Capital Markets
November 25th, 2020
Ready for the next decade
1
Agenda
José Bogas
CEO
Luca Passa
CFO
Endesa @2030
Endesa 2021-23
Our positioning
The next 10 years
Operative Targets Financial Targets
José Bogas | Closing remarks |
2
Our positioning
José Bogas
CEO
A portfolio of strategic assets(1)
1st player in generation
1st network operator(3)
Largest retail customer base
56.2 TWh output (2) ~83% CO2 free mainland
105 TWh distributed (4)
- €bn RAB
- mn end users
~91 TWh power sales (2)
12.1 mn customers (5)
First integrated player leading energy transition in Iberia
(1) | 2020E | (4) | In supplier busbars | |
(2) | Energy at busbars | (5) | Electricity & gas clients | 4 |
(3) | By distributed energy | |||
Delivery on 2020-22 Strategic Plan
Operating targets
Decarbonization | Electrification | Infrastructures & Networks | |
2014
RES (1) | 32% | |
CO2 (%) (2)~50%
Coal (3) (TWh) | 22.2 | |
Target 2022 | Target 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2020E | Target 2022 | 2014 | 2020E | 2014 | 2020E | |||||||||||||||||
Old plan | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Old plan | Old plan | |||||||||||||||||||||
✔ | ✔ | |||||||||||||||||||||
Power Integrated | Smart-meters | |||||||||||||||||||||
~45% | ~60% | 19 | ~32 | ~30 | 5 | >12 | >12 | |||||||||||||||
(mn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Margin (€/MWh) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
~83% | ✔ | ~85% | Free Power | 4.5 | 5.7 | 6.6 | Distributed | 109 | 105 | 121 | ||||||||||||
Clients (mn) | energy (TWh) (4) | |||||||||||||||||||||
1.6 | 0 | Endesa X (k# | - | 8.0 | 36.0 | Unitary Opex | 59 | 43 | 39 |
Charging points) | (€/end user) | ||||||||
- Ahead of 2022 target old plan
Sound progress on all strategic pillars
(1) | % of mainland capacity | (3) | Mainland | 5 |
(2) | % mainland CO2 emission free generation | (4) | In supplier busbars |
Delivery on 2020-22 Strategic Plan
Financial targets
TSR, %
2014
2020E | CAGR 2014- | |
20E | ||
163(3) | ||
80 | ||
13.5€ | (2) | -2 |
ENDESA |
Net CAPEX (€bn) | 0.8 | |
EBITDA (€bn) | 3.1 | |
Net ordinary income (€bn) | 0.9 | |
Gross DPS (€/sh) | 0.76 | |
1.511%
3.9(1) ✔4%
2.0 ✔14%
~1.9 ✔16%
ESG Investors(4) 14.2% | ✔ | Ahead of 2020 target old plan | |
Repositioning through a sustainable strategy led to improved economic results
- Like for like EBITDA excluding +515 €mn of provision reversal from the commitments contained in the new collective agreement, -159 €mn of additional provision recorded for workforce restructuring plans and -213 €mn of initial net accrual personnel costs due to restructuring plans relating to the decarbonization process.
