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| 176.07 USD | +2.58% |
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177.34 | +0.72% |
| Nov. 28 | Vistra Insider Sold Shares Worth $1,424,764, According to a Recent SEC Filing | MT |
| Nov. 25 | KeyBanc Initiates Vistra at Overweight With $217 Price Target | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Vistra Corp.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 11,443 | 12,077 | 13,728 | 14,779 | 17,224 | 19,733 | 22,861 | 24,461 |
| Change | - | 5.54% | 13.67% | 7.66% | 16.54% | 14.57% | 15.85% | 7% |
| EBITDA 1 | 3,685 | 1,908 | 2,994 | 4,101 | 5,539 | 5,923 | 7,161 | 7,751 |
| Change | - | -48.22% | 56.92% | 36.97% | 35.06% | 6.92% | 20.92% | 8.23% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,637 | -1,515 | -1,103 | 2,710 | 4,081 | 3,443 | 4,975 | 5,494 |
| Change | - | -192.55% | 27.19% | 345.69% | 50.59% | -15.63% | 44.48% | 10.43% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -630 | -384 | -368 | -740 | -900 | -1,085 | -974.6 | -960.4 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 890 | -1,722 | -1,560 | 2,000 | 2,409 | 2,429 | 4,038 | 4,618 |
| Change | - | -293.48% | 9.41% | 228.21% | 20.45% | 0.81% | 66.27% | 14.36% |
| Net income 1 | 636 | -1,274 | -1,377 | 1,343 | 2,467 | 1,666 | 2,978 | 3,468 |
| Change | - | -300.31% | -8.08% | 197.53% | 83.69% | -32.48% | 78.82% | 16.45% |
| Announcement Date | 2/26/21 | 2/25/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Vistra Corp.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,224 | 9,406 | 12,591 | 10,917 | 15,110 | 17,402 | 16,951 | 15,887 |
| Change | - | 1.97% | 33.86% | -13.3% | 38.41% | 15.17% | -2.59% | -6.28% |
| Announcement Date | 2/26/21 | 2/25/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Vistra Corp.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 770 | 1,033 | 1,301 | 1,676 | 2,078 | 2,189 | 2,292 | 2,177 |
| Change | - | 34.16% | 25.94% | 28.82% | 23.99% | 5.33% | 4.74% | -5.04% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,567 | -1,239 | -816 | 3,777 | 2,485 | 3,036 | 3,755 | 4,527 |
| Change | - | -148.27% | 34.14% | 562.87% | -34.21% | 22.19% | 23.66% | 20.57% |
| Announcement Date | 2/26/21 | 2/25/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Vistra Corp.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 32.2% | 15.8% | 21.81% | 27.75% | 32.16% | 30.01% | 31.33% | 31.69% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 14.31% | -12.54% | -8.03% | 18.34% | 23.69% | 17.45% | 21.76% | 22.46% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 7.78% | -14.26% | -11.36% | 13.53% | 13.99% | 12.31% | 17.66% | 18.88% |
| Net margin (%) | 5.56% | -10.55% | -10.03% | 9.09% | 14.32% | 8.44% | 13.03% | 14.18% |
| FCF margin (%) | 22.43% | -10.26% | -5.94% | 25.56% | 14.43% | 15.39% | 16.42% | 18.51% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 403.62% | 97.25% | 59.26% | 281.24% | 100.73% | 182.29% | 126.06% | 130.52% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 3.24% | -4.64% | -4.41% | 4.08% | 6.98% | 6.3% | 8.07% | 8.93% |
| ROE | 10.28% | -15.29% | -20.87% | 26.31% | 45.36% | 41.14% | 41.78% | 38.23% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.5x | 4.93x | 4.21x | 2.66x | 2.73x | 2.94x | 2.37x | 2.05x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 3.59x | -7.59x | -15.43x | 2.89x | 6.08x | 5.73x | 4.51x | 3.51x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 6.73% | 8.55% | 9.48% | 11.34% | 12.06% | 11.09% | 10.03% | 8.9% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 20.9% | 54.14% | 43.45% | 40.87% | 37.52% | 36.96% | 32.01% | 28.09% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 30% | -83.37% | -159.44% | 44.37% | 83.62% | 72.08% | 61.06% | 48.09% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.795 | -0.4272 | 1.148 | 14.53 | 12.94 | 14.32 | 16.61 | 21.4 |
| Change | - | -106.29% | 368.73% | 1,166.03% | -10.95% | 10.64% | 15.99% | 28.85% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.54 | 0.6 | 0.72 | 0.821 | 0.8735 | 0.9508 | 0.9627 | 1.025 |
| Change | - | 11.11% | 20% | 14.03% | 6.39% | 8.85% | 1.25% | 6.5% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 17.11 | 17.68 | 12.58 | 15.1 | 16.4 | 14.62 | 21.45 | 23.6 |
| Change | - | 3.32% | -28.84% | 20.06% | 8.59% | -10.81% | 46.64% | 10.03% |
| EPS 1 | 1.3 | -2.69 | -3.26 | 3.58 | 7 | 4.853 | 8.828 | 10.53 |
| Change | - | -306.92% | -21.19% | 209.82% | 95.53% | -30.68% | 81.92% | 19.25% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 489,134 | 482,628 | 397,954 | 357,552 | 340,226 | 338,825 | 338,825 | 338,825 |
| Announcement Date | 2/26/21 | 2/25/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 35.4x | 19.4x |
| PBR | 11.7x | 8x |
| EV / Sales | 3.83x | 3.29x |
| Yield | 0.55% | 0.56% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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