Projected Income Statement: Diageo plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,871 16,657 19,195 20,371 21,548 21,030 20,003 19,047
Change - -1.27% 15.24% 6.13% 5.78% -2.4% -4.88% -4.78%
Announcement Date 7/29/21 7/28/22 8/1/23 7/30/24 8/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 874.5 1,330 1,504 1,510 1,549 1,222 1,160 1,119
Change - 52.14% 13.02% 0.42% 2.58% -21.11% -5.07% -3.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,230 3,442 3,511 2,595 2,748 3,193 3,550 3,747
Change - -18.63% 2% -26.08% 5.9% 16.19% 11.17% 5.57%
Announcement Date 7/29/21 7/28/22 8/1/23 7/30/24 8/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.93% 36.4% 35.76% 34.72% 32.82% 32.66% 32.83% 33.16%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.42% 31.04% 30.7% 29.33% 28.17% 28.79% 28.83% 29.06%
EBT Margin (%) 29.11% 28.39% 27.67% 26.94% 17.47% 25.29% 25.96% 26.91%
Net margin (%) 20.89% 21.03% 21.82% 19.09% 11.63% 18.12% 18.64% 19.32%
FCF margin (%) 23.78% 18.37% 16.1% 12.8% 13.57% 16.08% 17.34% 17.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.83% 87.35% 73.78% 67.05% 116.74% 88.71% 93.04% 91.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.41% 10.28% 10.26% 8.88% 7.7% 7.16% 7.62% 7.77%
ROE 40.18% 47.91% 47.39% 40.35% 34.54% 31.56% 28.5% 27.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.88x 2.44x 2.46x 2.89x 3.24x 3.24x 2.98x 2.7x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.99x 4.84x 5.47x 7.85x 7.84x 6.59x 5.64x 5.08x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.92% 7.1% 6.9% 7.45% 7.65% 6.15% 5.67% 5.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.93% 19.5% 19.28% 21.46% 23.31% 18.84% 17.26% 15.88%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.67% 38.65% 42.83% 58.19% 56.37% 38.27% 32.68% 29.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.171 2.053 1.697 1.833 1.929 1.815 2.256 2.395
Change - -5.45% -17.33% 8.05% 5.19% -5.9% 24.33% 6.14%
Dividend per Share 1 1.013 0.9239 1.019 1.035 1.035 1.039 1.067 1.107
Change - -8.84% 10.34% 1.51% 0% 0.43% 2.7% 3.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.11 4.151 4.394 4.491 4.991 5.574 6.262 6.91
Change - 1% 5.84% 2.21% 11.14% 11.69% 12.34% 10.36%
EPS 1 1.584 1.694 2.095 1.728 1.057 1.657 1.723 1.859
Change - 6.95% 23.65% -17.52% -38.83% 56.74% 4.02% 7.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,334,775 2,278,906 2,245,879 2,219,979 2,222,295 2,226,402 2,226,402 2,226,402
Announcement Date 7/29/21 7/28/22 8/1/23 7/30/24 8/5/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.4x 12.9x
PBR 3.99x 3.55x
EV / Sales 3.55x 3.4x
Yield 4.67% 4.8%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
22.26USD
Average target price
28.44USD
Spread / Average Target
+27.80%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DGE Stock
  4. Financials Diageo plc