Madrid, October 30, 2020
SPANISH SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Please find attached the documentation to be presented to investors in upcoming meetings.
Ángel L. Dávila Bermejo General Counsel
9M 2020 Results
Analyst & Investor presentation
October 30th, 2020
Key highlights
Insurance units performing well >
- Lower frequency in P&C lines, mainly in Motor, offsetting COVID-19 related losses and a fall in financial results
COVID-19 P&L impacts >
- Largest impact is on the top-line due to confinement measures, lower economic activity, currency depreciation and an unfavorable environment for Life Savings products
- Direct impacts at insurance units, mainly in Burial in Spain, and Life Protection in Brazil and the rest of LATAM
- COVID-19related claims at MAPFRE RE (-€57 mn net impact)
- Travel assistance business, but with main impact in the first quarter of the year
- Savings in operating costs offset COVID-19 related expenses
- Fall in financial income in main markets as a result of yield compression, lower income from dividends and real estate, and a decrease in realized capital gains
COVID-19 balance sheet impacts >
- Extensive review of equity, fixed income and real estate portfolios, intangibles and accounts receivable
- Investments in undeveloped land valuations adapted accordingly in Q2
- Writedown of IT intangibles at MAPFRE USA in Q3 (-€14.6 mn net impact)
NatCat events >
- Various earthquakes in Puerto Rico during H1 (-€65.5 mn net impact)
- Active third quarter regarding NatCat and large man-made losses
Strong capital position > - Solvency ratio proven to be resilient, in a challenging environment
- Ratings recently reaffirmed by main agencies
2
Key Figures > 9M 2020
at constant | |||||||
9M 2020 | exchange | ||||||
rates | |||||||
Revenue | 19,051 | -11.9% | -6.2% | ||||
Total written and accepted premiums | 15,550 | -11.9% | -5.5% | ||||
- Non-Life | 12,439 | -8.3% | -2.6% | ||||
- Life | 3,111 | -23.8% | -15.1% | ||||
Non-Life Combined Ratio - MAPFRE S.A. | 95.2% | -1.1 p.p | |||||
Non-Life Loss Ratio | 66.3% | -1.6 p.p | |||||
Non-Life Expense Ratio | 28.9% | 0.5 p.p | |||||
Non-Life Combined Ratio - Insurance units | 93.0% | -2.9 p.p | |||||
Attributable result | 450.4 | -2.7% | |||||
ROE (1) | 6.9% | -0.4 p.p | |||||
Balance sheet (1) | |||||||
Assets under management | 61,388 | -3.5% | |||||
Shareholders' equity | 8,412 | -5.0% | |||||
6M 2020 | |||||||
Solvency ratio (1) | 183.8% | -3.0 p.p | |||||
(1) Variation calculated against data at December 31st, 2019 | |||||||
Million euros | 3 |
Adjusted attributable result
9M 2019 | 9M 2020 | (mn) | (%) | |
Attributable result | 462.9 | 450.4 | (12.5) | -2.7% |
NatCat claims | (30.0) | (65.5) | (35.5) | |
Direct insurance operations (1) | (25.6) | (25.6) | ||
MAPFRE RE (2) | (30.0) | (39.9) | (9.9) | |
COVID-related claims (MAPFRE RE) | (57.0) | (57.0) | ||
Goodwill writedowns (3) | (65.6) | 65.6 | ||
Attributable result (adjusted for NatCat, COVID-related claims and goodwill writedowns) | 558.5 | 572.9 | 14.4 | 2.6% |
Reorganization of operations (4) | (5.8) | (15.0) | (9.2) | |
Financial Gains & Losses | 62.8 | 11.5 | (51.3) | |
Real estate (5) | 0.9 | (6.8) | (7.7) | |
Financial investments (6) | 61.9 | 18.2 | (43.7) | |
Attributable result (adjusted) | 501.5 | 576.4 | 74.9 | 14.9% |
- Puerto Rican earthquakes in 2020
- Puerto Rican earthquakes in 2020; impact from Typhoon Faxai in 2019
- At MAPFRE ASISTENCIA in 2019 (from entities in the United Kingdom, United States & Canada)
- Provision for restructuring (-€15 mn) in 2020; in 2019, organizational structure re-alignment(-€14.8 mn) and sale of related financial assets (€19.9 mn) at MAPFRE USA, as well as geographic reorganization at MAPFRE ASISTENCIA (-€10.9 mn)
