Projected Income Statement: The Mosaic Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: The Mosaic Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,512 2,887 3,413 3,952 4,777 4,920 4,665 4,622
Change - -17.8% 18.22% 15.79% 20.88% 2.99% -5.18% -0.92%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The Mosaic Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,289 1,247 1,402 1,252 1,359 1,221 1,286 1,264
Change - -3.21% 12.43% -10.74% 8.6% -10.17% 5.3% -1.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 898.4 2,688 1,005 47.4 -534.6 283.5 798.1 576
Change - 199.25% -62.63% -95.28% -1,227.85% 153.04% 181.48% -27.83%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The Mosaic Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.01% 32.5% 20.16% 19.8% 20.09% 13.12% 17.43% 17.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.19% 27.48% 12.91% 10.29% 11.12% 3.71% 9.05% 9.33%
EBT Margin (%) 18% 24.27% 9.68% 2.84% 10.06% 1.92% 7.26% 7.61%
Net margin (%) 13.2% 18.73% 8.51% 1.57% 4.49% -1.24% 4.8% 5.33%
FCF margin (%) 7.27% 14.06% 7.34% 0.43% -4.44% 2.21% 6.21% 4.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 55.1% 75.04% 86.26% 27.1% -98.87% -178.04% 129.41% 85.3%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.2% 15.78% 5.02% 0.76% 2.28% 0.95% 1.68% 1.13%
ROE 19.06% 31.62% 9.77% 5.34% 6.14% 1.61% 4.04% 4.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.98x 0.46x 1.24x 1.79x 1.97x 2.92x 2.08x 2.05x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.91x 1.07x 3.4x 83.38x -8.94x 17.35x 5.85x 8.02x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.43% 6.52% 10.24% 11.25% 11.28% 9.5% 10% 9.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.94% 20.07% 50.79% 56.85% 56.15% 72.38% 57.37% 56.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 143.43% 46.39% 139.57% 2,640.93% -254.28% 430.68% 161.11% 219.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.731 11.06 7.224 4.051 2.586 5.076 5.887 6.882
Change - 92.91% -34.65% -43.93% -36.16% 96.24% 15.99% 16.9%
Dividend per Share 1 0.275 0.6 1.05 0.85 - 0.8811 0.8993 0.9055
Change - 118.18% 75% -19.05% - - 2.07% 0.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.19 30.84 37.92 36.23 38.07 37.4 39.27 40.16
Change - 13.43% 22.94% -4.46% 5.09% -1.76% 4.99% 2.26%
EPS 1 4.27 10.06 3.5 0.55 1.7 -0.5005 1.927 2.21
Change - 135.6% -65.21% -84.29% 209.09% -129.44% 485.01% 14.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 378,955 340,481 326,835 317,645 317,408 317,847 317,847 317,847
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -43.5x 11.3x
PBR 0.58x 0.55x
EV / Sales 0.92x 0.9x
Yield 4.05% 4.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
21.76USD
Average target price
27.56USD
Spread / Average Target
+26.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MOS Stock
  4. Financials The Mosaic Company