Projected Income Statement: McDonald's Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: McDonald's Corporation

balance-sheet-analysis-chart MCDONALD-S-CORPORATION
Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 33,220 31,748 30,914 33,320 32,574 38,053 38,476 39,911
Change - -4.43% -2.63% 7.78% -2.24% 16.82% 1.11% 3.73%
Announcement Date 1/29/20 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 2,394 1,641 2,040 1,899 2,357 2,580 2,803 3,237
Change - -31.45% 24.33% -6.9% 24.13% 9.46% 8.61% 15.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,728 4,624 7,102 5,488 7,254 7,738 8,480 9,777
Change - -19.27% 53.57% -22.73% 32.2% 6.66% 9.59% 15.3%
Announcement Date 1/29/20 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.06% 45.85% 51.41% 46.38% 54.88% 53.84% 54.72% 55.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.38% 36.74% 43.37% 44.78% 47.1% 45.98% 46.91% 47.17%
EBT Margin (%) 38.04% 31.97% 39.31% 33.76% 41.27% 40.14% 41.78% 42.29%
Net margin (%) 28.59% 24.63% 32.49% 26.65% 33.22% 31.77% 33.1% 33.35%
FCF margin (%) 27.18% 24.08% 30.58% 23.67% 28.46% 29.7% 31.43% 34.33%
FCF / Net Income (%) 95.07% 97.76% 94.12% 88.83% 85.66% 93.49% 94.96% 102.93%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.93% 9.45% 14.2% 11.85% 15.89% 15.02% 15.76% 16.5%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.09x 3.6x 2.59x 3.1x 2.33x 2.71x 2.61x 2.54x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.8x 6.87x 4.35x 6.07x 4.49x 4.92x 4.54x 4.08x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.36% 8.54% 8.78% 8.19% 9.25% 9.91% 10.39% 11.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.24% 18.63% 17.09% 17.66% 16.85% 18.4% 18.99% 20.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.79% 35.48% 28.73% 34.61% 32.5% 33.35% 33.05% 33.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.62 8.352 12.16 9.964 13.13 13.79 15.72 17.11
Change - -21.34% 45.58% -18.05% 31.72% 5.06% 13.98% 8.87%
Dividend per Share 1 4.82 5.04 5.25 5.66 6.23 6.748 7.145 7.653
Change - 4.56% 4.17% 7.81% 10.07% 8.31% 5.89% 7.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 -11 -10.5 -6.178 -8.098 -6.427 -7.205 -6.28 -7.014
Change - -4.53% -41.19% 31.1% -20.64% 12.1% -12.83% 11.68%
EPS 1 7.88 6.31 10.04 8.33 11.56 11.52 12.6 13.69
Change - -19.92% 59.11% -17.03% 38.78% -0.35% 9.35% 8.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 753,093 745,111 747,245 732,424 725,342 716,620 716,620 716,620
Announcement Date 1/29/20 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 24.4x 22.4x
PBR -39.1x -44.8x
EV / Sales 9.21x 8.91x
Yield 2.4% 2.54%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

eps-dividend-chart MCDONALD-S-CORPORATION

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

evolution-chart MCDONALD-S-CORPORATION

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

evolution-chart MCDONALD-S-CORPORATION
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
surperformance-ratings-light-chart MCDONALD-S-CORPORATIONMore Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
37
Last Close Price
281.58USD
Average target price
323.43USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.86%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MCD Stock
  4. Financials McDonald's Corporation