Projected Income Statement: Pernod Ricard

Forecast Balance Sheet: Pernod Ricard

balance-sheet-analysis-chart PERNOD-RICARD
Fiscal Period: Juni 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 8,424 7,452 8,657 10,273 10,951 10,482 10,336 10,177
Change - -11.54% 16.17% 18.67% 6.6% -4.28% -1.39% -1.54%
Announcement Date 9/2/20 9/1/21 9/1/22 8/31/23 8/29/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: Juni 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 352 370 481 610 766 768.7 725.8 675.7
Change - 5.11% 30% 26.82% 25.57% 0.35% -5.58% -6.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 830 1,628 1,813 1,431 963 1,635 1,569 1,689
Change - 96.14% 11.36% -21.07% -32.7% 69.74% -4.04% 7.67%
Announcement Date 9/2/20 9/1/21 9/1/22 8/31/23 8/29/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: Juni 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 30.89% 31.62% 31.82% 31.02% 30.67% 30.56% 30.94% 31.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.75% 27.46% 28.26% 27.59% 26.87% 26.74% 27.16% 27.45%
EBT Margin (%) 7.2% 22.51% 25.27% 24.17% 19.59% 22.79% 23.85% 24.47%
Net margin (%) 3.89% 14.79% 18.65% 18.64% 12.73% 16.7% 17.22% 17.73%
FCF margin (%) 9.82% 18.45% 16.94% 11.79% 8.3% 14.46% 13.52% 13.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 252.28% 124.75% 90.83% 63.26% 65.24% 86.6% 78.55% 78.63%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.6% 5.06% 5.86% 6.35% 5.2% 4.79% 4.91% 5.02%
ROE 9.61% 11.2% 12.97% 14.78% 12.71% 11.59% 11.58% 11.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.23x 2.67x 2.54x 2.73x 3.08x 3.03x 2.88x 2.69x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.15x 4.58x 4.77x 7.18x 11.37x 6.41x 6.59x 6.03x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.17% 4.19% 4.49% 5.03% 6.6% 6.8% 6.26% 5.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.49% 13.26% 14.13% 16.2% 21.54% 22.25% 20.22% 17.88%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 42.41% 22.73% 26.53% 42.63% 79.54% 47.02% 46.27% 40.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.473 7.64 8.833 7.914 - 8.418 9.658 10.25
Change - 70.81% 15.61% -10.4% - - 14.73% 6.11%
Dividend per Share 1 2.66 3.12 4.12 4.7 4.7 4.378 4.522 4.636
Change - 17.29% 32.05% 14.08% 0% -6.86% 3.3% 2.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 52.63 56.63 61.81 61.48 62.17 65.49 67.2 70.03
Change - 7.6% 9.16% -0.53% 1.11% 5.34% 2.61% 4.21%
EPS 1 1.246 4.99 7.685 8.806 5.83 7.324 7.861 8.509
Change - 300.5% 54.01% 14.58% -33.8% 25.63% 7.33% 8.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 262,811 260,829 259,563 256,132 250,009 251,302 251,302 251,302
Announcement Date 9/2/20 9/1/21 9/1/22 8/31/23 8/29/24 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.9x 13.8x
PBR 1.66x 1.62x
EV / Sales 3.35x 3.25x
Yield 4.02% 4.15%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

eps-dividend-chart PERNOD-RICARD

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

evolution-chart PERNOD-RICARD

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

evolution-chart PERNOD-RICARD
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
surperformance-ratings-light-chart PERNOD-RICARDMore Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
108.85EUR
Average target price
135.95EUR
Spread / Average Target
+24.90%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RI Stock
  4. Financials Pernod Ricard