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MTU AERO ENGINES AG

(MTX)
  Report
Real-time Estimate Quote. Real-time Estimate Tradegate - 01/20 03:52:47 pm
196.5 EUR   -0.78%
02:34pMTU AERO ENGINES AG : JP Morgan maintains a Buy rating
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01/19MTU AERO ENGINES AG : Sell rating from Morgan Stanley
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01/19MTU AERO ENGINES AG : Goldman Sachs sticks Neutral
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MTU Aero Engines : publishes short- and mid-term guidance at its Capital Market Day

11/18/2021 | 07:23am EST
  • Revenue target 2022: €5.2 to €5.4 billion
  • Adjusted EBIT should increase in the mid twenty-percent range in 2022
  • Sustained growth in all business areas up to 2024
  • Adjusted EBIT above the pre-crisis level by 2024

Munich, November 18, 2021 - At its virtual Capital Market Day, MTU Aero Engines AG provided an initial outlook for 2022 and presented its mid-term growth plans. All business areas at MTU should post organic growth again in 2022. The company expects the clearest recovery from the effects of the coronavirus crisis to be in the commercial maintenance business. Moreover, in the mid-term MTU assumes an upturn in all business areas. "The parameters for a sustained recovery in aviation are intact," said Reiner Winkler, CEO of MTU Aero Engines AG. "MTU is well-positioned to return to its growth track in 2022, secure an above-average share of the recovery in the sector and therefore exceed the 2019 level by 2024." Chief Financial Officer Peter Kameritsch gave more details: "We are forecasting revenue of between €5.2 and €5.4 billion in 2022 and steady revenue growth up to 2024. Adjusted EBIT should increase in the mid twenty-percent range in 2022 and adjusted net income should develop in line with adjusted EBIT. By 2024, adjusted EBIT should be above the pre-crisis level. We anticipate that by then the cash conversion rate will be in the high double-digit percentage range."

Commercial maintenance should show the strongest upward trend in 2022. MTU is forecasting organic revenue growth in the mid to high twenty-percentage range. In the period to 2024, the annual rise in revenue in the commercial maintenance business should be in the mid-teens percentage range. "The basis for the good growth prospects are our wide-ranging marketaccess, our broad portfolio, our custom-tailored MRO solutions and our financial strength. Moreover, MTU has a strong MRO order backlog, which is currently valued at U.S. $ 17.9 billion," said Chief Program Officer Michael Schreyögg. In the commercial maintenance business, MTU is benefiting from its high share of narrowbody engines in lifecycle phases where there is likely to be a high need for maintenance. It also benefits from its customer base, which includes airlines that serve markets with a high level of domestic flights. These are recovering faster from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic than international passenger flights. Moreover, MTU has many customers in the cargo sector, which is solidly above the pre-crisis level and is supporting the widebody business.

For the commercial series business, MTU is forecasting revenue growth in the mid to high teens percentage range in 2022. This annual growth rate is also expected to continue until 2024. "Our technological edge, crisis-resistant portfolio with stakes in leading engine programs in all segments and our broad customer base play a key role in our good growth prospects here," said Schreyögg. MTU aims to expand its good market position in the global narrowbody fleet in the next decade. This should be accompanied by a sharp rise in production volume. "MTU is well prepared for significantly scaling up its production, focusing also on its supply chain,"
explained Chief Operating Officer Lars Wagner. Production rates should also pick up again in the widebody sector. MTU has good prospects here thanks to its share in the GE9X for the Boeing 777X. Furthermore, the company is well-positioned in the business jets sector, which has proven crisis-resistant with usage rates above the pre-pandemic level. Schreyögg: "We are therefore well-placed for above-average growth." Wagner added: "With our technology roadmap, which is focused on sustainable and ultimately emissions-free engines, we are positioning MTU as the technology leader to secure an optimal role in future aircraft platforms, leading to further growth." With its evolutionary and revolutionary propulsion concepts, MTU is positioned to acquire program shares in engines for new narrowbody and widebody aircraft.

