Projected Income Statement: adidas AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,194 -1,333 2,675 1,548 3,132 3,550 2,833 2,416
Change - -211.64% 300.68% -42.13% 102.33% 13.35% -20.2% -14.72%
Announcement Date 3/10/21 3/9/22 3/8/23 1/31/24 3/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 379 667 695 504 540 569.1 611.5 641.2
Change - 75.99% 4.2% -27.48% 7.14% 5.38% 7.46% 4.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,107 2,525 -1,238 2,126 2,370 1,587 2,262 2,690
Change - 128.09% -149.03% 271.73% 11.48% -33.05% 42.57% 18.91%
Announcement Date 3/10/21 3/9/22 3/8/23 1/31/24 3/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.69% 14.76% 9.08% 6.91% 10.75% 12.87% 15.01% 15.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.78% 9.35% 2.97% 1.25% 5.65% 8.28% 10.4% 10.87%
EBT Margin (%) 2.9% 8.72% 1.72% 0.3% 4.73% 7.46% 9.72% 10.24%
Net margin (%) 2.18% 9.97% 2.72% -0.35% 3.23% 5.44% 7.15% 7.7%
FCF margin (%) 5.58% 11.89% -5.5% 9.92% 10.01% 6.4% 8.61% 9.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) 256.25% 119.33% -202.29% -2,834.67% 310.21% 117.66% 120.33% 120.85%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.07% 9.8% 2.88% -0.39% 3.95% 6.44% 8.75% 9.76%
ROE 6.52% 30.29% 9.78% -1.57% 15.19% 22.19% 27.3% 28.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.56x - 1.31x 1.05x 1.23x 1.11x 0.72x 0.54x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.08x - -2.16x 0.73x 1.32x 2.24x 1.25x 0.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.91% 3.14% 3.09% 2.35% 2.28% 2.29% 2.28% 2.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.87% 21.28% 34% 34.05% 21.22% 17.83% 15.5% 14.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 34.24% 26.42% -56.14% 23.71% 22.78% 35.86% 27.03% 23.84%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.614 16.44 -2.963 14.73 16.3 14.24 17.13 19.62
Change - 115.89% -118.02% 597.12% 10.64% -12.62% 20.31% 14.54%
Dividend per Share 1 3 3.3 0.7 0.7 2 2.921 4.225 4.987
Change - 10% -78.79% 0% 185.71% 46.06% 44.62% 18.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.09 38.72 27.96 25.65 30.67 35.92 42.38 49.05
Change - 17.03% -27.81% -8.24% 19.56% 17.11% 18% 15.73%
EPS 1 2.21 10.9 3.34 -0.42 4.28 7.546 10.63 12.62
Change - 393.21% -69.36% -112.57% 1,119.05% 76.31% 40.87% 18.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 195,033 191,595 193,215 178,549 178,549 178,549 178,549 178,549
Announcement Date 3/10/21 3/9/22 3/8/23 1/31/24 3/4/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 38.6x 14.4x
PBR 4.28x 3.62x
EV / Sales 1.24x 1.13x
Yield 1.9% 2.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
153.60EUR
Average target price
222.18EUR
Spread / Average Target
+44.65%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise