Projected Income Statement: MP Materials Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: MP Materials Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -487 -504 -316 57.9 -832 -467 -540 -405
Change - -3.49% 37.3% 118.32% -1,536.96% 43.84% -15.63% 25%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/26/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MP Materials Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 123.9 326.6 261.9 186.4 172.4 546.5 536 432.6
Change - 163.66% -19.81% -28.82% -7.53% 217.01% -1.91% -19.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -21.9 16.92 -199.2 -173.1 -328.1 -437 -215.4 29.52
Change - 177.26% -1,277.36% 13.12% -89.59% -33.18% 50.71% 113.7%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/26/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MP Materials Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 66% 73.67% 40.44% -24.61% 5.09% 38.03% 52.18% 57.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.81% 62.07% -6.99% -83.11% -66.55% -3.63% 28.96% 40.79%
EBT Margin (%) 48.26% 64.67% 13.05% -45.79% -52.47% 1.45% 32.07% 40.14%
Net margin (%) 40.68% 54.79% 9.59% -32.09% -38.26% 0.08% 23.11% 26.18%
FCF margin (%) -6.6% 3.21% -78.6% -84.9% -146.2% -96.47% -27.06% 3.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) -16.22% 5.85% -819.51% 264.53% 382.11% -120,690.46% -117.07% 11.62%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.11% 14% 3.12% -2.8% -1.32% -0.45% 4.37% 6.11%
ROE 18.08% 24.9% 5.33% -5.41% -2.69% 2.41% 9.3% 13.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - -1.15x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - -0.33x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 37.32% 61.91% 103.33% 91.45% 76.8% 120.64% 67.33% 44.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 56.54% 84.04% 255.5% -371.59% 1,509.55% 317.19% 129.03% 77.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -565.64% 1,930.34% -131.48% -107.71% -52.53% -125.05% -248.82% 1,465.59%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5371 1.776 0.3236 0.0786 -0.9155 0.55 1.474 1.907
Change - 230.59% -81.78% -75.71% -1,264.76% 160.08% 167.95% 29.42%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 5.673 7.386 7.669 6.464 11.16 10.92 12.82 13.46
Change - 30.21% 3.83% -15.72% 72.6% -2.12% 17.4% 4.99%
EPS 1 0.73 1.52 0.14 -0.39 -0.5 0.1015 0.902 1.427
Change - 108.22% -90.79% -378.57% -28.21% 120.31% 788.31% 58.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 177,877 177,543 177,815 163,207 177,230 178,022 178,022 178,022
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/26/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 556x 62.6x
PBR 5.17x 4.41x
EV / Sales 21.2x 12x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
56.50USD
Average target price
81.21USD
Spread / Average Target
+43.74%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MP Stock
  4. Financials MP Materials Corp.