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Delayed
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 27.95 HKD | -0.18% |
|
+1.27% | +3.14% |
| May. 28 | Deep Water Pavilia Project Sells 17 Seaview Apartments in Hong Kong | MT |
| May. 28 | Hong Kong Rail Workers Urge MTR to Review Staffing, Emergency Procedures Following Line Shutdown | MT |
Projected Income Statement: MTR Corporation Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 42,541 | 47,202 | 47,812 | 56,982 | 60,011 | 60,161 | 60,753 | 63,886 |
| Change | - | 10.96% | 1.29% | 19.18% | 5.32% | 0.25% | 0.98% | 5.16% |
| EBITDA 1 | 11,434 | 8,148 | 7,911 | 15,310 | 17,904 | 22,281 | 22,009 | 21,623 |
| Change | - | -28.74% | -2.91% | 93.53% | 16.94% | 24.45% | -1.22% | -1.75% |
| EBIT 1 | 6,069 | 13,555 | 12,446 | 10,675 | 20,557 | 21,888 | 22,442 | 16,986 |
| Change | - | 123.35% | -8.18% | -14.23% | 92.57% | 6.48% | 2.53% | -24.31% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -1,004 | -967 | -1,435 | -1,139 | -1,032 | -1,224 | -1,384 | -1,583 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -3,520 | 11,940 | 11,749 | 9,663 | 19,525 | 23,142 | 19,909 | 14,173 |
| Change | - | 439.2% | -1.6% | -17.75% | 102.06% | 18.53% | -13.97% | -28.81% |
| Net income 1 | -4,809 | 9,552 | 9,827 | 7,784 | 15,772 | 17,556 | 17,401 | 14,226 |
| Change | - | 298.63% | 2.88% | -20.79% | 102.62% | 11.31% | -0.88% | -18.24% |
| Announcement Date | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/7/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
1HKD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: MTR Corporation Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 29,592 | 22,928 | 31,852 | 37,257 | 49,798 | 64,573 | 76,379 | 93,820 |
| Change | - | -22.52% | 38.92% | 16.97% | 33.66% | 29.67% | 18.28% | 22.83% |
| Announcement Date | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/7/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
1HKD in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: MTR Corporation Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 9,661 | 7,997 | 10,808 | 12,576 | 19,416 | 30,729 | 28,478 | 24,884 |
| Change | - | -17.22% | 35.15% | 16.36% | 54.39% | 58.27% | -7.33% | -12.62% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -7,113 | -525 | -12,527 | -1,379 | -925 | -5,590 | -3,723 | - |
| Change | - | 92.62% | -2,286.1% | 88.99% | 32.92% | -504.31% | 33.39% | 100% |
| Announcement Date | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/7/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
1HKD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: MTR Corporation Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 26.88% | 17.26% | 16.55% | 26.87% | 29.83% | 37.04% | 36.23% | 33.85% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 14.27% | 28.72% | 26.03% | 18.73% | 34.26% | 36.38% | 36.94% | 26.59% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -8.27% | 25.3% | 24.57% | 16.96% | 32.54% | 38.47% | 32.77% | 22.18% |
| Net margin (%) | -11.3% | 20.24% | 20.55% | 13.66% | 26.28% | 29.18% | 28.64% | 22.27% |
| FCF margin (%) | -16.72% | -1.11% | -26.2% | -2.42% | -1.54% | -9.29% | -6.13% | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 147.91% | -5.5% | -127.48% | -17.72% | -5.86% | -31.84% | -21.4% | - |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.51% | 3.28% | 3.17% | 2.31% | 4.42% | 5.04% | 4.43% | 3.06% |
| ROE | 2.41% | 6.26% | 5.47% | 4.35% | 8.67% | 9.21% | 8.62% | 5.91% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.59x | 2.81x | 4.03x | 2.43x | 2.78x | 2.9x | 3.47x | 4.34x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -4.16x | -43.67x | -2.54x | -27.02x | -53.84x | -11.55x | -20.51x | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 22.71% | 16.94% | 22.61% | 22.07% | 32.35% | 51.08% | 46.88% | 38.95% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 84.49% | 98.15% | 136.62% | 82.14% | 108.45% | 137.92% | 129.39% | 115.08% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -135.82% | -1,523.24% | -86.28% | -911.97% | -2,099.03% | -549.74% | -764.85% | - |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 41.35 | 1.208 | 1.09 | 1.804 | 2.972 | 2.127 | 1.876 | 2.436 |
| Change | - | -97.08% | -9.71% | 65.4% | 64.8% | -28.42% | -11.83% | 29.86% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.23 | 1.27 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.313 |
| Change | - | 3.25% | 3.15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.22% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 28.67 | 29.05 | 28.93 | 28.73 | 29.84 | 31.29 | 32.88 | 33.49 |
| Change | - | 1.3% | -0.4% | -0.71% | 3.86% | 4.86% | 5.11% | 1.86% |
| EPS 1 | -0.78 | 1.54 | 1.59 | 1.25 | 2.54 | 2.786 | 2.852 | 2.212 |
| Change | - | 297.44% | 3.25% | -21.38% | 103.2% | 9.7% | 2.35% | -22.44% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 6,180,928 | 6,193,463 | 6,202,061 | 6,217,197 | 6,224,823 | 6,224,823 | 6,224,823 | 6,224,823 |
| Announcement Date | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/7/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
1HKD
Estimates
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 10x | 9.82x |
| PBR | 0.89x | 0.85x |
| EV / Sales | 3.97x | 4.13x |
| Yield | 4.68% | 4.68% |
More valuation ratios
* Estimated data
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
28.00HKD
Average target price
27.57HKD
Spread / Average Target
-1.55%
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- 66 Stock
- Financials MTR Corporation Limited
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