Projected Income Statement: Ratch Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 54,158 64,634 66,407 84,404 99,985 97,952 82,265 76,345
Change - 19.34% 2.74% 27.1% 18.46% -2.03% -16.01% -7.2%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,894 2,375 3,045 2,042 1,435 13,398 12,662 9,032
Change - 25.45% 28.2% -32.93% -29.75% 833.67% -5.49% -28.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,260 5,129 7,699 6,101 10,916 21,774 21,901 23,141
Change - -2.49% 50.11% -20.76% 78.93% 99.46% 0.58% 5.66%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.46% 7.62% 15.91% 19.95% 21.38% 27.32% 33.25% 19.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.72% 3.56% 6.6% 7.79% 7.69% 11.05% 16.08% 10.8%
EBT Margin (%) 21.32% 8.85% 14.51% 21.82% 27.48% 22.48% 25.05% 17.76%
Net margin (%) 20.82% 7.74% 11.83% 18.49% 22.97% 18.7% 21.52% 15.42%
FCF margin (%) 14.09% 6.86% 17.63% 18.41% 40.31% 62.3% 68.52% 52.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.68% 88.71% 149% 99.58% 175.49% 333.13% 318.44% 339.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.82% 2.99% 2.33% 2.86% 2.75% 3.95% 4.04% 3.96%
ROE 11.88% 6.9% 5.27% 6.27% 6.52% 6.91% 7.08% 6.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.64x 11.35x 9.56x 12.77x 17.27x 10.26x 7.74x 8.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.3x 12.6x 8.63x 13.83x 9.16x 4.5x 3.76x 3.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.07% 3.18% 6.97% 6.16% 5.3% 38.33% 39.62% 20.42%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40.7% 41.7% 43.83% 30.9% 24.79% 140.32% 119.15% 103.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36% 46.31% 39.55% 33.48% 13.14% 61.53% 57.81% 39.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.934 3.45 4.94 3.744 5.679 5.75 7.047 7.01
Change - -30.06% 43.17% -24.21% 51.67% 1.26% 22.55% -0.52%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.623 1.627
Change - -36% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1.43% 0.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 48.48 45.07 45.06 43.88 42.97 45.49 47.8 49.12
Change - -7.02% -0.03% -2.61% -2.08% 5.87% 5.08% 2.76%
EPS 1 5.36 3.15 2.38 2.82 2.86 3.002 3.152 3.144
Change - -41.23% -24.44% 18.49% 1.42% 4.98% 5% -0.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,450,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.3x 10.8x
PBR 0.75x 0.71x
EV / Sales 4.92x 4.89x
Yield 4.71% 4.77%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
34.00THB
Average target price
34.35THB
Spread / Average Target
+1.03%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. RATCH Stock
  4. Financials Ratch Group