National Grid's
Investment
Proposition
"Announcing £60 billion of investment,
a leader in the energy transition in the UK
Our strong track record of infrastructure advantage of the significant growth
FY24 Investor Relations
NEW 5-year framework FY25-29 | Geographic and regulatory diversity | ||
Capital investment | FY24 asset base6 | ||
c.£23bn | Geographical split | Energy split | |
UK Electricity Transmission |
c.£60bn | c.£8bn | |
FY25-29 | UK Electricity Distribution | |
c.£17bn | c.£11bn | |
Capital | ||
investment | New York | New England |
Regulated | Regulated | |
c.£51bn | c.£1bn | |
NG Ventures | ||
Green1, | ||
aligned to EU taxonomy | ||
Group asset growth | c.10% CAGR 2 |
US | UK | Gas |
c.25% | ||
c.46% | c.54% | |
Electricity
c.75%
- Aligned to EU Taxonomy, directly invested into the decarbonisation of energy networks.
- Group asset compound annual growth rate from a FY24 baseline. Forward years based on assumed USD FX rate of 1.25; and long run UK CPIH and US CPI. Assumes sale of ESO, Grain LNG, and National Grid Renewables before 2029. Assumes remaining 20% stake in UK Gas Transmission treated as a discontinued operation and therefore does not contribute to group asset growth.
Underlying EPS | 6-8% CAGR 3 |
Credit metrics | Committed to strong investment grade credit rating |
Credit metrics above current rating thresholds4 | |
Dividend | Aim to grow dividend per share in line with UK CPIH5 |
FY24 Highlights
- EPS compound annual growth rate from a FY25 baseline. Forward years based on assumed USD FX rate of 1.25; long run UK CPIH, US CPI and interest rate assumptions and scrip uptake of 25%. Assumes sale of ESO, Grain LNG and National Grid Renewables before 2029. Assumes remaining 20% stake in UK Gas Transmission treated as a discontinued operation and therefore does not contribute to underlying EPS.
- Until at least the end of the RIIO-T3 period.
- Aim to increase the FY25 DPS by UK CPIH following the rebase of the FY24 DPS of 58.52 pence, after taking account of the new shares issued following the Rights Issue.
- Calculated as proportion of closing FY24 asset base and no longer includes UK Gas Transmission and Metering.
Group financial summary full year ended 31 March 2024
Underlying results
Operating profit | Underlying EPS | Dividend growth | Capital investment | |||
£4,773m 6% | 78.0p 6% | 58.52p 5.55% | £8,235m 11% | |||
FY23: £4,518m | FY23: 73.6p | FY23: 55.44p | FY23: £7,430m |
Underlying results from continuing operations excluding exceptional items, remeasurements, deferrable major storm costs (when greater than $100m), timing, the contribution from UK Gas Transmission and Metering, which are classified as a discontinued operation for accounting purposes, and the impact of deferred tax in UK regulated businesses (NGET and NGED).
Operating profit, underlying EPS and capital investment calculated at constant currency. Capital investment includes investment in JVs and capital prepayments and no longer includes investments in NG Partners. Comparatives have been restated.
Underlying EPS restated to reflect change in definition to remove the impact of deferred tax in UK regulated businesses (NGET and NGED).
A refocused strategy on energy networks: Investing around £60 billion over the next 5 years, almost entirely into energy networks, backed by a comprehensive financing plan, including the intended sale of our UK Grain LNG terminal and US renewables businesses.
Record Group capital investment: £8.2bn In the UK, we completed tunnel boring at LPT2, and erection of all 116 T-pylons at our Hinkley- Seabank Connection project. In the US, we continued to progress our Grid Modernization programme in Massachusetts, and in New York continued work on our $550m Smart Path Connect transmission project.
Good FY24 financial results a little higher than expectations, reflecting higher regulated revenues.
ASTI progress Joint construction projects signed for Eastern Link 1 and 2 with preferred suppliers selected for HVDC cable and converter stations. Launched the 'Great Grid Partnership' with seven industry partners to help deliver network design and construction works on nine major projects.
Updated Responsible Business commitments New SBTi aligned near-term emissions targets, including a new aim to reduce Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 60% by 2030 from a 2018/19 baseline, whilst remaining committed to reduce Scope 3 emissions by 37.5% by 2034.
