Projected Income Statement: Afry AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,565 - 6,842 6,135 5,321 4,941 3,972 2,969
Change - - - -10.33% -13.27% -7.14% -19.61% -25.25%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 52 147 107 88 183.5 193.5 184
Change - - -27.21% -17.76% 108.52% 5.45% -4.91%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,446 1,647 1,887 2,132 1,548 1,560 1,912
Change - - 14.57% 12.98% -27.37% 0.74% 22.53%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.73% 10.32% 10.07% 10.46% 8.61% 10.85% 11.21% 11.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.58% 6.13% 6.59% 7.15% 5.38% 7.23% 8.28% 8.47%
EBT Margin (%) 6.93% 5.18% 5.34% 6.02% 4.12% 6.2% 7.41% 7.72%
Net margin (%) 5.62% 4.14% 4.08% 4.53% 3.11% 4.8% 5.74% 5.99%
FCF margin (%) 7.19% - 6.1% 6.95% 8.28% 5.95% 5.65% 6.63%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.08% - 149.73% 153.54% 266.5% 124% 98.45% 110.79%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.57% - 3.92% 3.7% - - - -
ROE 10.8% - 8.8% 9.6% 6.2% 10.27% 12.1% 11.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.51x - 2.52x 2.16x 2.4x 1.75x 1.28x 0.93x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.47x - 4.15x 3.25x 2.5x 3.19x 2.55x 1.55x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.26% - 0.54% 0.39% 0.34% 0.71% 0.7% 0.64%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 2.2% - 5.41% 3.76% 3.97% 6.5% 6.25% 5.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 3.6% - 8.93% 5.67% 4.13% 11.85% 12.4% 9.63%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.26 - 15.84 17.61 19.6 19.3 17.5 18.8
Change - - - 11.15% 11.33% -1.54% -9.33% 7.43%
Dividend per Share 1 5.5 - 5.5 6 6 6.7 7.438 8.067
Change - - - 9.09% 0% 11.67% 11.01% 8.46%
Book Value Per Share 1 97.09 - 110 115.9 111.9 117.8 127.3 132.6
Change - - - 5.41% -3.44% 5.24% 8.04% 4.19%
EPS 1 9.973 8.603 9.71 10.85 7.07 11.03 14 15.2
Change - -13.74% 12.87% 11.74% -34.84% 56.05% 26.94% 8.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 113,212 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.6x 9.12x
PBR 1.08x 1x
EV / Sales 0.75x 0.67x
Yield 5.25% 5.82%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
127.70SEK
Average target price
166.25SEK
Spread / Average Target
+30.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise