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DIAGEO PLC |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | |
| 2,779.75 GBX | -1.16% | +1.48% | -23.82% | |
| 04:18pm | Global markets live: Mastercard, Diageo, Nvidia, Airbnb, Exxon Mobil... |  |
| 03:16pm | Diageo: penalized by a broker downgrade | CF |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period : June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 80 172 | 62 595 | 80 807 | 80 457 | 75 888 | 62 881 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 91 449 | 75 841 | 92 916 | 94 192 | 90 951 | 78 642 | 78 368 | 78 361 |
| P/E ratio | 26,0x | 44,8x | 30,5x | 25,3x | 20,6x | 18,3x | 16,9x | 15,7x |
| Yield | 2,03% | 2,61% | 2,10% | 2,16% | 2,37% | 2,89% | 3,04% | 3,23% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 6,23x | 5,33x | 6,35x | 5,21x | 4,43x | 3,75x | 3,56x | 3,40x |
| EV / Revenue | 7,11x | 6,45x | 7,30x | 6,10x | 5,31x | 4,69x | 4,44x | 4,24x |
| EV / EBITDA | 20,4x | 19,0x | 22,2x | 16,7x | 14,9x | 14,0x | 13,1x | 12,6x |
| EV / FCF | 35,1x | 46,4x | 30,7x | 33,2x | 33,0x | 30,0x | 26,0x | 24,9x |
| FCF Yield | 2,85% | 2,15% | 3,26% | 3,01% | 3,03% | 3,33% | 3,85% | 4,02% |
| Price to Book | 9,79x | 9,29x | 11,7x | 10,3x | 9,78x | 7,12x | 6,23x | 5,67x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2 369 149 | 2 334 335 | 2 334 775 | 2 278 906 | 2 245 879 | 2 235 770 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 33,8 | 26,8 | 34,6 | 35,3 | 33,8 | 28,1 | 28,1 | 28,1 |
| Announcement Date | 7/25/19 | 8/4/20 | 7/29/21 | 7/28/22 | 8/1/23 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period : Juni | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 12 867 | 11 752 | 12 733 | 15 452 | 17 113 | 16 768 | 17 652 | 18 493 |
| EBITDA 1 | 4 490 | 3 988 | 4 193 | 5 625 | 6 120 | 5 606 | 5 960 | 6 221 |
| EBIT 1 | 4 116 | 3 494 | 3 746 | 4 797 | 5 254 | 5 027 | 5 339 | 5 610 |
| Operating Margin | 32,0% | 29,7% | 29,4% | 31,0% | 30,7% | 30,0% | 30,2% | 30,3% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4 235 | 2 043 | 3 706 | 4 387 | 4 736 | 4 720 | 5 075 | 5 406 |
| Net income 1 | 3 160 | 1 409 | 2 660 | 3 249 | 3 734 | 3 375 | 3 604 | 3 892 |
| Net margin | 24,6% | 12,0% | 20,9% | 21,0% | 21,8% | 20,1% | 20,4% | 21,0% |
| EPS 2 | 1,30 | 0,60 | 1,13 | 1,40 | 1,64 | 1,54 | 1,66 | 1,79 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 2 608 | 1 634 | 3 028 | 2 838 | 2 755 | 2 618 | 3 016 | 3 151 |
| FCF margin | 20,3% | 13,9% | 23,8% | 18,4% | 16,1% | 15,6% | 17,1% | 17,0% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 58,1% | 41,0% | 72,2% | 50,5% | 45,0% | 46,7% | 50,6% | 50,6% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 82,5% | 116% | 114% | 87,3% | 73,8% | 77,6% | 83,7% | 81,0% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0,69 | 0,70 | 0,73 | 0,76 | 0,80 | 0,81 | 0,86 | 0,91 |
