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| 76.90 EUR | +0.81% |
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77.06 | +0.21% |
| 12:09pm | Pernod Ricard, Trinchero in definitive agreement for sale of Mumm Napa sparkling wines | RE |
| Dec. 14 | India, France seal treaty revamp giving Paris dividend relief, Delhi tax rights | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Pernod Ricard
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 8,824 | 10,701 | 12,137 | 11,598 | 10,959 | 9,965 | 10,078 | 10,396 |
| Change | - | 21.27% | 13.42% | -4.44% | -5.51% | -9.07% | 1.13% | 3.16% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,790 | 3,405 | 3,765 | 3,557 | 3,373 | 3,012 | 3,077 | 3,190 |
| Change | - | 22.04% | 10.57% | -5.52% | -5.17% | -10.7% | 2.15% | 3.7% |
| EBIT 1 | 2,423 | 3,024 | 3,348 | 3,116 | 2,951 | 2,613 | 2,672 | 2,773 |
| Change | - | 24.8% | 10.71% | -6.93% | -5.3% | -11.46% | 2.28% | 3.78% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -262 | -215 | -291 | -417 | -455 | -454.9 | -445.9 | -434.5 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,986 | 2,704 | 2,933 | 2,272 | 2,250 | 2,132 | 2,225 | 2,334 |
| Change | - | 36.15% | 8.47% | -22.54% | -0.97% | -5.23% | 4.34% | 4.93% |
| Net income 1 | 1,305 | 1,996 | 2,262 | 1,476 | 1,626 | 1,535 | 1,605 | 1,716 |
| Change | - | 52.95% | 13.33% | -34.75% | 10.16% | -5.62% | 4.6% | 6.92% |
| Announcement Date | 9/1/21 | 9/1/22 | 8/31/23 | 8/29/24 | 8/28/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Pernod Ricard
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 7,452 | 8,657 | 10,273 | 10,951 | 10,727 | 10,174 | 10,113 | 9,738 |
| Change | - | 16.17% | 18.67% | 6.6% | -2.05% | -5.16% | -0.6% | -3.71% |
| Announcement Date | 9/1/21 | 9/1/22 | 8/31/23 | 8/29/24 | 8/28/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Pernod Ricard
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 370 | 481 | 610 | 766 | - | 557.2 | 551.5 | 536.2 |
| Change | - | 30% | 26.82% | 25.57% | - | - | -1.03% | -2.78% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,628 | 1,813 | 1,431 | 963 | 1,133 | 1,242 | 1,335 | 1,593 |
| Change | - | 11.36% | -21.07% | -32.7% | 17.65% | 9.61% | 7.51% | 19.32% |
| Announcement Date | 9/1/21 | 9/1/22 | 8/31/23 | 8/29/24 | 8/28/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Pernod Ricard
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 31.62% | 31.82% | 31.02% | 30.67% | 30.78% | 30.23% | 30.53% | 30.69% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 27.46% | 28.26% | 27.59% | 26.87% | 26.93% | 26.22% | 26.52% | 26.67% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 22.51% | 25.27% | 24.17% | 19.59% | 20.53% | 21.4% | 22.07% | 22.45% |
| Net margin (%) | 14.79% | 18.65% | 18.64% | 12.73% | 14.84% | 15.4% | 15.93% | 16.51% |
| FCF margin (%) | 18.45% | 16.94% | 11.79% | 8.3% | 10.34% | 12.46% | 13.25% | 15.32% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 124.75% | 90.83% | 63.26% | 65.24% | 69.68% | 80.92% | 83.18% | 92.83% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.06% | 5.86% | 6.35% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.11% | 4.23% | 4.4% |
| ROE | 11.2% | 12.97% | 14.78% | 12.71% | 11.81% | 9.98% | 10.01% | 9.97% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.67x | 2.54x | 2.73x | 3.08x | 3.18x | 3.38x | 3.29x | 3.05x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.58x | 4.77x | 7.18x | 11.37x | 9.47x | 8.19x | 7.57x | 6.11x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.19% | 4.49% | 5.03% | 6.6% | - | 5.59% | 5.47% | 5.16% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 13.26% | 14.13% | 16.2% | 21.54% | - | 18.5% | 17.93% | 16.81% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 22.73% | 26.53% | 42.63% | 79.54% | - | 44.87% | 41.31% | 33.66% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 7.64 | 8.833 | 7.914 | - | - | 8.217 | 8.1 | 7.102 |
| Change | - | 15.61% | -10.4% | - | - | - | -1.42% | -12.32% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 3.12 | 4.12 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.658 | 4.419 | 4.719 |
| Change | - | 32.05% | 14.08% | 0% | 0% | -0.88% | -5.14% | 6.79% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 56.63 | 61.81 | 61.48 | 62.17 | 60.3 | 61.44 | 63.33 | 65.6 |
| Change | - | 9.16% | -0.53% | 1.11% | -3% | 1.9% | 3.06% | 3.59% |
| EPS 1 | 4.99 | 7.685 | 8.806 | 5.83 | 6.452 | 6.075 | 6.338 | 6.734 |
| Change | - | 54.01% | 14.58% | -33.8% | 10.68% | -5.85% | 4.33% | 6.24% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 260,829 | 259,563 | 256,132 | 250,009 | 251,623 | 251,655 | 251,655 | 251,655 |
| Announcement Date | 9/1/21 | 9/1/22 | 8/31/23 | 8/29/24 | 8/28/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.6x | 12x |
| PBR | 1.24x | 1.2x |
| EV / Sales | 2.95x | 2.91x |
| Yield | 6.11% | 5.79% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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