Projected Income Statement: Mattel, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,840 1,564 1,069 946 1,089 1,613 1,667 1,696
Change - -15% -31.65% -11.51% 15.12% 48.16% 3.35% 1.74%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/4/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 151.4 186.5 160.3 202.6 182 220 211.9 217
Change - 23.22% -14.05% 26.39% -10.17% 20.85% -3.64% 2.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 334.1 256.3 709.5 597.9 411.3 155.3 370.8 538.4
Change - -23.29% 176.82% -15.73% -31.21% -62.24% 138.69% 45.22%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/4/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.45% 17.82% 17.42% 19.66% 17.34% 15.39% 15.97% 15.85%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.99% 12.67% 11.78% 13.72% 11.59% 10.36% 11.08% 11.1%
EBT Margin (%) 8.63% 9.28% 8.55% 11.57% 8.59% 10.12% 9.21% 9.13%
Net margin (%) 16.55% 7.25% 3.94% 10.07% 7.44% 8.49% 7.15% 7.17%
FCF margin (%) 6.12% 4.72% 13.04% 11.11% 7.69% 2.74% 6.22% 8.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 37% 65.07% 330.92% 110.35% 103.45% 32.22% 86.97% 122.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.79% 7.15% 6.93% 8.57% 6.03% 5.73% 5.99% 7.5%
ROE 42.63% 24.8% 20.89% 25.2% 17.68% 17.38% 19.96% 23.48%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.83x 1.62x 1.13x 0.89x 1.17x 1.85x 1.75x 1.75x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.51x 6.1x 1.51x 1.58x 2.65x 10.38x 4.5x 3.15x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.77% 3.43% 2.95% 3.77% 3.4% 3.88% 3.56% 3.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.03% 19.26% 16.91% 19.16% 19.63% 25.18% 22.28% 22.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 45.3% 72.77% 22.59% 33.89% 44.25% 141.61% 57.17% 40.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.359 1.231 2.436 2.332 1.844 2.35 2.2 -
Change - -9.38% 97.8% -4.25% -20.94% 27.46% -6.38% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.1 0.1933
Change - - - - - - - 93.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.473 5.802 6.167 6.595 7.018 7.359 8.149 9.821
Change - 29.71% 6.29% 6.94% 6.41% 4.87% 10.73% 20.51%
EPS 1 2.53 1.1 0.6 1.58 1.24 1.634 1.522 1.68
Change - -56.52% -45.45% 163.33% -21.52% 31.77% -6.85% 10.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 350,341 354,402 353,233 336,900 310,824 290,600 290,600 290,600
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/4/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.16x 8.76x
PBR 1.81x 1.64x
EV / Sales 0.97x 0.93x
Yield - 0.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
13.33USD
Average target price
18.38USD
Spread / Average Target
+37.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MAT Stock
  4. Financials Mattel, Inc.