- Preferential subscription share price on November 20th, 2014 (latest IPO)
(3) | Includes dividends assumed to be re-invested (2020 share price as of Nov 20th: 24.82 €/sh). Calculated with Bloomberg data | 6 |
(4) | Socially Responsible Investors over total Capital as of December 2019 (2019 Sustainability Report) |
Endesa @2030 The next 10 years
European Green Deal sets the path for carbon neutrality by 2050
Energy and
climate objectives
to 2030
Energy and
Climate strategic
framework
Reduction of GHG | Renewables(1) | Energy | Interconnection(3) | ||||
emissions | Efficiency(2) | ||||||
Before Green | >40% vs 1990 | >32% | -32.5% | 15% | |||
Deal | |||||||
Green Deal | 55 / 60% vs 1990 | ~38 / 40% | ~36 / 40% | 15% | |||
(pending) | |||||||
2030 Energy and | -23% vs 1990 @ 2030 | |||
Climate | 42% | 39.5% | >15% | |
CO2 neutral @ 2050 | ||||
Integrated National |
Plan (PNIEC)
Around 240 €bn investment opportunities for the Energy Transition in Spain
- Renewable energy as % of the total energy consumption
(2) | Savings in primary/final energy consumption versus reference level | 8 |
(3) | Interconnection capacity as % of peak demand |
European Recovery Fund
EU Next Generation Fund: +750 €bn
increase committed in 2021-24
Spain will receive 140 €bn, 72 €bn in
grants and 68 €bn in loans
Minimum of 30% allocated to decarbonize
the economy
2021 Spanish state budget includes
27 €bn
Endesa has identified a wide range of
eligible projects
EU recovery plan
(€bn) (1) | 750 | 1,824 | ||||
Loans | 360 | ~15% | ||||
Grants(2) | 390 | |||||
1,074 | ~20% | |||||
EU budget | Next Generation | Recovery |
2021-27 | EU 2021-24 | Plan |
Energy Transition, a unique opportunity for an economic relaunch post-COVID
(1) | Excludes Innovation and Modernization Fund resources coming from the ETS that are out of MFF and Next GEN EU | 9 |
(2) | Includes 6 €bn of Invest EU guarantees |
Leveraging on these opportunities to strengthen our leadership in 2030
2021-30 Estimated Capex plan, €bn
~25 €bn
Renewables | ~40% | |||
Networks | ~40% | |||
Others | ~20% | |||
2021-30 |
@ 2030 | |||
RES capacity, | >10 GW | >18 | |
GW | |||
7.7 | |||
2020E | 2030 | ||
% RES | >60% | ||
RAB, | +12% | ||
€bn | 11.6 | ~13 | |
2020E | 2030 |
Free Power Clients, | ||||
mn | +23% | |||
>7 | ||||
5.7 | ||||
2020E2030
Sustainable and long term value creation vision
10
Power Generation
Progressing towards full decarbonization in 2050
-18% | ~-80% | |||||
Scope 1(1) | ||||||
vs. ~-70% in Old Plan | ||||||
(gCO2eq/kWh) | ||||||
FULL | ||||||
538 | 439 | DECARBONIZATION | ||||
<200 | <150 | <95 | ||||
2005 | 2017 | 2020E | 2023 | 2030 | 2050 | |
Emissions free production | 36% | 44% | ~70% | ~75% | ~80% | ~100% |
Previous | <140 | |||||
ESG target | ||||||
Scope 3(2) | -16% |
(Mton CO2) |
Boosting our GHG reduction target to 80% by 2030
(1) | Scope 1, direct emissions | 11 |
(2) | Scope 3, non direct emission (gas sales and others) | |
Power Generation
Coal fully phased out before 2030
Coal capacity evolution (GW)
2020E 2023 2030
5.2 | 4.8 | |||
2.8 | Coal | |||
Phase out | ||||
0.2 | 0.0 | |||
2017 | 2019 | 2020E | 2021 | 2027 |
Coal production (TWh)
Coal production on total (%)
Coal emissions (mn ton CO2)
Plants (#)
1.8 0.1 0
3.2 0.1 0
1.7 0.08 0
3 1 0
Coal phase out brought forward from 2030
12
Power Generation
Developing Just Transition plans on coal sites
Andorra plan
Future
1.7 GW RES + BESS and synchronous capacity
-
1.4 €bn Capex
Timeline 2020 - 2025
Employment
100% Reskilling
80% de local employment for dismantling
4K FTE for construction
Sustainability
Circular Economy
Sustainable Construction &
Engineering
Value & Innovation
International recognition
