Projected Income Statement: National Storage REIT

Forecast Balance Sheet: National Storage REIT

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 662 888 874 1,340 1,826 1,943 2,118 2,303
Change - 34.14% -1.58% 53.32% 36.27% 6.44% 9.01% 8.73%
Announcement Date 8/24/21 8/21/22 8/22/23 8/20/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: National Storage REIT

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 429.7 47.74 213 260.9 461.9 323.1 293 275
Change - -88.89% 346.07% 22.51% 77.04% -30.05% -9.32% -6.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 134.4 118 - -76.48 -243.3 -51.62 -18.82 19.77
Change - -12.19% - - -218.13% 78.78% 63.53% 205.01%
Announcement Date 8/24/21 8/21/22 8/22/23 8/20/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: National Storage REIT

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 58.52% 58.2% 58.36% 54.5% 52.15% 55.16% 55.28% 55.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 57.44% 57.06% 57.5% 54.1% 51.15% 54.28% 54.71% 55.33%
EBT Margin (%) 142.63% 226.2% 101.27% 69.27% 67.72% 42.13% 41.93% 42.04%
Net margin (%) 142.23% 9.76% 11.3% 8.29% 7.5% 41.34% 50.95% 41.78%
FCF margin (%) 61.72% 42.32% - -21.91% -66.33% -12.6% -4.21% 4.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 43.39% 433.55% - -264.32% -884.73% -30.48% -8.27% 9.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.94% 3.46% 3.28% 3.16% 2.99% 3.47% 3.56% 3.63%
ROE 4.32% 4.94% 4.56% 4.47% 4.59% 4.67% 4.77% 4.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.2x 5.47x 4.54x 7.05x 9.54x 8.6x 8.58x 8.57x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.93x 7.53x - -17.52x -7.5x -37.65x -112.53x 116.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 197.35% 17.12% 64.52% 74.76% 125.93% 78.86% 65.59% 56.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 337.23% 29.41% 110.57% 137.17% 241.45% 142.97% 118.66% 102.36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 319.75% 40.45% - -341.13% -189.85% -625.94% -1,556.5% 1,391.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1318 0.139 0.1514 0.1354 0.1581 0.1172 0.123 0.1352
Change - 5.46% 8.9% -10.54% 16.76% -25.88% 4.98% 9.88%
Dividend per Share 1 0.082 0.1 0.11 0.11 0.111 0.1179 0.1236 0.1294
Change - 21.95% 10% 0% 0.91% 6.23% 4.84% 4.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.698 2.375 2.512 2.559 2.614 2.694 2.788 2.902
Change - 39.81% 5.76% 1.89% 2.15% 3.05% 3.51% 4.08%
EPS 1 0.3021 0.5205 0.2575 0.1689 0.1705 0.1198 0.1285 0.136
Change - 72.29% -50.53% -34.41% 0.95% -29.72% 7.24% 5.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,183,070 1,195,498 1,348,383 1,370,353 1,391,438 1,403,977 1,403,977 1,403,977
Announcement Date 8/24/21 8/21/22 8/22/23 8/20/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.2x 21.6x
PBR 1.03x 1x
EV / Sales 14.3x 13.5x
Yield 4.24% 4.45%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
2.780AUD
Average target price
2.789AUD
Spread / Average Target
+0.31%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NSR Stock
  4. Financials National Storage REIT