Projected Income Statement: The Allstate Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: The Allstate Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt - - - 7,220 - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/4/26 - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The Allstate Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
CAPEX 1 433 308 345 420 267 210
Change - -28.87% 12.01% 21.74% -36.43% -21.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -11,136 2,701 21,408 5,834 4,055 7,450
Change - 124.25% 692.64% -72.75% -30.49% 83.71%
Announcement Date 2/21/20 2/22/21 2/18/22 2/16/23 2/21/24 2/24/25
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The Allstate Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - - - - 2.56% - - - -
EBIT Margin (%) - 16.89% 11.95% -0.84% 1.32% 10.32% 18.18% 12.71% 11.38%
EBT Margin (%) - 18.77% 15.27% -3.69% -0.61% 8.99% 19.44% 11.2% 10.38%
Net margin (%) - 14.73% 3.52% -2.81% -0.55% 7.1% 15.02% 8.99% 8.3%
FCF margin (%) - - - - 6.94% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - -1,253.48% - - - -

Profitability

         
ROA - 3.78% 1.32% -1.43% -0.38% 4.23% 8.79% 4.8% 4.3%
ROE - 19.8% 14.56% -1.23% 1.5% 25.84% 39.06% 21.54% 19%

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.95x 0.86x 0.95x -12.11x 8.28x 1.12x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -0.62x 2.95x 0.36x 1.3x 1.85x 1.02x - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 0.82% 0.83% 0.47% - - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - - 18.3% - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - 6.74% - - - -

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - 17.4 - 18.88 - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 2.16 3.24 3.4 3.56 3.68 4 4.361 4.63
Change - - 50% 4.94% 4.71% 3.37% 8.7% 9.9% 6.16%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 91.5 81.52 58.07 59.39 72.35 108.4 127.5 145.1
Change - - -10.91% -28.77% 2.27% 21.82% 49.9% 19.26% 13.8%
EPS 1 - 17.31 4.96 -5.22 -1.2 16.99 38.06 25.65 26.13
Change - - -71.35% -205.24% 77.01% 1,515.83% 124.01% -15.38% 1.87%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 304,068 286,676 265,210 261,687 264,803 260,136 260,136 260,136
Announcement Date - 2/3/21 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/4/26 - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 5.47x 8.05x
PBR 1.92x 1.62x
EV / Sales 0.8x 0.75x
Yield 1.92% 2.11%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
206.56USD
Average target price
240.05USD
Spread / Average Target
+16.21%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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