Projected Income Statement: Xero Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Xero Limited

balance-sheet-analysis-chart XERO-LIMITED
Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -111 -257 -51.2 -97.4 -422 -877 -1,312 -1,852
Change - -331.53% -119.92% -290.23% -533.26% -307.78% -249.6% -241.16%
Announcement Date 5/13/20 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/17/23 5/22/24 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Xero Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 139.5 150.4 221.7 285.8 233.6 302.9 355.4 398.6
Change - 7.77% 47.43% 28.93% -18.28% 29.69% 17.32% 12.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 27.1 68.27 2.073 102.3 343.2 434.2 502.6 632.2
Change - 151.92% -96.96% 4,834.88% 235.51% 26.52% 15.73% 25.8%
Announcement Date 5/13/20 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/17/23 5/22/24 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Xero Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.38% 22.53% 19.39% 21.55% 30.72% 30.78% 32.91% 35.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.75% 7.27% 6.08% -4.27% 13.98% 17.47% 19.87% 23.13%
EBT Margin (%) 1.37% -5.18% 0.22% -5.41% 15.28% 17.51% 21.3% 23.39%
Net margin (%) 0.46% 2.33% -0.83% -8.11% 10.19% 11.88% 14.93% 17.54%
FCF margin (%) 3.77% 8.04% 0.19% 7.31% 20.03% 20.65% 20.11% 21.54%
FCF / Net Income (%) 812.35% 345.25% -22.75% -90.11% 196.54% 173.78% 134.73% 122.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.45% 1.24% 0.71% -4.7% 6.42% 7.53% 8.65% 10.68%
ROE 1.23% 3.39% 1.75% -10.88% 14.27% 15.36% 16.99% 18.87%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 19.43% 17.72% 20.21% 20.42% 13.63% 14.41% 14.22% 13.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 100.25% 78.63% 104.25% 94.74% 44.36% 46.8% 43.23% 38.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 514.85% 220.26% 10,694.26% 279.41% 68.05% 69.76% 70.72% 63.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.105 1.582 1.603 2.282 3.99 4.509 5.02 6.113
Change - 43.18% 1.33% 42.32% 74.88% 13.01% 11.34% 21.76%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.1848 0.2946
Change - - - - - - - 59.43%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.985 5.08 6.917 6.978 9.108 12.7 15.84 20
Change - 70.21% 36.14% 0.89% 30.53% 39.42% 24.77% 26.26%
EPS 1 0.02 0.14 -0.06 -0.76 1.14 1.614 2.407 3.335
Change - 600% -142.86% 1,166.67% -250% 41.58% 49.12% 38.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 141,375 146,413 148,934 150,173 151,707 152,780 152,780 152,780
Announcement Date 5/13/20 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/17/23 5/22/24 - - -
1NZD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 119x 79.6x
PBR 15.1x 12.1x
EV / Sales 13.5x 11.2x
Yield - 0.1%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

eps-dividend-chart XERO-LIMITED

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

evolution-chart XERO-LIMITED

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

evolution-chart XERO-LIMITED
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
surperformance-ratings-light-chart XERO-LIMITEDMore Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
191.68NZD
Average target price
205.01NZD
Spread / Average Target
+6.95%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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