Projected Income Statement: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 13,248 11,315 11,432 12,924 15,044 14,363 12,888 11,244
Change - -14.59% 1.03% 13.05% 16.4% -4.53% -10.27% -12.76%
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 461 423 353 425 563 513.6 552.7 574.5
Change - -8.24% -16.55% 20.4% 32.47% -8.78% 7.61% 3.94%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,995 2,451 2,484 904 1,660 2,297 2,578 2,813
Change - 22.86% 1.35% -63.61% 83.63% 38.36% 12.26% 9.12%
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.77% 31.31% 29.01% 28.65% 29.86% 29.51% 29.88% 30.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.47% 26.97% 25.17% 24.69% 25.89% 25.23% 25.96% 25.98%
EBT Margin (%) 15.09% 22.06% 12.23% 18.61% 12.47% 20.18% 20.91% 22.62%
Net margin (%) 11.4% 16.92% 10.22% 14.72% 9.39% 14.5% 15.46% 16.18%
FCF margin (%) 17.17% 19.33% 17.67% 6.1% 10.81% 13.99% 15% 15.81%
FCF / Net Income (%) 150.57% 114.21% 172.98% 41.45% 115.2% 96.5% 97% 97.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 4% 4.54% 4.68% 4.84% 4.99% 4.82% 5.12% 5.28%
ROE 8.44% 9.34% 9.57% 9.91% 10.55% 11.13% 11.04% 11.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.59x 2.85x 2.8x 3.05x 3.28x 2.97x 2.51x 2.08x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.64x 4.62x 4.6x 14.3x 9.06x 6.25x 5x 4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.97% 3.34% 2.51% 2.87% 3.67% 3.13% 3.21% 3.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.49% 10.65% 8.66% 10.01% 12.28% 10.6% 10.76% 10.64%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.11% 17.26% 14.21% 47.01% 33.92% 22.36% 21.44% 20.42%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.727 2.013 1.986 0.9436 1.622 2.021 2.577 2.88
Change - 16.54% -1.33% -52.49% 71.91% 24.57% 27.51% 11.78%
Dividend per Share 1 0.6 0.7125 0.775 0.83 0.89 0.9274 0.9641 1.013
Change - 18.75% 8.77% 7.1% 7.23% 4.2% 3.96% 5.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.93 17.49 17.59 18.23 17.87 18.94 20.12 21.39
Change - 3.28% 0.58% 3.64% -1.98% 5.97% 6.25% 6.33%
EPS 1 0.93 1.5 1.01 1.55 1.05 1.752 1.948 2.094
Change - 61.29% -32.67% 53.47% -32.26% 66.9% 11.15% 7.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,407,253 1,417,962 1,417,962 1,398,336 1,356,454 1,358,583 1,358,583 1,358,583
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.6x 14.1x
PBR 1.45x 1.36x
EV / Sales 3.14x 2.92x
Yield 3.38% 3.52%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
27.41USD
Average target price
34.43USD
Spread / Average Target
+25.61%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. KDP Stock
  4. Financials Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.