Financials Vistra Corp.

Equities

VST

US92840M1027

Electric Utilities

Real-time Estimate Cboe BZX 03:31:01 2023-12-04 pm EST Intraday chart for Vistra Corp. 5-day change 1st Jan Change
37.04 USD +2.08% +3.89% +59.59%

Valuation

Fiscal Period : December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Capitalization 1 11 432 11 205 9 616 10 989 9 233 12 972 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 22 200 21 634 18 840 20 395 21 824 25 484 24 379 24 013
P/E ratio -208x 12,4x 15,1x -8,46x -7,12x 9,11x 9,96x 9,92x
Yield - 2,17% 2,75% 2,64% 3,10% 2,22% 2,47% 2,72%
Capitalization / Revenue 1,25x 0,95x 0,84x 0,91x 0,67x 0,79x 0,77x 0,78x
EV / Revenue 2,43x 1,83x 1,65x 1,69x 1,59x 1,56x 1,44x 1,45x
EV / EBITDA 7,90x 6,51x 5,11x 10,7x 7,29x 6,42x 5,58x 5,62x
EV / FCF 20,7x 9,76x 7,34x -16,5x -26,7x 9,54x 8,97x 8,62x
FCF Yield 4,84% 10,2% 13,6% -6,07% -3,74% 10,5% 11,1% 11,6%
Price to Book 1,44x 1,41x 1,15x 1,29x 1,84x 4,13x 3,48x 2,89x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 499 446 487 394 489 134 482 628 397 954 357 552 - -
Reference price 2 22,9 23,0 19,7 22,8 23,2 36,3 36,3 36,3
Announcement Date 02/28/19 02/28/20 02/26/21 02/25/22 03/01/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period : December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net sales 1 9 144 11 809 11 443 12 077 13 728 16 368 16 891 16 528
EBITDA 1 2 809 3 325 3 685 1 908 2 994 3 970 4 370 4 273
EBIT 1 1 415 1 449 1 637 -1 515 -1 103 2 536 2 570 2 426
Operating Margin 15,5% 12,3% 14,3% -12,5% -8,03% 15,5% 15,2% 14,7%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -101 1 216 890 -1 722 -1 560 1 468 1 818 1 929
Net income 1 -54,0 928 636 -1 274 -1 377 1 598 1 320 1 229
Net margin -0,59% 7,86% 5,56% -10,5% -10,0% 9,76% 7,81% 7,43%
EPS 2 -0,11 1,86 1,30 -2,69 -3,26 3,98 3,64 3,66
Free Cash Flow 1 1 075 2 216 2 567 -1 239 -816 2 671 2 717 2 786
FCF margin 11,8% 18,8% 22,4% -10,3% -5,94% 16,3% 16,1% 16,9%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 38,3% 66,6% 69,7% - - 67,3% 62,2% 65,2%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - 239% 404% - - 167% 206% 227%
Dividend per Share 2 - 0,50 0,54 0,60 0,72 0,81 0,90 0,99
Announcement Date 02/28/19 02/28/20 02/26/21 02/25/22 03/01/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period : December 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4
Net sales 1 2 565 2 991 3 314 3 125 1 588 5 146 3 869 4 425 3 189 4 086 2 947
EBITDA 1 811 1 173 1 164 541 737 981 736 513 1 067 1 589 996
EBIT 1 62,0 119 886 169 -1 683 894 -24,0 109 - 834 150
Operating Margin 2,42% 3,98% 26,7% 5,41% -106% 17,4% -0,62% 2,46% - 20,4% 5,10%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -80,0 41,0 841 - -1 764 914 -336 876 599 671 -80,1
Net income 1 36,0 7,00 726 - -1 365 668 -284 661 439 465 -488
Net margin 1,40% 0,23% 21,9% - -86,0% 13,0% -7,34% 14,9% 13,8% 11,4% -16,5%
EPS 2 0,07 0,01 1,45 -0,72 -3,27 1,51 -0,73 1,71 1,17 1,25 -0,52
Dividend per Share 2 0,15 0,15 0,15 0,17 0,18 0,18 0,19 0,17 0,20 0,21 0,18
Announcement Date 08/05/21 11/05/21 02/25/22 05/06/22 08/05/22 11/04/22 03/01/23 05/09/23 08/09/23 11/07/23 -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period : December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net Debt 1 10 768 10 429 9 224 9 406 12 591 12 512 11 407 11 041
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3,83x 3,14x 2,50x 4,93x 4,21x 3,15x 2,61x 2,58x
Free Cash Flow 1 1 075 2 216 2 567 -1 239 -816 2 671 2 717 2 786
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) -0,76% 11,7% 10,3% -15,3% -20,9% 39,9% 35,8% 30,8%
Shareholders' equity 1 7 102 7 911 6 187 8 331 6 597 4 003 3 682 3 996
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) -0,27% 3,53% 3,24% -4,64% -4,41% 6,70% 3,50% 3,40%
Assets 1 20 308 26 320 19 635 27 446 31 235 23 853 37 712 36 140
Book Value Per Share 2 15,9 16,3 17,1 17,7 12,6 8,78 10,4 12,6
Cash Flow per Share 2 2,91 5,47 6,80 -0,43 1,15 14,7 13,0 -
Capex 1 396 520 770 1 033 1 301 1 457 1 354 1 373
Capex / Sales 4,33% 4,40% 6,73% 8,55% 9,48% 8,90% 8,02% 8,31%
Announcement Date 02/28/19 02/28/20 02/26/21 02/25/22 03/01/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating :
Investor Rating :
ESG Refinitiv :
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
36.28USD
Average target price
39.5USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.88%
Consensus
1st Jan change Capi.
+59.59% 12 972 M $
-29.50% 121 B $
+0.04% 78 001 M $
+5.35% 77 423 M $
+29.92% 71 797 M $
-9.81% 71 399 M $
-15.30% 42 338 M $
-24.69% 39 053 M $
-10.53% 38 812 M $
+37.03% 38 287 M $
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