Projected Income Statement: Home Product Center

Forecast Balance Sheet: Home Product Center

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 10,097 13,924 15,913 18,163 18,036 16,703 17,695 17,772
Change - 37.9% 14.28% 14.14% -0.7% -7.39% 5.94% 0.44%
Announcement Date 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/21/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Home Product Center

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,044 1,618 5,596 5,247 3,769 5,697 4,874 4,762
Change - -20.84% 245.89% -6.23% -28.18% 51.16% -14.43% -2.31%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,319 6,208 4,443 4,548 6,385 5,857 6,560 6,998
Change - -1.77% -28.43% 2.37% 40.38% -8.27% 12.02% 6.67%
Announcement Date 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/21/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Home Product Center

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.82% 16.92% 17.27% 17.49% 18% 17.36% 17.61% 17.62%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.37% 11.63% 12.43% 12.47% 12.79% 11.98% 12.13% 12.31%
EBT Margin (%) 10.61% 10.95% 11.77% 11.68% 11.87% 10.87% 11.19% 11.31%
Net margin (%) 8.83% 8.98% 9.55% 9.43% 9.57% 8.76% 8.94% 9.02%
FCF margin (%) 10.83% 10.25% 6.83% 6.66% 9.4% 8.49% 9.17% 9.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 122.59% 114.1% 71.46% 70.6% 98.17% 96.94% 102.55% 104.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.53% 9.49% 10.05% 9.6% 9.38% 8.9% 9.17% 9.31%
ROE 24.14% 24.48% 26.38% 25.87% 24.26% 22.42% 23% 23.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.03x 1.36x 1.42x 1.52x 1.47x 1.39x 1.41x 1.36x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.6x 2.24x 3.58x 3.99x 2.82x 2.85x 2.7x 2.54x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.5% 2.67% 8.6% 7.68% 5.55% 8.26% 6.82% 6.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.82% 15.78% 49.77% 43.92% 30.81% 47.55% 38.71% 36.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.34% 26.06% 125.95% 115.37% 59.03% 97.27% 74.3% 68.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6359 0.595 0.7567 0.7446 0.772 0.7848 0.8543 0.8736
Change - -6.43% 27.18% -1.6% 3.68% 1.66% 8.85% 2.26%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3 0.32 0.38 0.4 0.49 0.3973 0.4211 0.4374
Change - 6.67% 18.75% 5.26% 22.5% -18.93% 6% 3.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.64 1.741 1.844 1.943 2.038 2.086 2.171 2.281
Change - 6.15% 5.92% 5.41% 4.87% 2.33% 4.1% 5.09%
EPS 1 0.39 0.41 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.4638 0.4888 0.5046
Change - 5.13% 14.63% 4.26% 0% -5.35% 5.39% 3.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,151,198 13,151,198 13,151,198 13,151,198 13,151,198 12,970,998 12,970,998 12,970,998
Announcement Date 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/21/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.6x 12.9x
PBR 3.02x 2.9x
EV / Sales 1.43x 1.39x
Yield 6.31% 6.68%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
6.300THB
Average target price
7.924THB
Spread / Average Target
+25.77%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HMPRO Stock
  4. Financials Home Product Center