Intevac Investor Presentation
Q3 2020 Update
Wendell T. Blonigan | James P. Moniz |
Chief Executive Officer | Chief Financial Officer |
PROPRIETARY | POWERING | INNOVATION. DELIVERING | VALUE. |
Cautionary Disclaimer
During the course of this presentation, we will comment upon future events and may make projections about our future financial performance, including statements related to strategies, our expected sales, product shipments and acceptance, gross margin, operating expense, profit, cash flow, income tax expense, and capital allocation. We will discuss our business strategy, our products, the markets our products address, our position in those markets, expected market acceptance of those products and production capacity. We wish to caution you that these are forward looking statements that are based upon our current expectations, and that actual results could differ materially as a result of various risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the following: inability to develop and deliver new products as planned; inability to accurately forecast the demand for our products and services; the possibility that orders in backlog may be cancelled, delayed or rescheduled; inability to achieve gross margin and expense goals; and other risk factors discussed in documents filed by us with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. We undertake no obligation to update the forward-looking statements made during this presentation.
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_2 | |
Providing Enabling Technology to Important Markets
Intevac is an Essential Business with a Solid Financial Foundation
Photonics | Thin-Film Equipment |
Digital Night | Integrated | Digital Night | Mobility | ||
Night Vision | Vision for | Clean Energy | Cloud | ||
Vision | and the | ||||
for Gen 5 | Individual | & Advanced | Computing | ||
Cameras for | Internet of | ||||
Heads Up | Ground | Semi. Pkg. | and Storage | ||
Aviation | Things | ||||
Displays | Soldier | ||||
Critical Supplier of Digital Vision Systems | Addressing Multiple Large Growth Industries |
Both Photonics and TFE are Essential Businesses Serving the Critical Defense and IT Industries
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_3 | |
Photonics: Intevac's Proprietary Digital Night Vision
Intevac's Digital Night Vision | High-Definition Night |
Technology Enables: | Vision |
- High-DefinitionNight Imagery
- Complete Augmented Reality Capability
- Information Overlay
- Image Enhancement and Transmission
- | Fused Infrared and Low Light Imagery | Analog Point Source |
- | Low-Halo Operation | "Halo" |
Augmented Reality
Overlay
Warfighter View, Image
Enhancement, andFused Night Vision and IR
Transmission
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_4 | |
Beneficiary of Major Contract Award for IVAS Program
- US Army's IVAS: Integrated Visual Augmentation System
- First Dismounted Soldier System that Requires Digital Night Vision
- Body-WornSensors Support Soldier Performance in All-Digital Day/Night System
- Awards for 2 Night Vision Camera Development Programs
- CMOS Development Award is a Low-Cost/Small Form Factor Low Light Level Camera System
- CMOS with Gain Development Award Provides State of the Art Intensified Night Vison Capability
- Both Development Programs Leverage Intevac's ISIE-19 Sensor Currently Under Development
- Significant Program to be Delivered Through 2021
- $31.5 Million Award Includes Development and Camera Module Units
- Over 200,000 Camera Unit Potential Once Fielded to the Dismounted Soldier (100,000 IVAS Systems)
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_5 | |
Photonics: Solid Core Business, Significant Growth Opportunities, No Impact from COVID-19
Aviation Night Vision Cameras | Integrated Night Vision | Ground Soldier Night Vision | |
Apache Helicopter | F-35 HMD | Joint Strike Fighter | Dismounted Ground Soldier |
"IVAS" Digital Night Vision | |||||||||||||||
LIVAR | F-16 Falcon | BAE STRIKER II HMD | Eurofighter | ||||||||||||
Aviation Night Vision >$350M | Integrated Night Vision >$500M | Ground Soldier NV >$500M | |||||||||||||
$2 | |||||||||||||||
$90 | $37 | $69 | $173 | ||||||||||||
$224 | $39 | $372 | |||||||||||||
$428 | |||||||||||||||
Prior 5 Yrs. Revenue (2014-2018) | Current 5-Yr. Period Revenue (2019-2023E) | Revenue Opportunity Beyond 2023 | ||||||
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_6 | |||||||