- Mainly sale of real estate at MAPFRE USA (€14 mn) as well as real estate provisions in Spain (-€20.5 mn) in 2020; sale of real estate in the Philippines (€0.9 mn) in 2019
- Financial gains & losses, net of writedowns, in actively managed financial investment portfolios in the euro area (IBERIA & MAPFRE RE)
Million euros | All impacts after tax and non-controlling interests | 4 |
Key figures > by business unit
Premiums - Breakdown by business unit
ASISTENCIA | ||||||||||||||
2.8% | ||||||||||||||
IBERIA | ||||||||||||||
MAPFRE RE | 30.5% | |||||||||||||
24.2% | 18.4% | |||||||||||||
Reinsurance | ||||||||||||||
Global Risks | 5.8% | |||||||||||||
LATAM | ||||||||||||||
INTERNATIONAL | ||||||||||||||
26.7% | ||||||||||||||
15.8% | ||||||||||||||
BRAZIL | 13.6% | |||||||||||||
NORTH AMERICA | 9.4% | |||||||||||||
LATAM NORTH | 6.9% | |||||||||||||
EURASIA | 6.4% | |||||||||||||
LATAM SOUTH | 6.2% | |||||||||||||
Million euros
Attributable result | Premiums | Combined ratio | ROE (2) | ||||||
9M 2020 | mn | % | 9M 2020 | % | 9M 2020 | p.p. | 9M 2020 | p.p. | |
IBERIA | 333.7 | (15.5) | -4.4% | 5,313 | -10.9% | 92.5% | -1.4 p.p | 11.3% | -1.3 p.p |
of which: | |||||||||
MAPFRE ESPAÑA* | 207.1 | (3.2) | -1.5% | 4,110 | 0.9% | 93.2% | -1.4 p.p | 10.0% | -1.2 p.p |
MAPFRE VIDA | 126.6 | (12.7) | -9.1% | 1,204 | -36.3% | -- | -- | 13.2% | -1.4 p.p |
LATAM | 178.9 | 28.4 | 18.9% | 4,667 | -20.4% | 89.1% | -4.3 p.p | 12.9% | 2.3 p.p |
BRAZIL | 81.1 | 10.7 | 15.2% | 2,374 | -23.4% | 86.8% | -4.3 p.p | 12.3% | 2.7 p.p |
LATAM NORTH | 54.7 | 12.8 | 30.5% | 1,205 | -23.3% | 90.3% | -5.6 p.p | 17.0% | 1.8 p.p |
LATAM SOUTH | 43.1 | 4.9 | 12.9% | 1,088 | -8.6% | 93.0% | -4.5 p.p | 10.5% | 0.7 p.p |
INTERNATIONAL | 97.3 | 29.5 | 43.4% | 2,767 | -11.3% | 98.1% | -4.1 p.p | 5.8% | 1.1 p.p |
NORTH AMERICA | 65.9 | 1.3 | 2.0% | 1,644 | -9.6% | 97.7% | -2.0 p.p | 5.7% | -0.4 p.p |
EURASIA | 31.4 | 28.2 | -- | 1,123 | -13.7% | 98.9% | -8.0 p.p | 6.1% | 3.9 p.p |
TOTAL INSURANCE | 609.9 | 42.4 | 7.5% | 12,747 | -14.7% | 93.0% | -2.9 p.p | -- | -- |
Reinsurance | (25.7) | (131.9) | -124.2% | 3,209 | -2.9% | 103.2% | 8.0 p.p | -- | -- |
Global Risks | 5.7 | 9.9 | 238.6% | 1,010 | 30.0% | 98.1% | -13.4 p.p | -- | -- |
ASISTENCIA | (17.5) | 68.0 | 79.5% | 494 | -27.9% | 98.6% | -5.7 p.p | -- | -- |
OTHER(1) | (122.0) | (0.8) | -0.7% | (1,909) | 7.4% | -- | -- | -- | -- |
TOTAL | 450.4 | (12.5) | -2.7% | 15,550 | -11.9% | 95.2% | -1.1 p.p | 6.9% | -0.4 p.p |
- "Other" includes Corporate Areas and consolidation adjustments
- Variation calculated against data at 12M 2019
* MAPFRE ESPAÑA includes the business in Portugal
5
MAPFRE RE > Continuing to generate above market returns with lower volatility throughout the cycle
Q3 highlights
- Resilient standalone combined ratio of 95.3% in Q3, in a quarter marked by high NatCat and large claims activity, as well as some minor loss-creep from prior quarter events
- Stable valuation of Business Interruption and Credit Insurance potential COVID-19 losses
- Very strong result at global risks segment, supported by pricing improvements and very substantial underwriting measures adopted
- Very positive mid-year renewals
Combined ratio - MAPFRE RE vs. industry average (%)
110.1
104.0 | 106.3 | |||||||||||
100.6 | 103.2 | |||||||||||
95.2 | 103.2 | |||||||||||
99.2 | ||||||||||||
94.1 | 94.8 | 96.1 | 97.5 | |||||||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020* | 5 yr. ave.* | |||
MAPFRE - reinsurance | Industry | |||||||
Source: AM Best (2016-2018). MAPFRE estimates (2019-2020).
