Projected Income Statement: ConocoPhillips

Forecast Balance Sheet: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 8,769 14,460 7,400 12,331 18,210 16,773 18,119 17,739
Change - 64.9% -48.82% 66.64% 47.68% -7.89% 8.02% -2.1%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 4,715 5,324 10,159 11,248 12,118 12,432 11,967 12,121
Change - 12.92% 90.82% 10.72% 7.73% 2.59% -3.75% 1.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 87 10,401 18,155 8,717 8,006 8,188 8,076 9,375
Change - 11,855.17% 74.55% -51.99% -8.16% 2.28% -1.37% 16.08%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.71% 44.88% 44.64% 43.92% 42.86% 41.3% 41.38% 43.02%
EBIT Margin (%) -6.96% 29.97% 35.51% 29.8% 26% 21.87% 20.7% 22.39%
EBT Margin (%) -16.31% 26.29% 34.36% 27.81% 24.01% 21.55% 21.93% 25%
Net margin (%) -14.03% 16.71% 22.74% 18.71% 16.23% 13.4% 13.06% 14.62%
FCF margin (%) 0.45% 21.51% 22.1% 14.88% 14.06% 13.33% 14% 14.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.22% 128.74% 97.19% 79.56% 86.6% 99.47% 107.23% 101.07%

Profitability

        
ROA -1.56% 10.44% 18.8% 11.55% 8.45% 7% 6.65% 6.8%
ROE -3.43% 21.26% 37.13% 21.82% 16.21% 12.72% 11.72% 14.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.1x 0.67x 0.2x 0.48x 0.75x 0.66x 0.76x 0.65x
Debt / Free cash flow 100.79x 1.39x 0.41x 1.41x 2.27x 2.05x 2.24x 1.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 24.49% 11.01% 12.37% 19.2% 21.28% 20.23% 20.75% 19.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 112.8% 24.54% 27.7% 43.72% 49.65% 48.99% 50.14% 44.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5,419.54% 51.19% 55.96% 129.04% 151.36% 151.83% 148.18% 129.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.454 12.8 22.15 17.24 16.9 16.07 16.1 18.81
Change - 187.28% 73.11% -22.19% -1.96% -4.91% 0.17% 16.84%
Dividend per Share 1 1.69 1.75 1.89 2.11 2.52 3.192 3.359 3.486
Change - 3.55% 8% 11.64% 19.43% 26.67% 5.24% 3.78%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.95 34.87 39.22 41.83 50.79 52.17 53.04 55.26
Change - 24.76% 12.49% 6.64% 21.41% 2.72% 1.66% 4.19%
EPS 1 -2.51 6.07 14.57 9.46 7.81 6.582 6.233 7.998
Change - 341.83% 140.03% -35.07% -17.44% -15.72% -5.3% 28.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,067,957 1,318,947 1,246,071 1,187,408 1,293,562 1,235,718 1,235,718 1,235,718
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.2x 15x
PBR 1.8x 1.77x
EV / Sales 2.16x 2.32x
Yield 3.41% 3.59%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
93.69USD
Average target price
112.86USD
Spread / Average Target
+20.46%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. COP Stock
  4. Financials ConocoPhillips