83.12% 92.76% 82.01% 23.5% -36.96% -21.51% 26.22%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.06% 6.82% 4.51% 4.45% 6.43% 6.55% 7.7% 7.33%
ROE 8.82% 19.46% 11.67% 10.11% 13.92% 12.68% 13.19% 12.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.04x 1.3x 1.5x 1.62x 1.34x 1.56x 1.58x 1.39x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.92x 3.43x 3.63x 4.64x 11.31x -9.22x -15.52x 11.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.22% 2.78% 4.41% 7.28% 8.66% 10.31% 10.89% 8.37%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.45% 18.05% 43.42% 65.88% 64.92% 80.62% 80.91% 61.95%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.7% 47.55% 105.08% 188.86% 549.03% -477.79% -793.66% 499.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 77.43 75.67 86.52 108.4 109.7 100.1 139.1 158.6
Change - -2.27% 14.35% 25.24% 1.23% -8.73% 38.95% 14%
Dividend per Share 1 3 4 3 3.5 5 5.707 5.963 6.249
Change - 33.33% -25% 16.67% 42.86% 14.14% 4.48% 4.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 299.7 352.2 427.1 478.1 557.1 616.9 700.8 789.9
Change - 17.52% 21.25% 11.96% 16.52% 10.73% 13.59% 12.71%
EPS 1 15.65 61.7 45.36 45.65 71.91 70.1 85.67 91.16
Change - 294.25% -26.48% 0.64% 57.52% -2.52% 22.21% 6.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,224,482 2,225,032 2,223,813 2,222,235 2,220,634 2,220,443 2,220,443 2,220,443
Announcement Date 5/21/21 5/26/22 5/24/23 5/24/24 5/20/25 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.9x 12.2x
PBR 1.69x 1.49x
EV / Sales 1.08x 1x
Yield 0.55% 0.57%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
1,043.70INR
Average target price
998.89INR
Spread / Average Target
-4.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 500440 Stock
  4. Financials Hindalco Industries Limited