Financials NuVista Energy Ltd.

Equities

NVA

CA67072Q1046

Oil & Gas Exploration and Production

Market Closed - Toronto S.E. 04:00:00 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
12.82 CAD +0.16% Intraday chart for NuVista Energy Ltd. +3.89% +16.12%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 719.3 212.2 1,584 2,799 2,320 2,645 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,281 811 2,064 2,971 2,320 2,854 2,829 2,645
P/E ratio -11.4 x -1.07 x 6.11 x 4.67 x 6.69 x 7.84 x 5.04 x 3.79 x
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 1.64 x 0.49 x - 1.83 x 1.85 x 1.99 x 1.67 x 1.66 x
EV / Revenue 2.93 x 1.85 x - 1.95 x 1.85 x 2.15 x 1.78 x 1.66 x
EV / EBITDA 4.28 x 4.04 x - 3.14 x 2.92 x 3.83 x 3.07 x 2.73 x
EV / FCF -25.4 x -34.4 x - 6.28 x - 20.7 x 11.8 x 7.51 x
FCF Yield -3.93% -2.91% - 15.9% - 4.83% 8.46% 13.3%
Price to Book 0.53 x 0.18 x - - - - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 225,474 225,727 227,545 224,297 210,167 206,332 - -
Reference price 2 3.190 0.9400 6.960 12.48 11.04 12.82 12.82 12.82
Announcement Date 3/3/20 3/2/21 3/9/22 3/8/23 2/29/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 437.3 437.3 - 1,526 1,253 1,326 1,586 1,597
EBITDA 1 299.3 200.6 - 947 795.5 745.5 921.2 969.6
EBIT 1 79.87 -907 - - - 755 1,047 -
Operating Margin 18.26% -207.4% - - - 56.94% 66.02% -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -103.1 - - - 476.2 434 609 646
Net income 1 -63.83 -197.9 264.7 631 367.7 331.2 526 570
Net margin -14.6% -45.25% - 41.35% 29.34% 24.97% 33.17% 35.69%
EPS 2 -0.2800 -0.8800 1.140 2.670 1.650 1.635 2.543 3.380
Free Cash Flow 1 -50.35 -23.58 - 473.3 - 137.9 239.3 352
FCF margin -11.51% -5.39% - 31.02% - 10.4% 15.09% 22.04%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - 49.98% - 18.49% 25.98% 36.3%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - 75.01% - 41.63% 45.5% 61.75%
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/3/20 3/2/21 3/9/22 3/8/23 2/29/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Net sales 1 166.1 - - - - - - - - 333.1 276 302 310 366
EBITDA 1 98.84 - 211.1 210.2 254.7 270.9 222.4 149.4 216.2 207.6 159 - - -
EBIT - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - - - - - - - 111.8 87 104 95 148
Net income 1 147.1 - - - - - - - - 89.51 77 92 85 133
Net margin 88.53% - - - - - - - - 26.87% 27.9% 30.46% 27.42% 36.34%
EPS 2 0.6300 0.4800 0.3000 0.7400 0.9500 0.6900 0.3600 0.3900 0.5000 0.4000 0.3067 0.4400 0.4100 0.6600
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 11/10/21 3/9/22 5/10/22 8/3/22 11/9/22 3/8/23 5/9/23 8/9/23 11/8/23 2/29/24 - - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 562 599 480 172 - 209 184 -
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.877 x 2.985 x - 0.1814 x - 0.2801 x 0.1993 x -
Free Cash Flow 1 -50.4 -23.6 - 473 - 138 239 352
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 1.71% -17.6% - 44.9% - 15% 16% -
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 5.980 5.130 - - - - - -
Cash Flow per Share 2 1.180 0.7000 1.380 3.780 3.400 3.170 3.960 5.190
Capex 1 302 180 - 419 - 502 523 500
Capex / Sales 69.02% 41.26% - 27.49% - 37.84% 33% 31.31%
Announcement Date 3/3/20 3/2/21 3/9/22 3/8/23 2/29/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
12.82 CAD
Average target price
16.04 CAD
Spread / Average Target
+25.10%
Consensus
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