Projected Income Statement: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,700 12,675 13,657 12,910 14,396 14,972 15,539 14,871
Change - 18.46% 7.75% -5.47% 11.51% 4% 3.79% -4.3%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/27/25 3/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 752.8 1,784 2,750 1,211 3,260 3,061 3,014 2,059
Change - 136.95% 54.18% -55.97% 169.18% -6.08% -1.56% -31.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,221 -1,574 -744.6 838.9 -1,170 -478.3 -320.8 903
Change - 51.14% 52.69% 212.65% -239.46% 59.11% 32.94% 381.53%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/27/25 3/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -266.03% -13.91% 21.76% 25.85% 27.78% 26.83% 27.59% 28.08%
EBIT Margin (%) -374.18% -29.38% 12.31% 16.46% 16.8% 16.48% 17.26% 17.81%
EBT Margin (%) -694.66% -47% 1.91% 8.15% 4.36% 9.11% 9.91% 10.96%
Net margin (%) -695.48% -46.86% 1.94% 9.6% 4.31% 8.91% 9.62% 11.03%
FCF margin (%) -497.06% -32.49% -8.71% 8.85% -11.9% -4.51% -2.84% 7.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 71.47% 69.33% -448.1% 92.16% -276.4% -50.66% -29.5% 68.48%

Profitability

        
ROA -24.28% -12.18% 1.57% 4.75% 4.92% 4.84% 4.99% 5.2%
ROE -86.92% -155.7% 161.33% 108.62% 57.48% 38.44% 30.42% 23.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -6.21x -18.81x 7.34x 5.27x 5.27x 5.27x 4.98x 4.43x
Debt / Free cash flow -3.32x -8.05x -18.34x 15.39x -12.31x -31.3x -48.45x 16.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 116.18% 36.83% 32.17% 12.77% 33.17% 28.89% 26.68% 17.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -43.67% -264.69% 147.81% 49.41% 119.39% 107.69% 96.67% 61.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -23.37% -113.34% -369.35% 144.35% -278.63% -640% -939.57% 228.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -6.753 0.5003 4.693 3.98 4.374 4.661 5.437 5.75
Change - 107.41% 838% -15.19% 9.9% 6.55% 16.65% 5.76%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 5.835 0.1634 0.7069 3.241 4.854 6.627 8.965 11.97
Change - -97.2% 332.62% 358.44% 49.79% 36.53% 35.27% 33.51%
EPS 1 -12.33 -5.41 0.39 1.89 0.92 2.049 2.33 2.583
Change - 56.12% 107.21% 384.62% -51.32% 122.7% 13.73% 10.87%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 416,892 421,396 425,425 439,708 455,257 455,546 455,546 455,546
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/27/25 3/2/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.2x 9.01x
PBR 3.17x 2.34x
EV / Sales 2.32x 2.22x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
20.99USD
Average target price
25.16USD
Spread / Average Target
+19.86%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NCLH Stock
  4. Financials Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.