Financials Holmen AB

Equities

HOLM B

SE0011090018

Paper Products

Market Closed - Nasdaq Stockholm 11:29:46 2024-04-26 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
418.6 SEK -1.37% Intraday chart for Holmen AB +0.58% -1.67%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 46,625 64,702 70,968 67,509 67,704 66,714 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 50,409 68,883 75,069 69,654 69,573 69,121 69,116 67,845
P/E ratio 5.42 x 32.3 x 23.5 x 11.4 x 18.5 x 23 x 20.1 x 18.4 x
Yield - 1.84% 1.73% 1.93% 2% 2.56% 2.9% 3.3%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.75 x 3.96 x 3.64 x 2.82 x 2.97 x 3.02 x 2.93 x 2.84 x
EV / Revenue 2.97 x 4.22 x 3.85 x 2.91 x 3.05 x 3.13 x 3.03 x 2.89 x
EV / EBITDA 14.5 x 18.9 x 14.1 x 8.09 x 11.4 x 13.5 x 12.3 x 11.3 x
EV / FCF 27.8 x 153 x 51.6 x 17.1 x 17 x 26.4 x 24.8 x 21.5 x
FCF Yield 3.59% 0.65% 1.94% 5.86% 5.89% 3.78% 4.04% 4.65%
Price to Book 1.21 x 1.5 x 1.5 x 1.18 x 1.2 x 1.16 x 1.12 x 1.09 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 161,926 161,926 161,926 162,002 159,222 159,222 - -
Reference price 2 285.2 393.6 434.7 413.9 425.7 418.6 418.6 418.6
Announcement Date 1/30/20 2/5/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 16,959 16,327 19,479 23,952 22,795 22,077 22,796 23,511
EBITDA 1 3,486 3,651 5,322 8,607 6,114 5,120 5,634 6,010
EBIT 1 2,345 2,479 4,061 7,262 4,755 3,749 4,272 4,631
Operating Margin 13.83% 15.18% 20.85% 30.32% 20.86% 16.98% 18.74% 19.7%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 11,081 2,437 3,691 7,441 4,705 3,688 4,228 4,596
Net income 1 8,731 1,979 3,004 5,874 3,697 2,901 3,331 3,619
Net margin 51.48% 12.12% 15.42% 24.52% 16.22% 13.14% 14.61% 15.39%
EPS 2 52.60 12.20 18.50 36.30 23.00 18.21 20.84 22.72
Free Cash Flow 1 1,812 451 1,454 4,083 4,099 2,615 2,789 3,154
FCF margin 10.68% 2.76% 7.46% 17.05% 17.98% 11.84% 12.23% 13.41%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 51.98% 12.35% 27.32% 47.44% 67.04% 51.08% 49.5% 52.48%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 20.75% 22.79% 48.4% 69.51% 110.87% 90.15% 83.72% 87.14%
Dividend per Share 2 - 7.250 7.500 8.000 8.500 10.70 12.13 13.82
Announcement Date 1/30/20 2/5/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 4,770 5,750 6,173 5,784 6,245 6,223 5,754 5,418 5,400 5,720 5,507 5,543 5,613 6,276
EBITDA 1 1,500 1,949 2,434 2,258 1,965 2,080 1,471 1,505 1,059 1,300 1,266 1,340 1,384 1,528
EBIT 1 1,185 1,617 2,101 1,921 1,622 1,737 1,138 1,166 714 944 923.7 996.5 1,043 1,183
Operating Margin 24.84% 28.12% 34.04% 33.21% 25.97% 27.91% 19.78% 21.52% 13.22% 16.5% 16.77% 17.98% 18.58% 18.85%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 996 1,844 2,083 1,905 1,608 1,727 1,129 1,148 702 938 899.7 1,012 1,004 1,171
Net income 1 868 1,483 1,642 1,482 1,268 1,371 890 898 538 744 715.6 771.1 808.8 925
Net margin 18.2% 25.79% 26.6% 25.62% 20.3% 22.03% 15.47% 16.57% 9.96% 13.01% 12.99% 13.91% 14.41% 14.74%
EPS 2 5.400 9.200 10.10 9.100 7.800 8.500 5.500 5.600 3.400 4.700 4.565 4.771 5.002 -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 1/28/22 4/28/22 8/19/22 10/20/22 1/31/23 4/28/23 8/17/23 10/25/23 1/31/24 4/26/24 - - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 3,784 4,181 4,101 2,145 1,869 2,407 2,402 1,131
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.085 x 1.145 x 0.7706 x 0.2492 x 0.3057 x 0.4701 x 0.4263 x 0.1882 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,812 451 1,454 4,083 4,099 2,615 2,789 3,154
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 7.8% 4.8% 7% 11% 7% 5.08% 5.75% 6.14%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 3.72% 3.25% 4.6% 7.82% 4.59% 3.6% 4.15% 4.8%
Assets 1 234,875 60,941 65,321 75,115 80,577 80,571 80,285 75,403
Book Value Per Share 2 237.0 262.0 289.0 352.0 354.0 361.0 373.0 385.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 17.40 15.10 19.90 33.90 36.10 27.40 28.50 29.20
Capex 1 1,072 2,006 1,775 1,401 1,706 2,138 2,016 1,700
Capex / Sales 6.32% 12.29% 9.11% 5.85% 7.48% 9.68% 8.84% 7.23%
Announcement Date 1/30/20 2/5/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
418.6 SEK
Average target price
416.8 SEK
Spread / Average Target
-0.43%
Consensus