*Latest available data for 2020: MAPFRE figures at 9M 2020, Market figures at 6M 2020
6
MAPFRE RE > Resilient third quarter, despite high large and mid-sized claims frequency
Main large losses* - 9M 2020
NatCat claims | 152.0 |
of which: | |
Puerto Rican earthquakes | 56.7 |
of which: Global Risks | 11.7 |
of which: Reinsurance | 45.0 |
"Derecho" storms in United States (Mid-west) | 28.2 |
Man-made losses | 68.5 |
of which: | |
Explosion - Beirut | 30.0 |
COVID-19 related losses | 81.0 |
of which: IBNR | 49.0 |
Business Interruption | 71.0 |
Credit Insurance | 10.0 |
Total large losses | 301.5 |
* Net of reinsurance, before tax and non-controlling interests
Key highlights
- Large losses of €302 mn in 9M 2020 compared to €166 mn in 9M 2019, exceeding full year budget
- High frequency of mid-sized events during Q3
- COVID-19impact includes claims incurred, consisting of:
- Paid and reported losses
- IBNR reserves
- Continued uncertainty surrounding final losses, due to ongoing litigation and development of the pandemic
Million euros | 7 |
MAPFRE RE > Strong underlying profitability, with the capacity and support in place to continue operating in a positive market environment
Complete review of the reinsurance portfolio during Q2 and Q3 >
- Very strong underlying portfolio quality and diversification, with no need for restructuring
- Very good client base and market presence
- Strength of our office network, particularly in a pandemic environment
- Key competitive advantages remain unchanged
Very positive moment for global risks business >
- Restructuring successfully completed
2021 renewal outlook >
- Clear hardening trend with industry consensus about the need to improve pricing
- Strong focus on clarifying and potentially limiting cover during reinsurance renewal discussions this year
8
Shareholders' equity
Change in shareholders' equity (€ mn)
Balance at 12/31 previous year | 8,854 |
Result for the period | 450 |
Dividends | -262 |
Net unrealized capital gains of AFS portfolio* | 35 |
Currency conversion differences | -650 |
Other | -15 |
Balance at period end | 8,412 |
*Net of shadow accounting adjustments |
Currency conversion differences (€ mn)
Sensitivity to 1 | ||||
09.30.2020 | % currency | pp move in | ||
currency | ||||
Total | -1,890** | -650 | - | |
of which: | ||||
US dollar | 389 | -101 | -4.3% | 23 |
Brazilian real | -975 | -327 | -31.5% | 10 |
Turkish lira | -350 | -41 | -26.3% | 2 |
Mexican peso | -159 | -55 | -18.3% | 3 |
**Currency conversion differences include -€544 mn of adjustments in Venezuelan and Argentine currencies (hyperinflationary economies)
Net unrealized capital gains - AFS portfolio (€ bn)
12.31.2019 | 09.30.2020 | ||
Net unrealized gains | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
Unrealized gains | 3.6 | 3.7 | |
Shadow accounting adjustments | -2.6 | -2.6 | |
AFS portfolio - IBERIA - breakdown by portfolio type (€ bn)
Actively managed | ||||
Immunized | Free | Conditioned | Total | |
Net unrealized gains | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 |
Unrealized gains | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.5 |
Shadow accounting | -1.9 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -2.7 |
adjustments | ||||
Market Value | 13.7 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 27.1 |
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Capital structure & credit metrics
Capital structure (€ bn)
Leverage (1) | 22.7% | 24.3% | ||||
13.1 | 12.7 | |||||
0.8 | 1.0 | |||||
1.0 | ||||||
1.0 | ||||||
1.1 | ||||||
1.1 | ||||||
10.1 | 9.6 | |||||
12.31.2019 | 09.30.2020 | |||||
Equity | Subordinated debt | |||||
