Financials Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited

Equities

000488

CNE0000015H5

Paper Products

End-of-day quote Shenzhen S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-29 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
3.84 CNY -0.26% Intraday chart for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited -2.78% -1.03%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 12,391 14,075 15,710 10,935 8,358 8,103 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 46,029 45,885 47,146 41,976 38,022 36,694 35,899 33,590
P/E ratio 15.4 x 17.8 x 12.9 x 166 x -8.62 x -26.5 x -64 x -768 x
Yield 2.95% 2.88% - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.41 x 0.46 x 0.48 x 0.34 x 0.31 x 0.3 x 0.29 x 0.28 x
EV / Revenue 1.51 x 1.49 x 1.43 x 1.31 x 1.43 x 1.36 x 1.29 x 1.17 x
EV / EBITDA 6.73 x 11.7 x 6.77 x 9.72 x 21.1 x 19.9 x 20.3 x 19.8 x
EV / FCF - - - - - - - -
FCF Yield - - - - - - - -
Price to Book 0.59 x 1.02 x 1.13 x 0.82 x - 0.65 x 0.63 x 0.61 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,904,608 2,904,608 2,904,608 2,900,142 2,877,213 2,877,213 - -
Reference price 2 5.090 6.420 7.240 4.980 3.880 3.840 3.840 3.840
Announcement Date 3/27/20 3/25/21 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 30,395 30,737 33,020 32,004 26,609 27,019 27,925 28,724
EBITDA 1 6,835 3,905 6,961 4,319 1,804 1,839 1,767 1,700
EBIT 1 1,584 1,585 4,543 2,001 -515.4 -221.1 -235.5 -247
Operating Margin 5.21% 5.16% 13.76% 6.25% -1.94% -0.82% -0.84% -0.86%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 2,048 2,172 2,306 182.3 - 148.3 602.8 829.6
Net income 1 1,657 1,712 2,066 189.3 -1,281 -426.2 -179 -22.83
Net margin 5.45% 5.57% 6.26% 0.59% -4.82% -1.58% -0.64% -0.08%
EPS 2 0.3300 0.3600 0.5600 0.0300 -0.4500 -0.1450 -0.0600 -0.005000
Free Cash Flow - - - - - - - -
FCF margin - - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.1500 0.1850 - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/27/20 3/25/21 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1 2024 S2 2025 S1 2025 S2
Net sales 1 17,047 13,600 17,137 17,173 15,847 16,676 15,328 12,565 14,044 12,616 12,493 12,484 12,608
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - - - 2,324 1,072 284.5 1,716 -903.9 -403.7 -104.2 -116.9 -124.1 -111.4
Operating Margin - - - 13.53% 6.76% 1.71% 11.2% -7.19% -2.87% -0.83% -0.94% -0.99% -0.88%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net income - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net margin - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EPS 2 0.3170 0.0510 0.3100 0.6040 -0.0440 0.0640 -0.0340 -0.2500 -0.2000 -0.1700 -0.1700 -0.1700 -0.1600
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/27/20 8/10/20 3/25/21 8/26/21 3/30/22 8/30/22 3/30/23 8/30/23 3/28/24 - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 33,638 31,809 31,436 31,040 29,664 28,591 27,796 25,486
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.921 x 8.145 x 4.516 x 7.187 x 16.44 x 15.54 x 15.73 x 14.99 x
Free Cash Flow - - - - - - - -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 5.57% 5.84% 9.53% 0.55% - 0.82% 3.39% 4.69%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 1.63% 1.81% 2.37% - - - - -
Assets 1 101,630 94,744 87,208 - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 8.670 6.300 6.400 6.070 - 5.940 6.090 6.340
Cash Flow per Share 2 4.210 3.770 2.880 1.160 - -0.2900 2.970 0.3700
Capex 975 122 415 653 - - - -
Capex / Sales 3.21% 0.4% 1.26% 2.04% - - - -
Announcement Date 3/27/20 3/25/21 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
3.84 CNY
Average target price
2.3 CNY
Spread / Average Target
-40.10%
Consensus
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