Analysing H2 project
Committed to a sustainable transition in the affected local areas
13
Power Generation
Innovation through Battery Storage & Hydrogen
NonProjects-Mainland Mainland Projects
BESS(1) Hybridization with thermal & | ||||
RES | ||||
222 (2) | ||||
Mainland projects (MW) | ||||
Non- Mainland projects (MW) | 55 (2) | |||
Incorporate batteries to renewable fleet | ||||
Provides flexibility services to the system
Transform to manageable generation
Projects for all mainland plants > 25 MW
Batteries hybridization in Thermal & Renewables Groups
Improve security of supply
Increase reserve
Offers firm capacity
Green Hydrogen Projects
Number of potentially eligible projects | 22 |
under the EU Recovery Fund | |
H2 Production | |
uses | |
Industrial thermal applications | |
Potential | |
Sustainable mobility | |
Non mainland generation remodelling | |
Power generation
Innovating with battery storage and green hydrogen projects
(1) | Battery Energy Storage System | 14 |
(2) | Included in the 2021-23 Business Plan | |
& Networks
Iberian leadership in Infrastructure & Networks
Infrastructure
Key business drivers
End users | +6% | |
Digitalization | (mn) | |
Reliability | 12.3 | 13.0 |
Efficiency | 2020E | 2030 |
OPEX | ||
Resiliency | €/customer -21% | |
Flexibility | 43 | <34 |
2020E | 2030 |
TIEPI(1)
(min) | -29% | |
62 | 44 | |
2020E | 2030 | |
NIEPI(2) (#) | -31% | |
1.3 | ||
0.9 | ||
2020E | 2030 |
New platform operating model to boost quality and resiliency
(1) | Tiempo de Interrupción Equivalente a la Potencia Instalada (Installed Capacity Equivalent Interruption Time) | 15 |
(2) | Número de Interrupciones Equivalente a la Potencia Instalada (Installed Capacity Equivalent Number of Interruptions) | |
Customers
Customers at the center of our strategy
Power Free customers | ||||
(mn) | >23% | |||
>7 | ||||
Promote electrification of | 5.7 | |||
consumption through integrated | ||||
actions | offering of commodity and services | |||
Create additional value through | 2020E | 2030 | ||
Strategic | new complementary products & | Demand Response | ||
services | (GW) | +1 GW | ||
1 | ||||
Digitalization & Platformization | ||||
key to enhance customer journey | ||||
and efficiencies | ||||
0 | ||||
2020E | 2030 |
Power free unitary consumption B2C
(MWh/y) | >22% |
>4.5 | |
3.7 |
2020E | 2030 | |
Charging points | ||
(k#) | 72x | |
575 | ||
8 | ||
2020E | 2030 |
Reference provider for new energy services and products
16
Platforms to manage higher complexity
Platforms
Enabling innovation and extraction of additional value from existing assets
Renewables managed by an Operating &
Maintenance platform system
Grid management platforms
Selling smart services designed around
prosumer
Offer to clients according to a digital platform design
Focusing on a new platform-based business model
17
2021-23 Operative Targets
Luca Passa
CFO
Decarbonization
Increase by ~50% our renewable
capacity by 2023
RES capacity | CO free emissions output (1) | |
2 | ||
(GW) | (%) |
Strategic actions
Building up our pipeline to enable
growth and create value
Ambitious targets in terms of CO2
emissions reduction
+~50% | 11.5 (2) |
7.7 | |
2020E | 2023 |
+600bps | 89% |
83% | |
2020E | 2023 |
Investment focus on renewable to support long term sustainable growth
(1) | Mainland output | 19 |
(2) | Do not include 0.3 GW of BESS | |
Power Generation
Reshaping our generation mix
Total mainland capacity, GW
17.3 | 3.9 | -2.5 | 18.6 | ||
RES | 7.7 | 11.5 | (1) | ||
Nuke | 3.3 | ||||
2.5 | Coal | 3.3 | |||
Thermal | 3.8 | CCGT | CCGT | 3.8 | |
2020E | Renewables | Coal | 2023 | ||
~45% | Renewable capacity | ~62% |
Total mainland output, TWh | ||||
-1.7 | 53.2 | |||