Senior debt | Bank financing | |||||
- Total Debt / (Total Equity + Total Debt)
- Excluding impacts of transitional measures for technical provisions and equity
- Regulatory developments currently in progress:
- Risk diversification benefit for matching adjustment portfolios
- Spanish Life business internal model for longevity risk: approved by local regulator for MAPFRE VIDA and process underway for MAPFRE Group calculations
- Details of main rated operating entities can be found at:https://www.mapfre.com/en/issuance-ratings/
Solvency II position (€ mn)
12.31.2019 | 06.30.2020 | |
Eligible Own Funds (EOF) | 8,976 | 8,692 |
Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) | 4,805 | 4,730 |
EOF-SCR | 4,171 | 3,962 |
Solvency II ratio | 186.8% | 183.8% |
Fully loaded (2) | 172.3% | 170.6% |
Solvency II ratio - Pro-forma with regulatory developments (3) | 203.9% | 200.7% |
Diversification benefit - matching portfolios | 12.1% | 11.9% |
Longevity internal model | 9.9% | 10.2% |
Combined pro-forma impacts from regulatory developments | 17.1% | 16.9% |
Issuer and Financial Strength Ratings (FSR) (4)
MAPFRE S.A. | FSR of | |||
Agency | operating | Outlook | Affirmed | |
Issuer rating | ||||
entities | ||||
S&P | A- | A+ | Stable | 10/15/2020 |
Fitch | A- | A+ | Stable | 9/21/2020 |
A.M. Best | - | A | Stable | 10/20/2020 |
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Assets under management - breakdown
Market value | Breakdown by Asset Class | |||||
12.31.2019 | 09.30.2020 | % | 12.31.2019 | 09.30.2020 | ||
Government fixed income | 30.1 | 28.9 | -4.1% | 56.2% | 55.9% | |
Spain | 18.2 | 17.9 | -1.4% | 34.0% | 34.7% | |
Italy | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | |
Rest of Europe | 2.2 | 2.0 | -9.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | |
United States | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | |
Brazil | 3.0 | 2.0 | -32.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | |
Rest of LATAM | 1.8 | 1.6 | -10.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | |
Other | 0.5 | 0.7 | 47.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
Corporate fixed income | 9.4 | 9.5 | 1.9% | 17.5% | 18.5% | |
Real Estate* | 2.4 | 2.4 | -1.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | |
Equity | 2.8 | 2.5 | -10.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | |
Mutual Funds | 1.8 | 1.4 | -21.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | |
Cash | 2.5 | 2.7 | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | |
Unit-Linked | 2.5 | 2.3 | -9.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | |
Other investments | 2.0 | 2.0 | -1.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | |
Total Investment Portfolio | 53.5 | 51.6 | -3.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | |
Pension Funds | 5.5 | 5.4 | -1.1% | |||
Mutual Funds & Other | 4.6 | 4.3 | -6.2% | |||
Total AuM | 63.6 | 61.4 | -3.5% |
Billion euros | * At net book value | 11 |
Investment portfolios - additional information
Euro area - fixed income portfolios - actively managed1 | Other main regions & units - fixed income portfolios | ||
Market value (€bn) | Accounting | Market yield | Modified | ||
Yield (%) | (%) | duration (%) | |||
12.31.2019 | 7.27 | 1.95 | 0.78 | 8.25 | |
NON-LIFE | 09.30.2020 | 7.40 | 1.70 | 0.42 | 8.21 |
LIFE | 12.31.2019 | 6.82 | 3.53 | 0.33 | 6.89 |
09.30.2020 | 6.62 | 3.56 | 0.15 | 6.72 | |
Financial gains & losses (€ mn)2
Non-Life | Life | Total | |||||
9M 2019 | 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | 9M 2020 | ||
IBERIA | 36.2 | 6.1 | 24.4 | 7.4 | 60.6 | 13.5 | |
MAPFRE RE | 20.0 | 11.2 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 23.6 | 13.2 | |
