Financials Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Equities

HCC

US93627C1018

Iron & Steel

Market Closed - Nyse 04:00:02 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
70.13 USD +0.83% Intraday chart for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. +4.61% +15.02%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,079 1,091 1,322 1,789 3,172 3,668 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,246 1,289 1,257 1,254 2,577 3,844 3,844 3,844
P/E ratio 3.61 x -30.5 x 8.77 x 2.79 x 6.63 x 8.99 x 10.8 x 10.4 x
Yield 21.8% 0.94% 0.78% 4.45% 1.9% 0.42% 0.4% 0.4%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.85 x 1.39 x 1.25 x 1.03 x 1.89 x 2.15 x 2.31 x 2.33 x
EV / Revenue 0.98 x 1.65 x 1.19 x 0.72 x 1.54 x 2.26 x 2.42 x 2.45 x
EV / EBITDA 2.6 x 11.9 x 2.75 x 1.26 x 3.69 x 6.03 x 7.05 x 7.05 x
EV / FCF 2.93 x -33.4 x 4.49 x 2.13 x 14.6 x 33.4 x 26.2 x 24 x
FCF Yield 34.2% -3% 22.3% 46.9% 6.84% 2.99% 3.81% 4.18%
Price to Book 1.42 x 1.5 x 1.52 x 1.24 x 1.69 x 1.56 x 1.37 x 1.24 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,072 51,186 51,411 51,654 52,019 52,297 - -
Reference price 2 21.13 21.32 25.71 34.64 60.97 70.13 70.13 70.13
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/24/21 2/22/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,268 782.7 1,059 1,739 1,677 1,702 1,591 1,571
EBITDA 1 478.7 108.3 457 994.2 698.9 637.8 544.9 545.5
EBIT 1 383.4 -27.14 243.8 801.4 541.4 506.7 389.8 281.3
Operating Margin 30.23% -3.47% 23.01% 46.09% 32.29% 29.77% 24.5% 17.91%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 367.1 -55.9 200 783.1 551.4 415.5 399.8 307.9
Net income 1 301.7 -35.76 150.9 641.3 478.6 378.5 328.1 268.5
Net margin 23.79% -4.57% 14.24% 36.88% 28.55% 22.24% 20.63% 17.09%
EPS 2 5.860 -0.7000 2.930 12.40 9.200 7.803 6.468 6.761
Free Cash Flow 1 425.5 -38.62 280.2 587.7 176.3 115 146.5 160.5
FCF margin 33.55% -4.93% 26.45% 33.8% 10.52% 6.76% 9.21% 10.22%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 88.9% - 61.31% 59.11% 25.23% 18.04% 26.89% 29.42%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 141.05% - 185.7% 91.65% 36.84% 30.4% 44.66% 59.77%
Dividend per Share 2 4.610 0.2000 0.2000 1.540 1.160 0.2933 0.2800 0.2800
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/24/21 2/22/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 202.5 415.5 378.7 625.2 390.2 344.8 509.7 379.7 423.5 363.8 476.6 416.5 415.5 398.4 372
EBITDA 1 104.9 240.2 243.8 431.2 171.6 147.5 259.4 130 145.8 163.7 191.3 149 134.4 126.7 131.9
EBIT 1 51.24 184.3 186.8 372.5 124.4 117.6 209.7 90.44 107.8 133.6 171.1 135 115.1 102.4 90.85
Operating Margin 25.31% 44.34% 49.35% 59.59% 31.89% 34.11% 41.14% 23.82% 25.44% 36.71% 35.9% 32.42% 27.7% 25.71% 24.42%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 43.86 165.1 179.7 365.3 118.7 119.3 211.3 96.63 102.2 141.2 147.7 71.84 96.55 88.33 -
Net income 1 38.43 138.5 146.2 297 98.4 99.65 182.3 82.09 85.38 128.9 134.3 77.89 86.82 79.89 -
Net margin 18.98% 33.33% 38.62% 47.51% 25.22% 28.91% 35.76% 21.62% 20.16% 35.42% 28.17% 18.7% 20.9% 20.05% -
EPS 2 0.7400 2.680 2.830 5.740 1.900 1.930 3.510 1.580 1.640 2.470 2.634 1.782 1.812 1.641 1.686
Dividend per Share 2 0.0500 0.0500 0.0600 0.5600 0.8600 0.0600 0.9500 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700
Announcement Date 11/2/21 2/22/22 5/5/22 8/3/22 11/2/22 2/15/23 5/3/23 8/2/23 11/1/23 2/14/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 167 198 - - - 176 176 176
Net Cash position 1 - - 64.5 536 594 - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3485 x 1.828 x - - - 0.2766 x 0.3237 x 0.3234 x
Free Cash Flow 1 426 -38.6 280 588 176 115 147 161
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 40.8% -4.8% 18.9% 55.3% 28.8% 21.7% 12.5% 8%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 22% -2.61% - - - - - -
Assets 1 1,370 1,369 - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 14.90 14.20 17.00 28.00 36.00 45.10 51.30 56.60
Cash Flow per Share 2 10.30 2.200 6.830 16.30 13.50 10.70 11.60 -
Capex 1 107 87.5 71.4 254 525 496 379 244
Capex / Sales 8.46% 11.18% 6.74% 14.62% 31.3% 29.11% 23.82% 15.5%
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/24/21 2/22/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
70.13 USD
Average target price
71.83 USD
Spread / Average Target
+2.43%
Consensus
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