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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Toronto Stock Exchange  >  Barrick Gold Corporation    ABX   CA0679011084

BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION

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Gold Prices Hit Record as Dollar Drops

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07/27/2020 | 12:42pm EDT

By Joe Wallace

Gold prices zoomed to a fresh record Monday, as a weakening dollar injected new momentum into a rally driven by uncertainty about the world economy.

Futures contracts for delivering gold in August shot up 2.1% to $1,937.60 a troy ounce, topping the previous intraday peak of $1,923.70 from September 2011. Gold futures reached an all-time closing high Friday, but remained short of the intraday record.

Monday's record marked a milestone in gold's bull run, which many traders rank alongside those of 2008-11 and the late 1970s. The gloomy outlook for the world economy, a decline in interest rates, rising tensions between the U.S. and China, and the dollar's depreciation have fueled the surge as investors have bought assets they perceive to be havens.

"There are still a lot of things to be worried about, which is why gold is attracting all this attention and all this money," said David Govett, head of precious metals at commodities brokerage Marex Spectron.

"You're seeing money slipping out of the stock market or out of other assets and just eking into gold," Mr. Govett added. "Gold, as a small market, is moving a long way as a result."

The advance put gold futures on course to rise for the seventh consecutive trading day, which would be the metal's longest winning streak since February. Gold prices have gained 8.9% over the past month and 27% this year, making the metal one of the strongest-performing major assets in 2020.

The price of silver, seen as a store of value by investors as well as having widespread industrial uses, rose even faster than gold Monday. Futures for September delivery, the most widely owned contracts, jumped 7.2% to $24.49 an ounce, the highest level in almost seven years.

Adding impetus to gold and silver Monday: a decline in the dollar, which made the precious metals more attractive to investors overseas. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar against the currencies of six trading partners, fell 1%, extending its drop over the past month to 4%.

Gold's traditional inverse relationship with the dollar had frayed this year, as both assets benefited from haven buying during the pandemic. It is now reasserting itself, a factor that will boost gold in the coming months if the dollar continues to slide, said Joni Teves, precious-metal strategist at UBS Group.

Still, "the move in gold this year has really been driven by rising strategic interest," said Ms. Teves. Investors who were previously uninterested in the precious metal are now buying it, a trend that could lift prices above $2,000 an ounce within six months, she added.

Shares in precious-metal miners benefited from Monday's advance in gold and silver. Barrick Gold Corp. gained 5.2% in Toronto, while Newmont Corp. rose 5% in New York.

Gold prices have leapt in London, the main hub for buying and selling gold bars, as well as in New York's futures market. In Friday's auction, prices topped $1,900 for the first time since the Bank of England and N.M. Rothschild & Sons Ltd., now investment bank Rothschild & Co., founded the daily price in 1919.

One factor that distinguishes the current surge in gold prices from the bull run during and after the last global financial crisis is the fragile state of demand for physical metal. Lockdowns and economic uncertainty have crimped jewelry purchases in India and China, normally two huge bullion markets.

So far, a burst of buying by investors has more than offset the dearth of jewelry demand. But if financial demand dries up, prices could fall without physical consumption to act as a cushion for prices, said Ms. Teves.

Investors who wouldn't normally be active in the market until European and U.S. hours bought gold in thin Asian trading Monday, exaggerating the rise, according to Mr. Govett. "London this morning is a little bit shellshocked," he said.

However, Mr. Govett added that gold could be knocked off course in the event of a correction in the stock market that prompts investors to sell precious metals to meet margin calls.

Write to Joe Wallace at Joe.Wallace@wsj.com

 


Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION -0.23% 35.13 Delayed Quote.45.98%
EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD) 0.10% 1.1817 Delayed Quote.5.68%
GOLD 0.28% 1906.85 Delayed Quote.25.31%
ROTHSCHILD & CO -1.66% 23.7 Real-time Quote.-5.86%
SILVER 0.74% 24.392 Delayed Quote.38.03%
UBS GROUP AG -0.58% 11.195 Delayed Quote.-7.89%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2020 12 163 M - -
Net income 2020 2 034 M - -
Net cash 2020 179 M - -
P/E ratio 2020 24,2x
Yield 2020 1,05%
Capitalization 47 368 M 47 375 M -
EV / Sales 2020 3,88x
EV / Sales 2021 3,33x
Nbr of Employees 17 500
Free-Float 99,5%
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Technical analysis trends BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION
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Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 24
Average target price 31,19 $
Last Close Price 26,58 $
Spread / Highest target 37,5%
Spread / Average Target 17,3%
Spread / Lowest Target -40,5%
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Managers
NameTitle
Dennis Mark Bristow President, CEO & Non-Independent Director
John Lawson Thornton Non-Independent Executive Chairman
Graham Patrick Shuttleworth Chief Financial Officer & Senior Executive VP
Gustavo A. Cisneros Independent Director
Joseph Brett Harvey Lead Independent Director
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