IVAS Program Potential Can Double 5-Year Revenues
- ~60% of Revenue Over Last 5 Years Driven by Apache and Funded R&D
- Continued Revenue Pipeline Contribution from Avionics Programs over Next 5 Years
- Apache Upgrades and FMS
- LIVAR Program Sustainment and Upgrades
- Growing Joint Strike Fighter Program
- Increased Contribution from BAE/EVA/NAVAIR
- Significant Incremental Revenue Opportunity with IVAS
- Provides Potential to Double Photonics Revenues over Next 5 Year Time Window
- $1B of Long-Range Revenue Opportunity Identified Beyond 2023
- Together Comprising ~$1.4 Billion of Revenue Opportunity
Photonics Revenue Drivers
$350 | |
$300 | |
($M) | $250 |
REVENUE | $200 |
PHOTONICS | $150 |
$100 | |
$50 |
$- | ||
2014-2018 | 2019-2023E | |
Prior 5 Years | Current 5-Yr Period | |
Contract R&D & Other | Apache | LIVAR |
JSF | BAE/EVA/NAVAIR | Ground Forces |
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_7 | |
Thin Film Equipment:
Solid Core Business, Significant Growth Opportunities
- Common Core Technologies:
• | High-Productivity Systems | Adjacent | |
• | Small Substrate Processing | Markets | |
• High Precision Films with Low CoO | MATRIX | ||
Advanced Semi Packaging, | |||
Markets Currently Serving: | Solar PVD and Implant, and Emerging | ||
Markets Offer Additional Growth Potential |
- HDD Media
- Display Cover Panel
• Solar Cell | Display Cover Panel Market |
VERTEX
- Future Markets Include:
- Advanced Packaging
- Protective Coatings
- EMI Shielding
- MRAM
Protective and Decorative Coatings
Large Incremental Revenue Opportunity
Demand for More Robust, More Durable, and
Visually Differentiated Mobile Handsets and Other
Devices
200 Lean
Hard Disk Drive Media Market
Stable, Profitable Business Serving Ongoing Technology and
Future Capacity Needs Supporting the Growth of Cloud-Based
Data Storage
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_8 | |
HDD Media: Growth is Driven by Nearline Storage
Storage Shipped on HDDs in 2024 will Triple from 2019 Levels
Total Industry Exabyte Shipments: HDDs+SSDs
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
34%
CAGR
2019 | 2020E | 2021E | 2022E | 2023E | 2024E | ||||||||||||
Desktop HDD | Mobile HDD | CE HDD | Traditional Enterprise HDD | Nearline HDD | Client SSD | Enterprise SSD | |||||||||||
Source - TrendFocus Aug. 2020 (HDD) and Feb. 2020 (SSD)
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_9 | |
Strong Data Center Demand Drove Record Tie Ratio in Q1
COVID-19 Driving Increased Nearline Spend and >10% Increase in Media Units 1H YoY
Average # of Disks per Drive
5.0 | ||
18% QoQ | ||
Increase in | ||
4.0 | Q1 | |
SSDs | ||
26% YoY | ||
Increase in | ||
2020 | ||
and | ||
3.0 | on HDDs | |
2.0 | Exabytes Shipped | |
1.0 |
-
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
Est. | Est. | Est. | Est. | Est. |
Source -TrendFocus August 2020. Long-Range SSD exabytes from TrendFocus February 2020.
Total Industry Exabyte Shipments vs. Forecasted
Media Units
3,000 | 1,300 | |||
1,200 | ||||
2,500 | Additional | 1,100 | ||
Capacity | ||||
~80% | ||||
Required | 1,000 | |||
Capacity | ||||
by Q4 | 900 | |||
2,000 | ||||
800 | Units | |||
700 | ||||
Media | ||||
1,500 | 600 | |||
HDD | ||||
500 | ||||
1,000 | 400 | |||
300 | ||||
500 | 200 | |||
100 | ||||
- | - | |||
2019 | 2020E | 2021E | 2022E | 2023E | 2024E |
Total HDD Exabytes | Total SSD Exabytes | ||||
Media Forecast | Current Media Capacity | ||||
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_10 | |
Potential Upside to HDD Media Business Due to COVID-19
HDD Media Business Expectations
$250
$200
REVENUE ($M) | $150 |
$100 | |
$50 | ~17 Tools in Both Periods |
$- | ||
2014-2018 | 2019-2023E | |
Prior 5 Years | Current 5-Yr Period | |
HDD - 200 Leans | HDD - Upgrades, Spares and Service |
- Expectation to Date: Intevac's Revenues from HDD Media Market in 2019-2023E Time Period at Least Equal To, Or Will Slightly Exceed, Prior 5-Year Period
- 17 Tools Shipped 2014-2018 (No Capacity Added) + Technology Upgrades, Spares and Field Service
- 6 Tools Shipped 2019-2020 YTD (Adding Capacity)
- ~11 (+/-) Systems Expected in 2021-2023 Based on ~8% CAGR Forecast for Media Units; Latest Forecast Raised to 8.5%
- Upside Scenario Based on Secular Shift in Data Center / Nearline Spending
- Each 1% Increase in Media CAGR Adds Need for ~1.5 Additional 200 Leans Per Year