| Announcement Date | 7/25/19 | 8/4/20 | 7/29/21 | 7/28/22 | 8/1/23 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period : Juni | 2019 S2 | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 S1 | 2023 S2 | 2024 S1 | 2024 S2 | 2025 S1 | 2025 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 5 959 | 7 200 | 4 552 | 6 874 | 5 859 | 7 957 | 7 495 | 4 710 | 9 420 | 7 693 | 8 831 | 7 516 | 9 219 | 7 895 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | 1 665 | 2 501 | 993 | 2 256 | 1 490 | 2 743 | 2 054 | - | 3 194 | 2 060 | 2 837 | 2 042 | 2 876 | 2 101 |
| Operating Margin | 27,9% | 34,7% | 21,8% | 32,8% | 25,4% | 34,5% | 27,4% | - | 33,9% | 26,8% | 32,1% | 27,2% | 31,2% | 26,6% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | 1 608 | 2 464 | -421 | - | 1 508 | 2 722 | 1 665 | - | 3 057 | 1 679 | 2 635 | 1 948 | 2 761 | 2 147 |
| Net income | 1 184 | 1 865 | -456 | - | 1 080 | 1 965 | 1 284 | - | 2 295 | 1 439 | 1 944 | 1 425 | 2 043 | 1 601 |
| Net margin | 19,9% | 25,9% | -10,0% | - | 18,4% | 24,7% | 17,1% | - | 24,4% | 18,7% | 22,0% | 19,0% | 22,2% | 20,3% |
| EPS | 0,50 | 0,79 | -0,19 | - | 0,46 | 0,84 | 0,56 | - | 1,01 | 0,64 | 0,86 | 0,63 | 0,91 | 0,71 |
| Dividend per Share | 0,42 | 0,27 | 0,42 | 0,28 | 0,45 | 0,29 | 0,47 | - | - | 0,49 | 0,32 | 0,51 | 0,37 | 0,54 |
| Announcement Date | 7/25/19 | 1/30/20 | 8/4/20 | 1/28/21 | 7/29/21 | 1/27/22 | 7/28/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/26/23 | 8/1/23 | - | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period : Juni | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 11 277 | 13 246 | 12 109 | 13 735 | 15 063 | 15 761 | 15 487 | 15 480 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2,51x | 3,32x | 2,89x | 2,44x | 2,46x | 2,81x | 2,60x | 2,49x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 2 608 | 1 634 | 3 028 | 2 838 | 2 755 | 2 618 | 3 016 | 3 151 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 34,6% | 33,9% | 40,2% | 47,9% | 47,4% | 41,9% | 40,0% | 38,8% |
| Shareholders' equity 1 | 9 144 | 4 155 | 6 620 | 6 782 | 7 880 | 8 063 | 9 015 | 10 019 |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 10,4% | 7,94% | 8,42% | 10,3% | 10,3% | 9,38% | 9,66% | 9,97% |
| Assets 1 | 30 467 | 17 737 | 31 610 | 31 599 | 36 390 | 35 977 | 37 292 | 39 042 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3,46 | 2,89 | 2,95 | 3,42 | 3,45 | 3,95 | 4,51 | 4,96 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1,34 | 0,99 | 1,56 | 1,69 | 1,33 | 1,79 | 1,86 | 1,88 |
| Capex 1 | 639 | 686 | 626 | 1 097 | 1 180 | 1 094 | 1 112 | 1 104 |
| Capex / Sales | 4,97% | 5,84% | 4,92% | 7,10% | 6,90% | 6,53% | 6,30% | 5,97% |
| Announcement Date | 7/25/19 | 8/4/20 | 7/29/21 | 7/28/22 | 8/1/23 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating :
Investor Rating :
ESG Refinitiv :
A-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
28.12GBP
Average target price
32.74GBP
Spread / Average Target
+16.42%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -24.18% | 79 226 M $ | |
| -13.88% | 43 519 M $ | |
| -17.87% | 29 163 M $ | |
| -27.01% | 9 275 M $ | |
| +0.97% | 5 915 M $ | |
| 0.00% | 4 142 M $ | |
| +65.32% | 2 761 M $ | |
| -17.49% | 2 030 M $ | |
| +18.09% | 1 628 M $ | |
| +1.90% | 1 532 M $ |
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