Projected Income Statement: Traton SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Traton SE

balance-sheet-analysis-chart TRATON-SE
Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 7,068 8,026 15,977 19,180 19,921 19,304 18,687 18,007
Change - 13.55% 99.07% 20.05% 3.86% -3.1% -3.2% -3.64%
Announcement Date 3/23/20 3/10/21 3/15/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 997 995 1,131 2,051 2,270 2,464 2,506 2,489
Change - -0.2% 13.67% 81.34% 10.68% 8.54% 1.7% -0.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 91 992 403 -2,711 1,061 2,377 2,524 2,491
Change - 990.11% -59.38% -772.7% -139.14% 123.99% 6.19% -1.28%
Announcement Date 3/23/20 3/10/21 3/15/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.88% 5.92% 13.16% 11.59% 14.94% 14.43% 14.67% 15.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.96% 0.36% 5.22% 5.13% 9.73% 9.01% 8.95% 9.37%
EBT Margin (%) 7.3% -0.15% 2.12% 3.87% 6.94% 7.86% 7.98% 8.64%
Net margin (%) 5.64% -0.45% 1.49% 2.83% 5.23% 5.84% 5.99% 6.42%
FCF margin (%) 0.34% 4.39% 1.32% -6.72% 2.26% 5.06% 5.36% 5.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 5.99% -982.18% 88.18% -237.6% 43.29% 86.75% 89.5% 78.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.32% 0.3% 0.93% 2.01% 4.09% 4.4% 4.37% 4.76%
ROE 9.9% 0.98% 3.46% 8.21% 15.89% 15.75% 14.5% 14.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.42x 6x 3.97x 4.1x 2.85x 2.85x 2.71x 2.41x
Debt / Free cash flow 77.67x 8.09x 39.65x -7.07x 18.78x 8.12x 7.4x 7.23x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.71% 4.41% 3.69% 5.08% 4.84% 5.25% 5.32% 5.03%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.07% 74.42% 28.07% 43.88% 32.42% 36.37% 36.29% 33.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 1,095.6% 100.3% 280.65% -75.65% 213.95% 103.67% 99.28% 99.91%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.176 3.974 3.068 -1.32 5.166 8.124 8.18 8.524
Change - 82.63% -22.8% -143.02% -491.36% 57.26% 0.69% 4.21%
Dividend per Share 1 1 0.25 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.689 1.771 2.012
Change - -75% 100% 40% 114.29% 12.61% 4.83% 13.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.73 25.88 26.89 28.74 32.96 36.66 40.51 45
Change - -6.68% 3.9% 6.87% 14.71% 11.2% 10.51% 11.09%
EPS 1 3.04 -0.2 0.91 2.28 4.9 5.375 5.546 6.164
Change - -106.58% -555% 150.55% 114.91% 9.69% 3.19% 11.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
Announcement Date 3/23/20 3/10/21 3/15/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 4.99x 4.83x
PBR 0.73x 0.66x
EV / Sales 0.7x 0.68x
Yield 6.3% 6.61%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

eps-dividend-chart TRATON-SE

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

evolution-chart TRATON-SE

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

evolution-chart TRATON-SE
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BB
surperformance-ratings-light-chart TRATON-SEMore Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
26.80EUR
Average target price
36.98EUR
Spread / Average Target
+37.99%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise