SUMMARY OF THE BUSINESS PLAN FOR 2023 AND ESTIMATE OF THE BUSINESS PERFORMANCE IN 2022 OF LUKA KOPER, D. D., AND LUKA KOPER GROUP

Luka Koper GROUP and Luka Koper, d. d.

1 Forecast of business performance for 2022

Despite difficult circumstances, the Luka Koper Group achieved very good business results in 2022. On the basis of the results achieved in January - August 2022 and harsh economic conditions, mainly related to the continuation of the war in Ukraine and situation in energy markets, reflected mostly in increases of energy prices and high inflation, in September 2022, the Luka Koper drew up the revised 2022 business plan, on the basis of which the comparisons are drawn up hereinafter.

Compared to the previous year, Luka Koper recorded growth of the throughput in all commodities groups. By the end of the year, the maritime throughput should achieve 22.9 million tons, which is 10 percent ahead on the achieved throughput in 2021 and which is at the 2022 planned level. The throughput will be higher in two strategic commodities groups, containers and cars, despite irregular vessels' arrivals, occasional interruptions of supply chains and despite unpredictable developments on global markets. In 2022, the timber containerisation trend continues in the commodity group of general cargoes. The throughput of liquid cargo in 2022 was marked by modest recovery of the jet fuel throughput. Higher throughput of dry bulk cargoes was primarily attributable to the throughput of the road salt and additional quantities of coal. Based on the results achieved in 2022 and forecasts till the end of the year, the Luka Koper Group estimates that net sales of the Luka Koper Group in 2022 amounted to EUR 302.9 million, which was 33 percent or EUR 74.4 million ahead on 2021 and at 2022 planned level. In comparison with 2021, the increase was recorded mostly in storage charges, as result of dwell times in warehouses due to the current global logistics market conditions. With a gradual normalisation of situation, the growth of the above-mentioned revenue is expected to slow down by the end of the year 2022. In addition to the price growth for services, the higher net sales revenue was attributable to the increased volume of throughput of all commodities groups and increased volume of additional services. Earnings before interest and tax EBIT) in 2022 will achieve EUR

70.7 million, which is 125 percent or EUR 39.3 million year-on increase and 1 percent or EUR 1 million ahead on the planned, net profit or loss will achieve EUR 64.9 million, which is 104 percent or EUR 33.1 million ahead on 2021 and 2 percent or EUR 1.4 million ahead on the planned 2022 net profit or loss.

The estimates of business performance for the period until the end of 2022 do not take into account the impacts of management's estimates regarding the valuation of assets and liabilities made at the time of the preparation of the audited financial statements (provisions, impairments).

Estimate of business performance in 2023

Business plan 2023

3

2 Estimate of business performance in 2023

The institutions IMF1, OECD2 and UMAR3 forecast harsh economic conditions for 2023. The Russian invasion in Ukraine destabilised the world economy and led to a severe energy crisis in Europe, which resulted in a sharp rise of the cost of living, from energy to food prices. Since the global growth due to tightened financial conditions in most of the regions, Russian invasion in Ukraine and long-term COVID pandemic has been slowing down, IMF forecasts GDP growth in the amount of EUR 0.5 percent in 2023 for Eurozone, for Slovenia 1.7 percent. UMAR forecasts 3.9 percent inflation rate for Slovenia in 2023, growth in food and services prices will remain relatively high, whereas the energy prices are expected to be lower than in 2022. However, there are significant risks with the latter. In 2023, the economic growth of Slovenia should reach 1.4 percent due to energy risks, expected decrease in foreign demand and lower domestic consumption.

Nevertheless, in 2023, Luka Koper, d. d., and the Luka Koper Group expect the maritime throughput in the amount of 23.3 million tons, which is 2 percent increase in comparison with 2022. The throughput growth is expected in all commodities groups, excluding liquid cargoes, since the throughput of the jet fuel is still low.

In 2023, the maritime container throughput should achieve 1,089,000 container units TEU, which is 5 percent ahead on 2022. Thus, the Port of Koper will hold the leadership among the Adriatic ports.

In 2023, the car transhipment should amount to 760,000 vehicles, which is 1 percent ahead on 2022, since in the current uncertain times, the automotive market has been facing occasional interruptions in supply chains, congestion of vessels' and storage capacities as well as unpredictable socio-political developments in the world.

