Projected Income Statement: Union Pacific Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,723 32,307 31,508 30,156 30,548 27,299 24,216 25,351
Change - 12.48% -2.47% -4.29% 1.3% -10.64% -11.29% 4.69%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/24/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,936 3,620 3,606 3,452 3,791 3,304 3,523 3,844
Change - 23.3% -0.39% -4.27% 9.82% -12.83% 6.61% 9.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,096 5,742 4,773 5,894 5,499 6,799 7,465 1,690
Change - -5.81% -16.88% 23.49% -6.7% 23.64% 9.79% -77.36%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/24/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 52.95% 48.9% 47.27% 49.94% 50.23% 52.18% 53.12% 53.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.83% 39.87% 37.65% 40.05% 40.17% 41.74% 42.81% 43.08%
EBT Margin (%) 38.88% 36.47% 34.13% 36.26% 37.4% 38.17% 39.5% 41.18%
Net margin (%) 29.92% 28.13% 26.45% 27.82% 29.12% 29.06% 30.21% 31.02%
FCF margin (%) 27.96% 23.08% 19.79% 24.31% 22.44% 26.86% 28.09% 5.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.45% 82.05% 74.82% 87.36% 77.04% 92.44% 92.99% 18%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.36% 10.85% 9.62% 10.07% 10.11% 10.18% 10.67% 11.1%
ROE 41.9% 53.17% 47.3% 42.6% 40.4% 36.41% 33.24% 33.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.49x 2.66x 2.76x 2.49x 2.48x 2.07x 1.72x 1.58x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.71x 5.63x 6.6x 5.12x 5.56x 4.02x 3.24x 15x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.47% 14.55% 14.95% 14.24% 15.47% 13.06% 13.26% 12.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.43% 29.76% 31.63% 28.5% 30.79% 25.02% 24.96% 23.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.16% 63.04% 75.55% 58.57% 68.94% 48.6% 47.2% 227.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.78 15 13.73 15.36 15.65 17.39 18.76 -
Change - 8.87% -8.47% 11.83% 1.93% 11.12% 7.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 4.29 5.08 5.2 5.28 5.44 5.546 5.727 6.337
Change - 18.41% 2.36% 1.54% 3.03% 1.96% 3.25% 10.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.66 19.49 24.23 27.75 30.99 37.3 45.09 52.17
Change - -10.01% 24.33% 14.51% 11.67% 20.36% 20.88% 15.71%
EPS 1 9.95 11.21 10.45 11.09 11.98 12.39 13.57 14.88
Change - 12.66% -6.78% 6.12% 8.03% 3.38% 9.55% 9.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 642,876 642,876 609,597 606,257 593,161 593,391 593,391 593,391
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/24/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.2x 19.4x
PBR 7.05x 5.83x
EV / Sales 7.24x 6.78x
Yield 2.11% 2.18%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
262.80USD
Average target price
264.42USD
Spread / Average Target
+0.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. UNP Stock
  4. Financials Union Pacific Corporation