46.6 | 8.1 | |||
12.9 | 21.0 | |||
26.0 | 26.2 | (2) | ||
1.6 | Coal | |||
6.1 | CCGT | CCGT | 6.0 | |
2020E | Renewables | Thermal | 2023 | |
~83% | CO2 emissions free | ~89% |
Renewable generation increase more than offset coal phase out
- Do not include 0.3 GW of BESS
(2) Load factors increase | 20 |
Power Generation
Renewables as our main growth platform
Installed capacity(1), GW | Output by technology(1), TWh | ||||||||
+~50% | +3.9 GW | +63% | +8.1 TWh | ||||||
11.5 | -0.6 | 21.0 | |||||||
2.8 | |||||||||
3.0 | 3.5 | ||||||||
6.5 | |||||||||
7.7 | 5.9 | ||||||||
Solar | 0.9 | 12.9 | |||||||
0.5 | |||||||||
3.3 | 0.6 | ||||||||
Wind | 2.4 | ||||||||
7.8 | |||||||||
5.1 | |||||||||
Hydro(2) | 4.7 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 6.6 | |||||
2020E | Wind | Solar | 2023 | 2020E | Solar | Wind | Hydro | 2023 | |
Wind & Solar growth capex 2021-2023 | 3.3€bn (3) | ~20% increase vs 2020-2022 plan |
~20% capex increase to boost renewable capacity by 3.9 GW
(1) | Rounded figures | (3) Excluding 0.5 €bn of maintenance, BESS and H2 | 21 |
(2) | Includes mini-hydro | ||
Power Generation
Solid pipeline to support renewable growth
Renewables pipeline(1) (GW)
Net pipeline | |||||||||||||
17.6 | 7.3 GW | ||||||||||||
26.0 | |||||||||||||
2.1 | |||||||||||||
5.2 | |||||||||||||
0.6 | |||||||||||||
0.5 | |||||||||||||
(2) | |||||||||||||
Gross | COD | BESS | In | ||||||||||
Early stage COD | |||||||||||||
Pipeline | 2024-25 | 2021-23 | execution |
Net pipeline by technology
32%
7.3 GW
68%
Solar Wind
Indicative hedging strategy
33%33%Long term customers
Long term PPAs
Rest of portfolio
33%
IRR-WACC spread ~200bps
Renewables profitability enhanced through our customers base leadership
(1) | As of 31st October 2020 | 22 |
(2) | Approved by a Screening Committee, which authorized preliminary works. Initial phase of development | |
Electrification
Strategic actions
Total energy sales 2020E-23(1) | |||
B2C | (TWh) | ||
▪ | Focus on customer loyalty | ||
through digital and analytics | |||
capacities | +8% | ||
▪ | Maximum tailoring of value | ||
proposal and "Customer Journey" | 99 | ||
B2B | 91 | ||
▪ | Expansion of customization & | ||
consulting model leveraging on | |||
digitalization and analytics | |||
▪ Reinforcing proximity and trust | |||
sentiment | 2020E | 2023 | |
Main KPIs
2020E | 2023 | ||||
Free customers | |||||
5.7 | 6.1 | +7% | |||
(mn) | |||||
Regulated cust. | |||||
4.8 | 4.5 | -5% | |||
(mn) | |||||
Churn rate | (2) | ||||
11.7 | 10.7 | -9% | |||
(%) | |||||
E-home contracts | 1.9 | 2.7 | +42% | ||
(mn) | |||||
Unique energy value proposal, integrated and differential
(1) | Total sales include international sales (2.6 TWh in 2020E and 2.7 TWh in 2023), not considered in the integrated margin | 23 |
(2) | Churn rate B2C and B2B free | |
Customers
Pioneer commercial initiatives
Development of new value proposals and
new channels to increase customer
attraction
'Única' product
PersonalizedSimple
SustainableClear
Available proposals
basic | plus | premium |
Energy
360 Protection
Revisions Optional
Revisions &
RepairOptional
24
Customers
Demand electrification through Endesa X platform
Main operative KPIs
Strategic actions
Value creation through "beyond commodity" new
services and products
Providing efficient solutions for homes, industry and
cities to pave the way towards the energy
transformation
Reference player in electric mobility
E-home contracts, mn
+42%
1.9 | 2.7 |
2020E | 2023 |
Charging points(2), k#
~7x
8 | 56 |
2020E | 2023 |
Demand Response,
MW(1)
161
2020E 2023
e-bus charging points, #
~10x | |
115 | |
12 | |
2020E | 2023 |
Innovative solutions covering all types of customers needs