Increased clarity on investment plans
UK Electricity Transmission | US Regulated | ||
Scale | 17 Accelerated Strategic Transmission | Downstate NY KEDNY/KEDLI rate plan | |
Investment (ASTI) projects in licence | • c.$5bn capex over 3 years | ||
• Mid-high teens £billions | Upstate NY Niagara Mohawk (NiMo) | ||
"Beyond 2030" Electricity System Operator | upcoming rate filing | ||
report | $4bn "Upstate Upgrade" | ||
RIIO-T3 business plan development | |||
Massachusetts Electric (MECO) rate filing | |||
Electric Sector Modernization Plan (ESMP): | |||
$2bn over 5 years | |||
Profile | ASTI supply chain progress | |||||||
• | Eastern Green Links 1 & 2 contracts | |||||||
awarded | ||||||||
• | c.£9bn enterprise partnership model | |||||||
Planning & consenting progress
UK policy progress
- Updated energy National Policy Statements
- Transmission Acceleration Action Plan
Supply chain progress
- Engineering contracts for $2.9bn CLCPA1 transmission projects
Good visibility of investment in electric distribution and leak prone pipe replacement programme
Regulation | New Ofgem duties: growth and net zero |
Ofgem RIIO-T3 SSMC2: introduction of | |
investability | |
Ofgem strategy update: "enabling | |
infrastructure for net zero at pace" | |
KEDNY/KEDLI
-
9.35% allowed return on equity (up 55bps)
NiMo rate filing
MECO & ESMP rate filing
- Productive discussions with Regulator (DPU)
1. Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act
2. Sector specific methodology consultation (SSMC) to be published by Ofgem
Driving a significant step-up in investment & growth
c.£60bn capital investment (FY25-FY29)
(£bn) | Near doubling of investment | c.85% |
Green investment | ||
New 5-year framework | ||
aligned to EU taxonomy | ||
c.£60bn | ||
Last 5 years | c.10% | |
group asset growth | ||
£33bn | CAGR FY25-29 | |
c.£100bn | |||||||||
Group assets | |||||||||
by FY291 | |||||||||
1. Assuming average CPIH inflation of 2.5% | |||||||||
FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 |
UK Regulated | US Regulated | NG Ventures |
An attractive proposition of growth and yield
Strong track record of delivery
Expertise | Organisation |
in large infrastructure | set up to deliver |
c.£1bn
World-leading capability
in subsea cabling
Strategic Infrastructure new business unit
Hinkley Connection Project
c.£1bn London Power Tunnels 2
7.8GW | |
c.$4bn New York | Interconnector |
Upstate Upgrade | Portfolio |
Track record of outperformance and delivery against regulatory frameworks
Supply chain innovation
Exceeded cost | Target by end |
efficiency target | of FY24: |
£400m | |
£513m | |
High growth pureplay networks
Streamlined portfolio focused on regulated and competitive, onshore and offshore networks
Refocused NG Ventures
- UK Interconnectors and Offshore Hybrid Assets
- US competitive electricity transmission
Crystalising value
- National Grid Renewables
- Grain LNG
A new and exciting phase of growth
A significant step up
in investment and growth
Acceleration of the energy transition
c.£60bn investment through to 2029 Pureplay networks business
Driving long-term value growth and shareholder returns
Backed by a comprehensive financing plan
A strong investment grade balance sheet
positioned to deliver an unprecedented step up in capital investment
Equity
Debt
Credit
metrics
Portfolio
Dividend
- Raise of £7bn supports increased investment levels
- 7 new shares for every 24 existing shares. Issue price of 645 pence
- Continued issuance of senior debt across the Group
- Expect to use hybrid debt later in 5 year framework to maintain balance sheet strength and investment flexibility
- Committed to strong investment grade credit rating
- Credit metrics above current rating thresholds1: FFO/net debt >10% and RCF/net debt >7%
- Announcing sale process for Grain LNG and NG Renewables
- Continued progressive dividend policy, maintaining total level of dividend. Grow DPS in line with CPIH
• Implies a DPS rebase from FY252 | • Scrip dividend maintained given high asset growth |
- Until at least the end of the RIIO-T3 period.
- Aim to increase the FY25 DPS by UK CPIH following the rebase of the FY24 DPS of 58.52 pence, after taking account of the new shares issued following the Rights Issue.
New 5-year financial framework
FY2025 - 2029
Capital investment | c.£60bn - c.£51bn green1 | |
c.£23bn | c.£17bn | |
UK Electricity Transmission | New York Regulated | |
c.£8bn | c.£11bn | |
UK Electricity Distribution | New England Regulated | |
c.£1bn | ||
NG Ventures | ||
Group asset growth | c.10% CAGR (from a FY24 baseline) 2 | |
Committed to strong investment grade credit rating | ||
Credit metrics | ||
Credit metrics above current rating thresholds3 | ||
Underlying EPS | 6-8%CAGR (from a FY25 baseline)4 | |
Dividend | Aim to grow dividend per share in line with CPIH5 |
- Aligned to EU Taxonomy, directly invested into the decarbonisation of energy networks.
- Group asset compound annual growth rate from a FY24 baseline. Forward years based on assumed USD FX rate of 1.25; and long run UK CPIH and US CPI. Assumes sale of ESO, Grain LNG, and National Grid Renewables before 2029. Assumes remaining 20% stake in UK Gas Transmission treated as a discontinued operation and therefore does not contribute to group asset growth.
- Until at least the end of the RIIO-T3 period.
- EPS compound annual growth rate from a FY25 baseline. Forward years based on assumed USD FX rate of 1.25; long run UK CPIH, US CPI and interest rate assumptions and scrip uptake of 25%. Assumes sale of ESO, Grain LNG, and National Grid Renewables before 2029. Assumes remaining 20% stake in UK Gas Transmission treated as a discontinued operation and therefore does not contribute to underlying EPS.
- Aim to increase the FY25 DPS by UK CPIH following the rebase of the FY24 DPS of 58.52 pence, after taking account of the new shares issued following the Rights Issue.
ESG and Responsible Business Charter
Our refreshed Responsible Business Charter, continues to articulate what 'responsibility' means for us. Following extensive stakeholder engagement, in September 2023 we updated our Charter to focus on 3 core pillars: Our Environment, Our Customers and Communities, and Our People. These pillars are underpinned by our Responsible Business fundamentals and previous pillars of Economy and Governance are now embedded within these new focused areas.
Performance Highlights
Our Environment | Our Communities & Communities | Our People | ||
- Building on our role as a Principal Partner of COP26, we participated in COP27 last year
- Continue to advocate for Clean Energy Vision
- Viking Link interconnector completed - taking total capacity across our portfolio to 7.8GW
-
Maintained our CDP Climate
Change 'A list' rating for the 8th consecutive year
- Reliability of over 99.99% across our networks
- Connected 3,030 MW of renewable energy across our UK and US transmission and distribution networks
- £513m cost efficiency savings, exceeding the £400m FY24 target
- 'Stand Up For Safety' campaign launched as a core element of our new safety strategy
- We are a Living Wage Foundation employer in the UK; and in the US all colleagues are paid above the statutory minimum
- Diversity, equity and inclusion remains top of our priorities, as demonstrated by our executive remuneration policy which includes a focus on ESG
Our 'Grid Guide to' ESG Investor Series
A National Grid investor series containing a selection of podcasts and virtual sessions on relevant Environmental, Social and Governance topics and themes. You can browse our latest content by visiting our dedicated Environmental, Social and Governance webpage.
Our Clean Energy Vision
National Grid's vision is to fully eliminate fossil fuels from our US energy networks, enabling our customers and communities to meet their heating needs without using fossil fuels by 2050, if not sooner. Please visit: www.nationalgrid.com/us/fossilfree
Awards and recognition
To be held account against our environmental, societal and governance business commitments, National Grid is proud to share reporting data and have our sustainable efforts analysed.
Recognised as a Top 50 employer for gender equality in 2023 by The Times
Became a constituent of the 2024 Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index for the third year running
^
'AAA' (highest score) for the seventh consecutive year
Remained a constituent of the FTSE4Good Index
Achieved an 'A grading' rating (the highest) for our response to climate change for the eighth consecutive year and achieved a 'B-' grading for our CDP Water disclosure
Prime rating (C+), industry- leading score
*
Awarded score of 18.3/100 (Low Risk) in relation to experiencing material impacts from ESG and a strong score for management of impacts
Equileap
Ranked 2nd in the UK and 4th globally for gender equality by Equileap
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Important notice
Further information
Nick Ashworth | Angela Broad | James Flanagan |
Director of Investor Relations | Senior Investor Relations Officer | Investor Relations Manager (US) |
M +44 (0) 7814 355 590 | M +44 (0) 7825 351 918 | M +44 (0) 7970 778 952 |
nicholas.ashworth@nationalgrid.com | angela.broad@nationalgrid.com | james.flanagan2@nationalgrid.com |
Daniel Evans | George Adkins |
Investor Relations Analyst | Investor Relations Associate |
M +44 (0) 7593 598 877 | M +44 (0) 7805 220 867 |
daniel.evans1@nationalgrid.com | george.adkins@nationalgrid.com |
National Grid plc | |
1-3 Strand | |
London WC2N 5EH | |
United Kingdom |
nationalgrid.com/investors
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National Grid plc published this content on 24 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 May 2024 12:01:05 UTC.