TOTAL | 56.1 | 17.3 | 28.1 | 9.4 | 84.2 | 26.7 | |
Market value (€bn) | Accounting Yield | Modified | ||
(%) | duration (%) | |||
BRAZIL - MAPFRE | 12.31.2019 | 1.99 | 5.25 | 1.24 |
SEGUROS | 09.30.2020 | 1.13 | 3.82 | 2.20 |
LATAM NORTH | 12.31.2019 | 0.95 | 6.44 | 2.96 |
09.30.2020 | 0.82 | 6.14 | 3.39 | |
LATAM SOUTH | 12.31.2019 | 1.89 | 7.09 | 7.06 |
09.30.2020 | 1.70 | 6.40 | 6.88 | |
NORTH AMERICA | 12.31.2019 | 2.03 | 2.88 | 5.06 |
09.30.2020 | 2.09 | 2.70 | 5.26 | |
- IBERIA & MAPFRE RE
- Includes only actively managed available for sale portfolios in the Euro area, net of writedowns, before taxes and non-controlling interests
12
Closing remarks
Insurance units (€610 mn net result, +7.5%) > outstanding performance with combined ratio of 93%, with lower frequency in Motor in main regions and restructuring efforts, offsetting negative COVID-19 impacts and NatCat
- IBERIA (€334 mn, -4.4%) > resilient growth in key Non-Life segments and strong underwriting profitability, helping to mitigate lower financial income and a challenging Life Savings market context
- LATAM (€179 mn, +18.9%) > outstanding performance in Brazil, Mexico, Panama and Colombia, despite currency headwinds, but top-line affected by lower business activity
- INTERNATIONAL (€97 mn, +43.4%) > improving results in USA, Turkey, and Italy
MAPFRE RE > resilient results in a difficult quarter, with a combined ratio of 95.3% in Q3, supported by financial strength, as well as a prudent underwriting approach and reserving policy
Defensive business positioning > prudent strategy in a challenging environment, focused on portfolio retention, cost contention and streamlining of business units
Bancassurance agreement with Bankia >
- Well-protectedunder terms and conditions of the contract
- Transaction closing expected for mid-2021
- Proceeds to be invested in future market opportunities to complement and underpin our profitable growth strategy
Healthy balance sheet > conservative asset valuation approach, strong capital base, financial flexibility and liquidity
Commitment to shareholders > final dividend to be approved at AGM in 2021, aligned with current dividend policy
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Investor Relations
For further information, please contact or visit:
Email:IR@mapfre.com
Telephone: (+34) 91 581 23 18
Corporate website: www.mapfre.com
Financial documentation center:www.mapfre.com/en/financial-information/
Natalia Núñez Arana | Leandra Clark | Marta Sanchidrián | Fernando García de la Santa | Leslie Hoffman | |
Capital Markets and Investor | clarkle@mapfre.com | sanchim@mapfre.com | gsmfern@mapfre.com | lhoffma@mapfre.com | |
Relations Director | |||||
natalia.n@mapfre.com | |||||
Upcoming events*: | Follow us at: | ||||
2020 | |||||
30 October | 9M 2020 Results release | ||||
24-25 November | Foro Latibex | ||||
Q1 2021 | |||||
11-13 January | Spain Investor Day | ||||
21 January - 10 February (TBC) | Blackout period | ||||
11 February (TBC) | 12M 2020 Results release | ||||
16-18 March | Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference | ||||
* Dates are subject to change | 14 |
Terminology
Revenue | Top line figure which includes premiums, financial income, and revenue from non-insurance entities and other revenue |
Combined ratio - Non-Life | Expense ratio + Loss ratio |
Expense ratio - Non-Life | (Operating expenses, net of reinsurance - other technical revenue + other technical expenses) / Net premiums earned |
Loss ratio - Non-Life | (Net claims incurred + variation in other technical reserves + profit sharing and returned premiums) / Net premiums earned |