- If Media CAGR Increases to 10-12% Range, Result Could be Upside of 10 to 12 Additional Systems in 2021-2023 Timeframe
- Expect 200 Lean to Participate in All Media Capacity Expansions Addressing Growth in Nearline Drives
- Potential Upside in 200 Lean Shipments 2021-2023 Subject to a Number of Caveats
- Our customers are still running at modest utilization rates; supply constraints exist for substrates
- Current media capacity levels appear to be sufficient for several quarters
- Current forecast for ~17 tools is an estimate subject to risk and potential revision at any time
- Sustained upside in nearline spending will need to be evident by 2H'21 in order to drive upside in tool orders for the next 3 years
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_11 | |
Display Cover Panel: Mobile Device Trends
Breakage reduction | Glass / PET / Ceramic |
but easy to scratch | Backside with decorative |
coatings |
3D contoured front and back Foldable Phones cover - all-glass look
- Market Needs
- Enhanced scratch resistance along with improved breakage performance
- Differentiated and uniquely patterned decorative coatings
- 3D Edge coverage for all coatings
- Scratch protection for plastic display
- High film performance-to-cost ratios
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_12 | |
Display Cover Panel: VERTEX Protective Coatings
- Next-GenerationOptical Diamond-LikeCarbon: DiamondClad™
- Sapphire-likescratch performance at a fraction of the price
- Passes Mohs 7 Scratch Testing vs Mohs 5 for Glass + AF
- >10x improved scratch resistance
- vs Glass + AF
- No scratching under 150 Grit Sandpaper 10N load testing
- Lowest cost anti-scratch solution
Mobile Phones | Auto - |
Tablets | Infotainment |
DiamondClad™
Applications
High-Volume /High-Growth
Markets
Wearables | POS Stations |
# Passes to Scratch
Relative Scratch Protection
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Glass + AF | Glass + oDLC + AF | Glass + | Scratch profile measured after scratching with 150 grit sandpaper under 10N load | ||
DiamondClad + AF | |||||
Stainless Steel Ball @ 7.5N Force - 10 cycles / | min | ||||
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_13 | ||||
Display Cover Panel: VERTEX SpectraTM & MarathonTM
- Versatile Coating Capability
- Ion Beam Assisted Deposition (IBAD):
- Non-ConductiveVacuum Metallization (NCVM)
- Anti-Reflective(AR) Films
- Ion Beam Etching Technology
- Patterning for Decorative Coatings
- DiamondClad™ Protective Coating
- Unique Benefits
- Single system for multiple optical coatings
- Supports multiple substrate types
- Glass, Ceramic, Plastic, Metal
- Ultra Hard NCVM / AR films
- Complex patterning capability
- Industry-leadingscratch protection
- Progress to Date
- VERTEX Spectra currently producing samples at manufacturer for OEM cellphone makers
- 2nd VERTEX evaluation agreement finalized Q1'20
- VERTEX Marathon launched Q4'19 lowers per- volume throughput and large processing areas;
PROPRIETARY
DIAMOND DOG™ Screen Protectors with DiamondClad™
- Market Opportunity:
- Introduce consumer product using DiamondClad coating
- Establish DiamondClad brand, superior performance, and end-user demand
- OEM adoption drives VERTEX Marathon tool demand
- Premium screen protector market size is ~ $300M / year
- DIAMOND DOG vs Competition:
- 3x-6xbetter in scratch and abrasion resistance
- AF coating lasts 4x-6x longer in perspiration and denim testing
- Improved scratch resistance enables 3x improved breakage resistance
- Progress:
- Debut at Showstoppers - CES 2020
www.mydiamonddog.com
PASS
FAIL
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_15 | |
TFE Opportunities in Solar and Advanced Packaging
- Market Drivers for Solar:
- N-typeshare of market is growing to 30% by 2028
- Increased adoption of advanced architectures for higher efficiency
- TOPCon
- IBC
- HJT
- Market Drivers for Fan-Out Panel Level Packaging (FOPLP):
- Advanced consumer products:
- IoT
- 5G
- Automation
- Higher Integration and Lower cost per device verses fan out wafer level packaging (FOWLP)
- Progress to Date:
- Solar: Cell efficiency reaching 23.2% using ENERGi Ion Implant technology
- Key process equipment in production at major solar producer
- FOPLP: MATRIX Evaluation system shipping to Tier 1 OSAT late in 2019
PROPRIETARY
Source: IEEE JOURNAL OF PHOTOVOLTAICS, VOL. 9, NO. 3, MAY 2019
Source: Fan-Out Packaging: Technologies and Market Trends report, Yole Développement (Yole), 2019.
Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_16
New Market Potential Can Double 5 Year Revenues
- Revenue from HDD Media Expected to Equal or Exceed Last 5 Years' Level
- Continued Upgrade Programs Underway for Foreseeable Future
- Capacity Crossover Will Require at Least as Many 200 Leans as Last 5 Years
- Upside Dependent on Near-line Growth Rate and Peak Quarter Capacity Needs
- Significant Incremental Revenue Opportunity with VERTEX and oDLC
- Driving Majority of TFE Revenue Growth, with Just 10-15% Cover Glass Market Penetration
- Significant Upside if Adopted by Multiple Top Handset OEMs
- Emerging Market Opportunities Provide Additional Growth Potential
- Protective / Functional Coatings
- Solar Cell Metallization and Ion Implant
- Fan-OutAdvanced Packaging Metallization
- EMI Component Shielding
- Magnetic Memory Metallization (MRAM)
TFE REVENUE ($M)
TFE Revenue Drivers
$500
$450
$400
$350
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$-
2014-2018 | 2019-2023E |
Prior 5 Years | Current 5-Yr Period |
Emerging Market Opportunities | Solar (MATRIX+ENERGi) |
VERTEX | HDD Media |
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_17 | |
Growth Path to $250M in Annual Revenues
Potential Incremental Revenue Contributions from Each Part of the Business
Revenues in $M
$250
$200
$150
$100
$250M in
Growth Plan to $250M in Annual RevenuesAnnual
$20-$30Revenue
$50-$70
$20-$30 | Photonics |
$45-$80
$15-$20
~$95M*
$50
Photonics
Photonics
TFE
TFE
TFE
$-
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | HDD | VERTEX Solar & | IVAS | Other | $250M in |
Outlook* | Business | Emerging Program Photonics | Annual | ||||||||
TFE | Revenues | ||||||||||
* Outlook as of July 27, 2020 Conference Call, reflecting both TFE and Photonics are relatively balanced 1H to 2H. | Markets | (Target) | |||||||||
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_18 | |
Financial Model with Significant Operating Leverage
2020 | Incremental Margin Model: | ||||||
40%-45% Gross 30%-35% Operating | |||||||
Annual | 2019 | Outlook | $150M | $200M | $250M | ||
Revenue: | $109M | ~$95M* | Model | Model | Model | ||
Gross Margin | 38% | >40% | 35%-39% | 37%-41% | 39%-43% | ||
Operating | 34% | <40% | 27%-28% | 22%-24% | 20%-22% | ||
Expenses | |||||||
Operating Margin | 4% | Positive | 8%-11% | 14%-17% | >18% | ||
- Weathering the COVID-19 Pandemic with Strength and Resiliency
- Strong Revenue Growth in Photonics in 2020 - at Least 25% YoY
- Hard Drive Demand Relatively Resilient in 2020 Given Strong Data Center Demand
- Growth Initiatives Experiencing Delays, Especially in China
- Display Cover Glass Initiatives are in China and Likely Delayed into 2021
- Solar Implant Capacity Expansions Delayed in China As Well
- Advanced Semiconductor Packaging Initiatives Also Delayed by Travel Restrictions
- Outlook as of July 27, 2020 Conference Call, reflecting both TFE and Photonics are relatively balanced 1H to 2H, expected operating expenses and operating profitability.
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_19 | |
Intevac: Solid Foundation, Large Growth Opportunities
Minimal to No COVID-19 Impact on Photonics and HDD; New Growth Markets in China Experiencing Delays
Photonics: | Thin-Film Equipment: |
Strong Base: Entering Ground | Strong Base: Significant Growth |
Soldier Growth Phase | Potential in New Markets |
- On Contract for the Development and Delivery of 'IVAS" Night Vision Cameras
- Major Avionics Programs with Apache and JSF
- Ground Soldier Programs Double Revenue Opportunity over Next Five Years
-
Technology and Market Share Leader in
HDD Media; Strong Demand from Data Center Driving Growth in Media Units - Significant Growth Prospects in
Intevac Value | Display Cover Panel |
• Versatile Platforms Double | |
Op | |
Proposition | Revenue Opportunity over Next |
Five Years |
Solid Financial Foundation
- Growth Strategy Offers Significant Long-Term Growth
- Strong Balance Sheet: Stable Balance of $45M Cash and No Debt
PROPRIETARY | Q3 2020 Investor Presentation_20 | |
PROPRIETARY | POWERING | INNOVATION. DELIVERING | VALUE. | |
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Intevac Inc. published this content on 19 August 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 20 August 2020 08:51:03 UTC