Projected Income Statement: lululemon athletica Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: lululemon athletica Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -1,260 -1,155 -2,244 -1,984 -1,807 -1,898 -2,482 -2,669
Change - 8.33% -94.29% 11.59% 8.92% -5.02% -30.77% -7.53%
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/21/24 3/27/25 3/17/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: lululemon athletica Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 394.5 638.7 651.9 689.2 680.8 685.7 751.5 824.3
Change - 61.89% 2.07% 5.73% -1.22% 0.71% 9.61% 9.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 994.6 327.8 1,644 1,583 921.7 1,042 978.4 637
Change - -67.04% 401.61% -3.7% -41.79% 13.03% -6.08% -34.89%
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/21/24 3/27/25 3/17/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: lululemon athletica Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.56% 25.66% 27.14% 27.88% 24.38% 20.93% 21.35% 21.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.97% 22.06% 23.19% 23.67% 19.91% 16.13% 15.7% 15.92%
EBT Margin (%) 21.32% 16.43% 22.62% 24.33% 20.17% 16.18% 16.16% 16.76%
Net margin (%) 15.59% 10.54% 16.12% 17.14% 14.22% 11.38% 11.33% 12.54%
FCF margin (%) 15.9% 4.04% 17.09% 14.96% 8.3% 9.38% 8.54% 5.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.98% 38.35% 106.07% 87.26% 58.36% 82.41% 75.37% 41.62%

Profitability

        
ROA 21.37% 24.44% 25.55% 24.7% 19.67% 14.78% 14.99% 15.18%
ROE 36.81% 43.78% 43.96% 42.42% 34.01% 24.51% 23.25% 21.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.31% 7.87% 6.78% 6.51% 6.13% 6.17% 6.56% 6.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.67% 30.69% 24.97% 23.35% 25.15% 29.48% 30.72% 31.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 39.66% 194.83% 39.64% 43.53% 73.87% 65.82% 76.81% 129.4%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.66 7.55 18.07 18.34 13.46 14.43 16.47 17.45
Change - -29.19% 139.37% 1.47% -26.61% 7.25% 14.13% 5.94%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 21.12 24.66 33.4 34.89 41.67 46.74 54.15 59.52
Change - 16.81% 35.4% 4.47% 19.44% 12.17% 15.85% 9.92%
EPS 1 7.49 6.68 12.2 14.64 13.26 11.16 11.68 14.08
Change - -10.81% 82.63% 20% -9.43% -15.85% 4.67% 20.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 129,294 127,515 126,191 121,397 117,306 113,554 113,554 113,554
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/21/24 3/27/25 3/17/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E Ratio 10.7x 10.2x
PBR 2.54x 2.2x
EV / Sales 1.04x 0.96x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
33
Last Close Price
118.93USD
Average target price
136.34USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.64%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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