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Pre-market 01:10:02 am | |||
| 30.46 EUR | +1.47% |
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30.90 | +1.44% |
| Dec. 13 | Billions in orders: Deutsche Bahn orders several thousand buses | DP |
| Dec. 13 | Deutsche Bahn plans to order thousands of buses – MAN to be main supplier | DP |
Projected Income Statement: Traton SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 22,580 | 30,620 | 40,335 | 46,872 | 47,473 | 43,534 | 45,334 | 48,025 |
| Change | - | 35.61% | 31.73% | 16.21% | 1.28% | -8.3% | 4.14% | 5.94% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,337 | 4,029 | 4,674 | 7,001 | 6,173 | 5,226 | 6,171 | 6,943 |
| Change | - | 201.35% | 16.01% | 49.79% | -11.83% | -15.34% | 18.08% | 12.5% |
| EBIT 1 | 81 | 1,599 | 2,071 | 4,561 | 4,384 | 2,687 | 3,577 | 4,129 |
| Change | - | 1,874.07% | 29.52% | 120.23% | -3.88% | -38.71% | 33.14% | 15.42% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -227 | -349 | -225 | -547 | -491 | -380 | -365.8 | -346.6 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -34 | 648 | 1,560 | 3,253 | 3,569 | 2,109 | 3,103 | 3,836 |
| Change | - | 2,005.88% | 140.74% | 108.53% | 9.71% | -40.9% | 47.12% | 23.64% |
| Net income 1 | -101 | 457 | 1,141 | 2,451 | 2,804 | 1,545 | 2,310 | 2,788 |
| Change | - | 552.48% | 149.67% | 114.81% | 14.4% | -44.9% | 49.49% | 20.69% |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/15/22 | 3/7/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/10/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Traton SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 8,026 | 15,977 | 19,180 | 19,921 | 21,688 | 22,946 | 22,264 | 21,798 |
| Change | - | 99.07% | 20.05% | 3.86% | 8.87% | 5.8% | -2.97% | -2.09% |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/15/22 | 3/7/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/10/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Traton SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 995 | 1,131 | 2,051 | 2,270 | 2,780 | 2,966 | 2,822 | 2,973 |
| Change | - | 13.67% | 81.34% | 10.68% | 22.47% | 6.67% | -4.83% | 5.34% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 992 | 403 | -2,711 | 1,061 | 577 | 1,068 | 1,989 | 2,383 |
| Change | - | -59.38% | -772.7% | 139.14% | -45.62% | 85.1% | 86.25% | 19.82% |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/15/22 | 3/7/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/10/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Traton SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 5.92% | 13.16% | 11.59% | 14.94% | 13% | 12% | 13.61% | 14.46% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 0.36% | 5.22% | 5.13% | 9.73% | 9.23% | 6.17% | 7.89% | 8.6% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -0.15% | 2.12% | 3.87% | 6.94% | 7.52% | 4.84% | 6.84% | 7.99% |
| Net margin (%) | -0.45% | 1.49% | 2.83% | 5.23% | 5.91% | 3.55% | 5.09% | 5.8% |
| FCF margin (%) | 4.39% | 1.32% | -6.72% | 2.26% | 1.22% | 2.45% | 4.39% | 4.96% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -982.18% | 88.18% | -237.6% | 43.29% | 20.58% | 69.12% | 86.12% | 85.5% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 0.3% | 0.93% | 2.01% | 4.09% | 4.41% | 2.51% | 2.89% | 3.57% |
| ROE | 0.98% | 3.46% | 8.21% | 15.89% | 16.34% | 9.45% | 12.7% | 13.68% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 6x | 3.97x | 4.1x | 2.85x | 3.51x | 4.39x | 3.61x | 3.14x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 8.09x | 39.65x | -7.07x | 18.78x | 37.59x | 21.48x | 11.19x | 9.15x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.41% | 3.69% | 5.08% | 4.84% | 5.86% | 6.81% | 6.23% | 6.19% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 74.42% | 28.07% | 43.88% | 32.42% | 45.03% | 56.74% | 45.73% | 42.82% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 100.3% | 280.65% | -75.65% | 213.95% | 481.8% | 277.67% | 141.88% | 124.74% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3.974 | 3.068 | -1.32 | 5.166 | 4.68 | 5.114 | 7.755 | 8.202 |
| Change | - | -22.8% | -143.02% | 491.36% | -9.41% | 9.27% | 51.65% | 5.76% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.045 | 1.491 | 1.828 |
| Change | - | 100% | 40% | 114.29% | 13.33% | -38.53% | 42.66% | 22.58% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 25.88 | 26.89 | 28.74 | 32.96 | 35.68 | 35.73 | 40.99 | 45.26 |
| Change | - | 3.9% | 6.87% | 14.71% | 8.23% | 0.16% | 14.72% | 10.41% |
| EPS 1 | -0.2 | 0.91 | 2.28 | 4.9 | 5.61 | 3.307 | 4.693 | 5.587 |
| Change | - | 555% | 150.55% | 114.91% | 14.49% | -41.05% | 41.93% | 19.04% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/15/22 | 3/7/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/10/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 9.24x | 6.51x |
| PBR | 0.86x | 0.75x |
| EV / Sales | 0.88x | 0.83x |
| Yield | 3.42% | 4.88% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- 8TRA Stock
- Financials Traton SE
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