Result of Non-Life business | Includes technical result, financial result and other non-technical result of the Non-Life business |
Result of Life business | Includes technical result, financial result and other non-technical result of the Life business |
Corporate Areas and Consolidation | Includes expenses from Corporate Areas, consolidation adjustments, as well the result attributable to MAPFRE RE and MAPFRE INTERNACIONAL's non-controlling |
Adjustments | interests and other concepts |
Other business activities | Includes the Group's non-insurance activities undertaken by the insurance subsidiaries, as well as by other subsidiaries, including activities of the holding companies |
of MAPFRE S.A. and MAPFRE INTERNACIONAL | |
Solvency II ratio | Eligible Own Funds (EOF) / Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) |
ROE (Return on Equity) | (Attributable result for the last twelve months) / (Arithmetic mean of equity attributable to the controlling company at the beginning and closing of the period |
(twelve months)) | |
Other investments | Includes interest rate swaps, investments in associates, accepted reinsurance deposits and others |
Alternative Performance Measures (APM) used in this report correspond to those financial measures that are not defined or detailed within the framework of the applicable financial information. Their definition and calculation can be consulted at the following link: https://www.mapfre.com/corporate/institutional-investors/financial-information/
15
Disclaimer
This document is purely informative. Its content does not constitute, nor can it be interpreted as, an offer or an invitation to sell, exchange or buy, and it is not binding on the issuer in any way. The information about the plans of the Company, its development, its results and its dividends represents a simple forecast whose formulation does not represent a guarantee with respect to the future performance of the Company or the achievement of its targets or estimated results. The recipients of this information must be aware that the preparation of these forecasts is based on assumptions and estimates, which are subject to a high degree of uncertainty, and that, due to multiple factors, future results may differ materially from expected results. Among such factors, the following are worth highlighting: the development of the insurance market and the general economic situation of those countries where the Group operates; circumstances which may affect the competitiveness of insurance products and services; changes in the basis of calculation of mortality and morbidity tables which may affect the insurance activities of the Life and Health segments; frequency and severity of claims covered; effectiveness of the Groups reinsurance policies and fluctuations in the cost and availability of covers offered by third party reinsurers; changes in the legal environment; adverse legal actions; changes in monetary policy; variations in interest rates and exchange rates; fluctuations in liquidity and the value and profitability of assets which make up the investment portfolio; restrictions in the access to third party financing.
MAPFRE S.A. does not undertake to update or revise periodically the content of this document.
Certain numerical figures included in the Investor Presentation have been rounded. Therefore, discrepancies in tables between totals and the sums of the amounts listed may occur due to such rounding.
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Mapfre SA published this content on 30 October 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 30 October 2020 10:39:09 UTC