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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 9.900 NZD | 0.00% |
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+2.70% | +7.03% |
| May. 01 | New Zealand Shares Rise; Contact Energy Chair to Retire | MT |
| Apr. 30 | Contact Energy says Rob McDonald to retire as chair | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Contact Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,573 | 2,387 | 2,118 | 2,863 | 3,439 | 3,288 | 3,453 | 3,552 |
| Change | - | -7.23% | -11.27% | 35.17% | 20.14% | -4.4% | 5.01% | 2.88% |
| EBITDA 1 | 553 | 537 | 573 | 663 | 774 | 1,001 | 1,057 | 1,141 |
| Change | - | -2.89% | 6.7% | 15.71% | 16.74% | 29.27% | 5.64% | 7.95% |
| EBIT 1 | 304 | 275 | 349 | 408 | 599 | 695.1 | 734.6 | 788.7 |
| Change | - | -9.54% | 26.91% | 16.91% | 46.81% | 16.05% | 5.67% | 7.37% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -50 | -36 | -41 | -40 | -100 | -142 | -157 | -171.5 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 261 | 253 | 177 | 338 | 463 | 559 | 576.1 | 591.3 |
| Change | - | -3.07% | -30.04% | 90.96% | 36.98% | 20.72% | 3.07% | 2.64% |
| Net income 1 | 187 | 182 | 127 | 235 | 331.3 | 401.8 | 413.7 | 424.9 |
| Change | - | -2.67% | -30.22% | 85.04% | 40.97% | 21.27% | 2.97% | 2.7% |
| Announcement Date | 8/15/21 | 8/14/22 | 8/13/23 | 8/18/24 | 8/17/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Contact Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 706 | 882 | 1,383 | 1,652 | 1,850 | 2,467 | 2,671 | 2,667 |
| Change | - | 24.93% | 56.8% | 19.45% | 11.99% | 33.35% | 8.27% | -0.15% |
| Announcement Date | 8/15/21 | 8/14/22 | 8/13/23 | 8/18/24 | 8/17/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Contact Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 61 | 75 | 585 | 580 | 472 | 596.2 | 561 | 509.9 |
| Change | - | 22.95% | 680% | -0.85% | -18.62% | 26.31% | -5.9% | -9.11% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 371 | 325 | -190 | 471 | 434 | 498 | 585 | 649 |
| Change | - | -12.4% | -158.46% | 347.89% | -7.86% | 14.75% | 17.47% | 10.94% |
| Announcement Date | 8/15/21 | 8/14/22 | 8/13/23 | 8/18/24 | 8/17/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Contact Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 21.49% | 22.5% | 27.05% | 23.16% | 22.5% | 30.43% | 30.61% | 32.12% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 11.82% | 11.52% | 16.48% | 14.25% | 17.42% | 21.14% | 21.27% | 22.2% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 10.14% | 10.6% | 8.36% | 11.81% | 13.46% | 17% | 16.69% | 16.65% |
| Net margin (%) | 7.27% | 7.62% | 6% | 8.21% | 9.63% | 12.22% | 11.98% | 11.96% |
| FCF margin (%) | 14.42% | 13.62% | -8.97% | 16.45% | 12.62% | 15.15% | 16.94% | 18.27% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 198.4% | 178.57% | -149.61% | 200.43% | 131% | 123.95% | 141.41% | 152.76% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 3.52% | 3.29% | 3.85% | 3.91% | 5.09% | 5.55% | 5.64% | 5.73% |
| ROE | 6.3% | 6.31% | 7.48% | 8.67% | 12.32% | 8.82% | 8.48% | 8.96% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.28x | 1.64x | 2.41x | 2.49x | 2.39x | 2.47x | 2.53x | 2.34x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.9x | 2.71x | -7.28x | 3.51x | 4.26x | 4.95x | 4.57x | 4.11x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.37% | 3.14% | 27.62% | 20.26% | 13.72% | 18.13% | 16.25% | 14.35% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 11.03% | 13.97% | 102.09% | 87.48% | 60.98% | 59.58% | 53.08% | 44.69% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 16.44% | 23.08% | -307.89% | 123.14% | 108.76% | 119.71% | 95.9% | 78.57% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.5845 | - | 0.5037 | 0.74 | 0.6812 | 0.6599 | 0.7016 | 0.7388 |
| Change | - | - | - | 46.92% | -7.95% | -3.12% | 6.32% | 5.29% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.4 | 0.415 | 0.4402 |
| Change | - | 0% | 0% | 5.71% | 5.41% | 2.56% | 3.75% | 6.08% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.771 | 3.638 | 3.58 | 3.32 | 3.456 | 4.613 | 4.595 | 4.716 |
| Change | - | -3.53% | -1.6% | -7.26% | 4.11% | 33.46% | -0.38% | 2.64% |
| EPS 1 | 0.253 | 0.234 | 0.163 | 0.299 | 0.416 | 0.3888 | 0.3891 | 0.3932 |
| Change | - | -7.51% | -30.34% | 83.44% | 39.13% | -6.53% | 0.07% | 1.04% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 776,122 | 780,638 | 784,963 | 789,117 | 802,812 | 1,070,627 | 1,070,627 | 1,070,627 |
| Announcement Date | 8/15/21 | 8/14/22 | 8/13/23 | 8/18/24 | 8/17/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 25.5x | 25.4x |
| PBR | 2.15x | 2.15x |
| EV / Sales | 3.97x | 3.84x |
| Yield | 4.04% | 4.19% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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