(1) | MW managed | 25 |
(2) | Public and private |
Infrastructure and Network
Strategic actions
Main operative KPIs | ||||
2.6€bn Capex (+30%) | OPEX €/customer | NIEPI(1) (#) | ||
-12% | -23% | |||
Sound operational efficiency to meet | 43 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
regulatory standards | 2020E | 2023 | 2020E | 2023 |
Significant improvement in service quality | TIEPI(2) (min) | % Losses OS | ||
-3% | ||||
indicators | -27% | |||
Reduction of losses through digitalization | 62 | 45 | 9.8 | 9.5 |
2020E | 2023 | 2020E | 2023 |
Service and quality improvement driven by investment effort
(1) | Número de Interrupciones Equivalente a la Potencia Instalada (Installed Capacity Equivalent Number of Interruptions) | 26 |
(2) | Tiempo de Interrupción Equivalente a la Potencia Instalada (Installed Capacity Equivalent Interruption Time) | |
A fully sustainable business model reflected in
SDGs impact
Capital allocation by SDG 2021-23 | Circular economy | ||||
Circular Inputs | Promotion of circularity in the supply chain | ||||
8% | |||||
Sharing platforms | Development of ecosystems to electrify civil society | ||||
7.9 €bn | |||||
Product as a Service | Boost to electric mobility | ||||
+25% | 53% | ||||
33% | |||||
Useful life extension | Non mainland decarbonization | ||||
94% | New life cycles | Futur-e plans | |||
94% capex allocated to climate actions
27
Endesa @2023
2021-23 Financial Targets
Strategic plan at a glance
€bn
Cumulated gross capex vs previous plan
+25% | ||||
7.9 | +1.6 €bn | |||
6.3 | ||||
2020-22 | 2021-23 | |||
Net Income
+12%
1.7 | (2) | 1.9 | (3) | +0.2 €bn | |||
2020E | 2023 | ||||||
(1) | 2020E | Ebitda like for like net of provisions | (3) | Net Ordinary Income | |||
(2) | 2020E | figure like for like net of provisions |
EBITDA(1)
+10%
3.9 | 4.3 | +0.4 €bn |
2020E2023
Net Income / EBITDA(1)
-
0.4x0.4x
2020E2023
29
Power Generation
Decarbonization
Renewables
Cumulated capex(1), €bn | EGPE gross margin evolution, €bn |
+~30% | 3.8 | +100% | |||
2020E | 2023 | ||||
3.0 | 0.8 | ||||
Opex/MWh | 16 | 12 | |||
(€/MWh) | |||||
0.4(2) | |||||
0.1 | EBITDA/Capex | 11% | 11% | ||
(%) | |||||
0.3 | |||||
2020-22 | 2021-23 | 2020E | 2023 |
Capex acceleration drives gross margin growth and efficiencies
(1) | Includes maintenance capex, BESS and H2. | 30 |
(2) | Managerial margin, including 0.1 €bn from renewables contribution to the integrated margin. EGPE includes wind, solar and mini hydro. It excludes large hydro. | |
Customers
Electrification
Energy management
Retail cumulated capex, €bn
+100%
0.4
0.2
2020-222021-23
Liberalized sales(1), TWh
+9%
7683
2022
5661
2020E2023
B2B B2C
Power integrated margin(2), €/MWh
~65 | ~66 | Unitary |
revenue |
~32 | ~31 | Unitary | |
integrated | |||
margin | |||
2020E | 2023 |
Customer strategy providing a resilient integrated margin
(1) Liberalized sales considered in integrated margin. Excluded international sales (2.6 TWh in 2020E | (2) Includes Generation and Supply margin |
and 2.7 TWh in 2023). | 31 |
Customers
Endesa X
Cumulated capex, €bn
0.20.2
+~30%
2020-222021-23 E-mobility capex ~0.1 €bn
Gross margin, €bn
+100% ~0.2
25%
~0.1
5%
75%
95%
2020E2023
Mature business(2) | Growth business(1) |
Evolving towards high potential growth solutions
(1) | Growth business: e-mobility and high potential growth products & services | 32 |
(2) | Mature business: e-home,e-industry and e-City except products & services with high potential growth |
Customers
Electrification
Digital new platforms enhancing interaction with clients
Operating platform for customers
Customer segments covered by Endesa X plaftorms
COST TO SERVE (1)
Opex/ customer, €/cl.
