Projected Income Statement: Sage Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 151 247 733 561 738 728 418 74.2
Change - 63.58% 196.76% -23.47% 31.55% -1.36% -42.58% -82.25%
Announcement Date 11/20/20 11/17/21 11/16/22 11/22/23 11/20/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 40 39 12 5 19 22 25.62 23.4
Change - -2.5% -69.23% -58.33% 280% 15.79% 16.48% -8.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 366 337 295 404 524 498.5 555.5 626.5
Change - -7.92% -12.46% 36.95% 29.7% -4.87% 11.43% 12.79%
Announcement Date 11/20/20 11/17/21 11/16/22 11/22/23 11/20/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.17% 24% 24.04% 25.32% 26.67% 26.12% 26.6% 27.07%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.6% 19.39% 19.36% 20.88% 22.68% 23.43% 23.93% 24.37%
EBT Margin (%) 19.6% 18.8% 17.31% 12.91% 18.27% 20.23% 21.18% 21.86%
Net margin (%) 16.29% 15.44% 13.35% 9.66% 13.85% 15.18% 15.9% 16.35%
FCF margin (%) 19.23% 18.26% 15.15% 18.5% 22.47% 19.55% 19.91% 20.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 118.06% 118.25% 113.46% 191.47% 162.23% 128.75% 125.19% 126.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.77% 8.09% 7.28% 8.4% 10.09% 10.77% 11.7% 11.29%
ROE 19.65% 20.63% 20.97% 23.47% 30.56% 40.01% 43.26% 45.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3x 0.56x 1.57x 1.01x 1.19x 1.09x 0.56x 0.09x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.41x 0.73x 2.48x 1.39x 1.41x 1.46x 0.75x 0.12x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.1% 2.11% 0.62% 0.23% 0.81% 0.86% 0.92% 0.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.03% 8.8% 2.56% 0.9% 3.05% 3.3% 3.45% 2.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 10.93% 11.57% 4.07% 1.24% 3.63% 4.41% 4.61% 3.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3691 0.345 0.2762 0.3736 0.479 0.5705 0.6142 0.6925
Change - -6.54% -19.93% 35.26% 28.22% 19.09% 7.66% 12.75%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1725 0.1768 0.184 0.193 0.2045 0.22 0.2329 0.2488
Change - 2.49% 4.07% 4.89% 5.96% 7.57% 5.85% 6.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.514 1.067 1.37 1.379 1.085 1.026 1.274 1.471
Change - -29.53% 28.36% 0.72% -21.31% -5.49% 24.17% 15.45%
EPS 1 0.2815 0.2608 0.2517 0.2043 0.3155 0.3852 0.4455 0.5032
Change - -7.35% -3.49% -18.83% 54.43% 22.08% 15.67% 12.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,092,754 1,043,006 1,015,010 1,022,463 997,654 983,411 983,411 983,411
Announcement Date 11/20/20 11/17/21 11/16/22 11/22/23 11/20/24 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 34.4x 29.7x
PBR 12.9x 10.4x
EV / Sales 5.39x 4.82x
Yield 1.66% 1.76%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
13.24GBP
Average target price
13.50GBP
Spread / Average Target
+1.91%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SGE Stock
  4. Financials Sage Group plc