Projected Income Statement: Bega Cheese Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Bega Cheese Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 409 264 401 353 319 207 189 163
Change - -35.45% 51.89% -11.97% -9.63% -35.05% -8.7% -13.76%
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/28/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Bega Cheese Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 32.2 71.8 68.1 74.6 94.4 94.67 89.8 85.1
Change - 122.98% -5.15% 9.54% 26.54% 0.29% -5.15% -5.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 79.2 86.4 -58.4 59.7 70.6 56.4 83.22 98.9
Change - 9.09% -167.59% 202.23% 18.26% -20.11% 47.56% 18.83%
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/28/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Bega Cheese Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.83% 5.98% 4.75% 4.66% 5.71% 5.92% 6.35% 6.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.32% 2.54% 1.73% 2.16% 3.13% 3.42% 3.9% 4.16%
EBT Margin (%) 4.7% 1.12% -7.61% 1.13% -0.19% 2.56% 3.13% 3.51%
Net margin (%) 3.48% 0.8% -6.81% 0.87% -0.24% 1.74% 2.19% 2.44%
FCF margin (%) 3.82% 2.87% -1.73% 1.7% 1.99% 1.53% 2.18% 2.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 109.7% 357.02% 25.4% 195.74% -830.59% 87.71% 99.5% 102.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.03% 1.9% 1.26% 1.42% 2.43% 3.79% 4.42% 4.99%
ROE 3.82% 3.66% 2.52% 3.02% 5.09% 6.65% 8.27% 9.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.89x 1.46x 2.5x 2.15x 1.58x 0.95x 0.78x 0.63x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.17x 3.05x -6.86x 5.92x 4.51x 3.67x 2.28x 1.65x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.55% 2.39% 2.02% 2.12% 2.67% 2.57% 2.36% 2.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.72% 39.87% 42.51% 45.46% 46.73% 43.38% 37.1% 32.95%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.66% 83.1% -116.61% 124.96% 133.71% 167.86% 107.9% 86.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4205 0.5205 0.0269 0.4415 0.5371 0.5105 0.5749 0.6143
Change - 23.77% -94.83% 1,541.38% 21.65% -4.95% 12.61% 6.84%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1 0.11 0.075 0.08 0.12 0.1391 0.1744 0.1976
Change - 10% -31.82% 6.67% 50% 15.88% 25.38% 13.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.166 4.162 3.299 3.336 3.212 3.238 3.35 3.481
Change - -0.08% -20.74% 1.13% -3.73% 0.83% 3.44% 3.91%
EPS 1 0.272 0.08 -0.753 0.1 -0.028 0.2102 0.273 0.3159
Change - -70.59% -1,041.25% 113.28% -128% 850.57% 29.91% 15.72%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 302,627 303,283 304,248 304,776 305,184 305,377 305,377 305,377
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/28/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 28.1x 21.6x
PBR 1.82x 1.76x
EV / Sales 0.54x 0.52x
Yield 2.36% 2.96%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
5.900AUD
Average target price
6.174AUD
Spread / Average Target
+4.64%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BGA Stock
  4. Financials Bega Cheese Limited