In the commercial spare parts business, the increase in revenue should be in the mid-teens percentage range in 2022, driven mainly by the V2500 for the classic A320 family and the Geared Turbofan™ for the A320neo. Looking beyond 2022, MTU expects the highest growth rates to also come from narrowbody and regional aircraft. This should be reflected in annual organic revenue growth in the spare parts business in the low teens percentage range up to 2024.

MTU's military business should also grow in 2022 and beyond. For 2022, MTU is predicting an increase in the high single-digit percentage range, with further revenue rises in the mid single-digit percentage range up to 2024. Schreyögg: "The military business gave us stability during the coronavirus crisis. Campaigns for the Eurofighter with the EJ200 engine and the NextEuropean Fighter Engine for the next generation of European fighter aircraft open up attractive growth opportunities in this sector. There is also growth potential in the service and aftermarket business."

Kameritsch: "We still have a clear focus on profitable growth. We are therefore keeping a close eye on our cost base and are striving for cost leadership in all areas." To achieve this, MTU is concentrating on automation and digitalization, its best-cost site strategy, leveraging synergies and strict cost management in both production and maintenance. "Our goal is a balanced leverage ratio of between 0.5 and 1.5 times adjusted EBITDA," said Kameritsch.

Winkler summed up: "Sustainability is the dominant factor in all of our activities. We have a clear commitment to the principles of the UN Global Compact and are making a contribution to eight of the targets." Wagner gave some current examples: "Our goal is to make our production climate-neutral. The Munich site is making a start this year. The objective is climate-neutral operation of all MTU sites. We are focusing on continuously reducing emissions from our products with the aim of developing completely emissions-free engines."

Forecast

Organic revenue development

2022

Up to 2024

Revenue

Between €5.2 and €5.4 billion

Steady growth

Commercial series business

Increase in the mid to high teens percentage range

Increase in the mid to high teens percentage range

Spare parts business

Increase in the mid-teens percentage range

Increase in the low teens

percentage range

Military business

Increase in the high single-digit percentage range

Increase in the mid single-digit percentage range

Commercial

maintenance

Increase in the mid to high twenty-percent range

Increase in the mid-teens percentage range

Adjusted EBIT

Increase in the mid twenty-percent range

Exceeding 2019 level

Adjusted net income

Development in line with adjusted EBIT

Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements

Certain of the statements contained herein may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, competition from other companies in MTU Aero Engines' industry and MTU Aero Engines' ability to retain or increase its market share, the cyclicality of the airline industry, risks related to MTU Aero Engines' participation in consortia and risk and revenue sharing agreements for new aero engine programs, risks associated with the capital markets, currency exchange rate fluctuations, regulations affecting MTU Aero Engines' business and MTU Aero Engines' ability to respond to changes in the regulatory environment, and other factors. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more pronounced, as a result of terrorist activities and their consequences. MTU Aero Engines assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement.

Disclaimer

MTU Aero Engines AG published this content on 18 November 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 18 November 2021 12:22:16 UTC.


© Publicnow 2021
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Financials
Sales 2021 4 358 M 4 927 M 4 927 M
Net income 2021 287 M 325 M 325 M
Net Debt 2021 700 M 791 M 791 M
P/E ratio 2021 37,1x
Yield 2021 1,02%
Capitalization 10 554 M 11 968 M 11 933 M
EV / Sales 2021 2,58x
EV / Sales 2022 2,15x
Nbr of Employees 10 210
Free-Float 89,8%
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Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 20
Last Close Price 197,95 €
Average target price 212,25 €
Spread / Average Target 7,22%
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Managers and Directors
Reiner Winkler Chief Executive Officer
Peter Kameritsch Chief Financial & Information Officer
Klaus Eberhardt Chairman-Supervisory Board
Lars Wagner Executive Vice President-OEM Operations
Thomas Dautl Member-Supervisory Board
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