In 2023, higher net revenue sales from the increased volume of the core throughput and additional services and rising prices, whilst the net revenue from sales will be lower by 4 percent due to lower planned revenue from storage. Higher net revenue from storage charges in 2022 were attributable to longer dwell times of goods in warehouses due to global logistic market situation. In the third quarter of 2022, the latter were slightly lower in comparison with the second quarter of 2022 due to the global logistic market conditions. This trend is expected to continue also in 2023.

In 2023, Luka Koper, d. d., and the Luka Koper Group will achieve 52 resp. 51 percent lower earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) and by 50 percent lower profit or loss as estimated for 2022, mostly from lower net revenue sales, lower revenue from storage and lower other revenue. Higher inflationary pressures will be reflected in the cost growth, but despite that the operating result of Luka Koper, d. d., in 2023 is planned in the amount of EUR 33.4 million, which is comparable to the year 2022, excluding the impact of the revenue from storage.

Luka Koper, d. d., and the Luka Koper have drawn up 2023 investment plan 2023, by which they will pursue the objectives from the strategic plan. Key investment projects in 2023 will be linked to the increase of the Container terminal capacities, construction of additional open storage areas for car transhipment, increase of storage capacities for general cargoes, construction of a new truck terminal and purchase of the equipment. In 2023, the Luka Koper Group will allocate EUR 14.5 million for sustainable development projects, which is EUR 14.5 million, this representing 24.7 percent of total planned investments.

  1. IMF - International Monetary Fund
  2. OECD - Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
  3. UMAR - Institute of Macroeconomic Analysis and Development

3 Key performance indicators of Luka Koper, d. d., and the Luka Koper Group in 2023

Luka Koper, d. d.

Luka Koper Group

ESTIMATE

Index

ESTIMATE

Index

Items

PLAN 2023

2023/

PLAN 2023

2023/

2022

2022

2022

2022

Net sales (in EUR)

Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) (in EUR)4

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) (in EUR)5

Net profit or loss (in EUR)

Added value (in EUR)6

Investment expenditure (in EUR)7

Maritime throughput (in tons)

Number of employees

300,139,543

287,440,777

96

302,861,154

290,071,036

96

69,186,553

33,439,720

48

70,664,110

34,543,649

49

100,001,316

66,283,553

66

102,402,609

68,204,522

67

63,172,805

31,296,435

50

64,853,233

32,312,492

50

196,285,232

171,971,638

88

206,018,136

181,876,073

88

51,371,895

57,390,573

112

52,045,355

58,853,168

113

22,870,331

23,333,878

102

22,870,331

23,333,878

102

1,703

1,754

103

1,867

1,917

103

ESTIMATE

Index

ESTIMATE

Index

Indicators

PLAN 2023

2023/

PLAN 2023

2023/

2022

2022

2022

2022

Return on sales (ROS)8

23.1%

11.6%

50

23.3%

11.9%

51

Return on equity (ROE)9

14.0%

6.7%

48

13.4%

6.4%

48

Return on assets (ROA)10

10.2%

4.7%

46

9.8%

4.6%

47

EBITDA margin11

33.3%

23.1%

69

33.8%

23.5%

70

EBITDA margin from market activity12

34.4%

24.1%

70

34.9%

24.6%

70

Financial liabilities/equity

13.6%

23.4%

172

12.6%

21.7%

171

Net financial debt/EBITDA13

0.2

1.4

700

-0.1

1.0

-

ESTIMATE

PLAN

Index

ESTIMATE

PLAN

Index

Items

2023/

2023/

31.12.2022

31.12.2023

31.12.2022

31.12.2023

2022

2022

Assets (in EUR)

643,700,563

687,353,233

107

682,808,997

726,942,645

106

Equity (in EUR)

468,129,715

471,426,149

101

504,584,204

508,896,695

101

Financial liabilities (in EUR)

63,796,044

110,317,094

173

63,770,629

110,291,679

173

  1. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) = difference between operating income and operating costs.
  2. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) = earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) + depreciation/amortisation.
  3. Added value= net sales + capitalised own products and own services + other revenue - costs of goods, material, services - other operating expenses excluding revaluation operating expenses.
  4. Without taking into account advances paid for the equipment
  5. Return on sales (ROS) = Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) / net sales.
  6. Return on equity (ROE) = net income / shareholder equity.
  7. Return on assets (ROA) = net income / average assets.
  8. EBITDA margin = Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) / net sales.
  9. EBITDA margin from the market activity = Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) / net sales from the market activity.
  10. Net financial debt/EBITDA = (financial liabilities - cash and cash equivalents) / EBITDA.

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Luka Koper dd published this content on 29 November 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 29 November 2022 15:54:01 UTC.