Projected Income Statement: Xero Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Xero Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -257 -51.2 -97.4 -422 -1,102 412 37.6 -673
Change - 80.08% -90.23% -333.26% -161.14% 137.39% -90.87% -1,889.89%
Announcement Date 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/17/23 5/22/24 5/14/25 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Xero Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 150.4 221.7 285.8 233.6 286 393.1 455.1 505.4
Change - 47.43% 28.93% -18.28% 22.45% 37.43% 15.78% 11.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 68.27 2.073 102.3 343.2 506.7 448.7 495.8 691.6
Change - -96.96% 4,834.88% 235.51% 47.64% -11.45% 10.5% 39.47%
Announcement Date 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/17/23 5/22/24 5/14/25 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Xero Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.53% 19.39% 21.55% 30.72% 30.46% 26.7% 24.16% 26.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.27% 6.08% -4.27% 13.98% 16.92% 13.27% 11.56% 14.71%
EBT Margin (%) -5.18% 0.22% -5.41% 15.28% 17.25% 13.22% 9.88% 13.41%
Net margin (%) 2.33% -0.83% -8.11% 10.19% 10.83% 8.65% 7.16% 10.51%
FCF margin (%) 8.04% 0.19% 7.31% 20.03% 24.1% 16.47% 13.97% 16.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 345.25% -22.75% -90.11% 196.54% 222.44% 190.29% 195% 154.77%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.24% 0.71% -4.7% 6.42% 6.14% 3.42% 3.54% 5.47%
ROE 3.39% 1.75% -10.88% 14.27% 12.7% 6.26% 4.98% 7.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - 0.57x 0.04x -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - 0.92x 0.08x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.72% 20.21% 20.42% 13.63% 13.6% 14.42% 12.82% 11.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 78.63% 104.25% 94.74% 44.36% 44.65% 54.02% 53.08% 45.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 220.26% 10,694.26% 279.41% 68.05% 56.44% 87.59% 91.78% 73.08%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.582 1.603 2.282 3.99 4.89 5.104 5.708 7.243
Change - 1.33% 42.32% 74.88% 22.57% 4.36% 11.84% 26.9%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - 0.2964
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 5.08 6.917 6.978 9.108 14.3 29.71 32.27 36.39
Change - 36.14% 0.89% 30.53% 56.95% 107.84% 8.61% 12.75%
EPS 1 0.14 -0.06 -0.76 1.14 1.47 1.467 1.57 2.624
Change - -142.86% -1,166.67% 250% 28.95% -0.22% 7.06% 67.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 146,413 148,934 150,173 151,707 153,089 169,734 169,734 169,734
Announcement Date 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/17/23 5/22/24 5/14/25 - - -
1NZD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 88.2x 82.3x
PBR 4.35x 4.01x
EV / Sales 8.21x 6.2x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
129.32NZD
Average target price
209.55NZD
Spread / Average Target
+62.04%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. XRO Stock
  4. Financials Xero Limited