Projected Income Statement: Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,775,164 1,543,460 1,459,871 1,350,853 1,195,215 1,232,246 1,403,397 1,338,651
Change - -13.05% -5.42% -7.47% -11.52% 3.1% 13.89% -4.61%
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/13/24 2/13/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 116,576 80,803 83,049 149,290 136,800 183,715 232,555 174,934
Change - -30.69% 2.78% 79.76% -8.37% 34.29% 26.58% -24.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -967,513 257,009 196,805 198,257 285,058 182,350 246,600 244,800
Change - 126.56% -23.42% 0.74% 43.78% -36.03% 35.23% -0.73%
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/13/24 2/13/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.75% 15.51% 14.24% 14.19% 14.53% 13.91% 14.5% 15.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.67% 9.48% 8.64% 8.85% 9.15% 8.73% 9.42% 10.01%
EBT Margin (%) 6.18% 8.94% 8.2% 8.73% 9.08% 7.91% 8.76% 9.37%
Net margin (%) 4.58% 6.86% 6.04% 5.93% 6.53% 5.45% 6.18% 6.59%
FCF margin (%) -47.71% 11.49% 7.84% 7.16% 9.7% 6.3% 7.98% 7.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) -1,042.29% 167.43% 129.86% 120.83% 148.41% 115.51% 129.13% 115.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.31% 3.42% 4.39% 4.78% 5% 3.23% 3.37% 3.51%
ROE 6.7% 9.4% 7.9% 7.3% 7.5% 5.87% 7.02% 7.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.87x 4.45x 4.08x 3.44x 2.8x 3.06x 3.13x 2.77x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.83x 6.01x 7.42x 6.81x 4.19x 6.76x 5.69x 5.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.75% 3.61% 3.31% 5.39% 4.65% 6.34% 7.53% 5.45%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 45.11% 23.31% 23.23% 37.99% 32.04% 45.61% 51.94% 36.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -12.05% 31.44% 42.2% 75.3% 47.99% 100.75% 94.3% 71.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 152.5 189.7 192.1 205.3 230.8 210 235.9 276.2
Change - 24.37% 1.27% 6.89% 12.42% -9.01% 12.36% 17.06%
Dividend per Share 1 35.33 36.33 37.67 40.33 49 50.55 56.52 63.8
Change - 2.83% 3.67% 7.08% 21.49% 3.17% 11.8% 12.89%
Book Value Per Share 1 997.4 1,156 1,356 1,619 1,776 1,805 1,898 1,981
Change - 15.89% 17.29% 19.4% 9.7% 1.63% 5.15% 4.41%
EPS 1 65.51 101 99.7 107.9 126.7 106.2 130.4 147.3
Change - 54.14% -1.26% 8.26% 17.34% -16.18% 22.8% 12.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,520,150 1,520,224 1,520,048 1,520,044 1,502,855 1,462,658 1,462,658 1,462,658
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/13/24 2/13/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.5x 12.6x
PBR 0.91x 0.87x
EV / Sales 1.26x 1.23x
Yield 3.07% 3.43%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
1,646.00JPY
Average target price
2,113.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+28.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 2502 Stock
  4. Financials Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd.