Financials Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd.

Equities

002568

CNE1000011K6

Distillers & Wineries

End-of-day quote Shenzhen S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-29 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
20.4 CNY -0.54% Intraday chart for Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd. -0.83% -17.11%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 13,628 55,778 44,774 39,066 25,662 21,272 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 13,628 55,778 43,392 37,969 25,701 19,558 19,675 20,342
P/E ratio 45.3 x 101 x 67.2 x 74.7 x 31.6 x 24.1 x 16.6 x 17.6 x
Yield 1.52% 0.48% 0.84% - - 2.39% 2.99% 2.98%
Capitalization / Revenue 9.28 x 29 x 17.3 x 15.1 x 7.86 x 5.75 x 4.31 x 4.41 x
EV / Revenue 9.28 x 29 x 16.7 x 14.6 x 7.87 x 5.28 x 3.98 x 4.22 x
EV / EBITDA 29.4 x 73 x 46.2 x 47.1 x 21.3 x 14.9 x 11.1 x 12 x
EV / FCF 83 x - - 136 x -47.4 x 24.3 x 23.9 x 17.9 x
FCF Yield 1.2% - - 0.74% -2.11% 4.12% 4.18% 5.59%
Price to Book 6.82 x 17.4 x 12.4 x 10.9 x 6.68 x 4.15 x 3.54 x 3.83 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,016,813 1,048,270 1,047,699 1,045,659 1,042,756 1,042,764 - -
Reference price 2 13.40 53.21 42.74 37.36 24.61 20.40 20.40 20.40
Announcement Date 3/30/20 3/30/21 4/25/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,468 1,927 2,594 2,593 3,264 3,701 4,941 4,820
EBITDA 1 463.8 763.8 940.1 805.7 1,206 1,315 1,770 1,693
EBIT 1 391.4 672.1 838.1 651 1,025 1,121 1,584 1,533
Operating Margin 26.66% 34.88% 32.31% 25.1% 31.39% 30.28% 32.06% 31.8%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 381 674.8 842.5 651 1,028 1,129 1,619 1,553
Net income 1 300.3 535.5 666.1 521.3 809.4 887 1,287 1,219
Net margin 20.45% 27.79% 25.67% 20.1% 24.8% 23.96% 26.04% 25.3%
EPS 2 0.2959 0.5255 0.6357 0.5000 0.7800 0.8476 1.227 1.159
Free Cash Flow 1 164.1 - - 279.9 -542.2 806 822 1,137
FCF margin 11.18% - - 10.79% -16.61% 21.78% 16.64% 23.59%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 35.39% - - 34.75% - 61.31% 46.45% 67.17%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 54.64% - - 53.7% - 90.87% 63.88% 93.24%
Dividend per Share 2 0.2041 0.2551 0.3571 - - 0.4871 0.6099 0.6081
Announcement Date 3/30/20 3/30/21 4/25/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 679.8 538.6 498.5 608 948.3 760.1 891 805.9 807 801.9 942.2 1,040 1,749 - -
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 128.1 119.1 152.1 105.3 274.5 243.4 302.6 291.4 187.2 206.2 336.1 326.1 - - -
Operating Margin 18.84% 22.11% 30.52% 17.32% 28.95% 32.02% 33.96% 36.16% 23.19% 25.71% 35.67% 31.35% - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - 187.5 - - - - - -
Net income 1 - - - - - - 251.3 - 144.2 - 209.8 136.5 356.9 - -
Net margin - - - - - - 28.2% - 17.87% - 22.27% 13.12% 20.41% - -
EPS 2 - - - 0.0800 0.2100 - 0.2400 - 0.1400 - 0.1998 0.1299 0.3399 - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.5261 - -
Announcement Date 4/25/22 4/25/22 8/24/22 10/27/22 4/27/23 4/27/23 7/27/23 10/26/23 4/25/24 4/25/24 - - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - 38.5 - - -
Net Cash position 1 - - 1,383 1,097 - 1,715 1,597 930
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.0319 x - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 164 - - 280 -542 806 822 1,137
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 15.1% 23.8% 19.3% 13.7% 20.2% 21% 22.6% 22.4%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 12% 16.6% 14% - - 14% 14.9% -
Assets 1 2,493 3,224 4,764 - - 6,336 8,622 -
Book Value Per Share 2 1.960 3.060 3.440 3.420 3.690 4.920 5.770 5.330
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.5200 0.6900 0.8300 0.8600 0.5400 1.250 1.480 -
Capex 1 366 385 433 624 1,104 356 310 342
Capex / Sales 24.95% 19.99% 16.69% 24.04% 33.84% 9.63% 6.27% 7.09%
Announcement Date 3/30/20 3/30/21 4/25/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
20.4 CNY
Average target price
28.32 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+38.80%
Consensus
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