11.3 | 9.7 |
2020E | 2023 |
B2C | B2B | B2G |
Home | Flexibility | Smart cities |
appliances | ||
services | solutions | |
ecosystems | ||
Digital contracts, mn | ||
DIGITAL | 5.6 | 6.0 |
INTERACTIONS | ||
2020E | 2023 | |
E-billing, mn | ||
CUSTOMIZED | 4.2 | 5.3 |
OFFERING | ||
2020E | 2023 |
Electric mobility - JUICE PASS
Common customer operations management
Customer operations salesforce
(1) Power and gas. Including Social Bonus (2020E Cost to serve excluding Social Bonus: 10.4 €/customer) | 33 |
Infrastructure & Networks
Infrastructures & Networks
Cumulated Gross Capex(1), €bn | RAB, €bn |
Networks gross margin evolution, €bn
+30%
2.6
2.0
2020-22 | 2021-23 | ||||
Net Capex, | |||||
1.5 | 2.2 | +47% | |||
€bn | |||||
Digital | 0.8 | 1.3 | +63% | ||
Capex, €bn | |||||
+2%
11.8
11.6
2020E2023
-
2.52.5
0.40.4
2.12.1
2020E2023
RegulatedOther
30% capex growth driving RAB increase
(1) | Includes client contributions. | 34 |
Efficiency program
Strategic actions
Workforce optimization related to coal phase out
Efficiency improvements from digitalization, platformization and process optimization
Opex(1) evolution, €bn
-10%
0.1 | 0.1 | ||||
-0.4 | |||||
2.4 | |||||
2.0 | |||||
1.8(2) | |||||
2014 | 2020E | CPI | Growth | Efficiency | 2023 |
44% | 33% | Opex(1)/ Gross margin | 30% |
Decarbonization and platformization provide further efficiencies
- Opex: Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations)
(2) Not including non-recurrent expenses | 35 |
Key Financial Indicators
Gross capex by business, €bn
+25%
7.9
6.3 | |||||||||
Renewables(2) | 3.8 | ||||||||
Retail + | 3.0 | ||||||||
Endesa X | 0.6 | ||||||||
Conventional | 0.4 | 0.9 | |||||||
1.0 | |||||||||
Generation(3) | |||||||||
Networks | 2.0 | 2.6 | |||||||
2020-22 | 2021-23 | ||||||||
Net Capex, | +28% | ||||||||
5.8 | 7.4 | ||||||||
€bn | |||||||||
EBITDA(1) by business, €bn
+10% | |||||||
3.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | |||
0.3 | 0.6 | ||||||
0.3 | |||||||
1.4 | Higher renewable contribution | 1.4 | |||||
0.2 | Higher RAB in Distribution | 0.2 | |||||
Sales growth | |||||||
2.0 | Efficiencies | 2.1 | |||||
• | Lower RAB in non mainland | ||||||
2020E | 2023 | ||||||
Networks | Non-mainland | Mainland Gx + Retail | EGPE |
25% increase in total capex supports +10% EBITDA growth | ||
(1) | 2020E Ebitda like for like net of provisions | |
(2) | Renewables capex includes maintenance, BESS and H2 investments | 36 |
(3) | Includes Gross Capex in non mainland | |
Key Financial Indicators
Net Income, €bn
+12% 1.9
1.7 (1)
2020E2023
+12% | |||
-0.2 | 1.9 | ||
0.4 | |||
1.7 (1) | |||
2020E | EBITDA | D&A, financial | 2023 |
& others |
12% increase in Net Income supported by EBITDA growth
(1) Net of provisions (Provisions: 0.3 €bn) | 37 |
Key Financial Indicators
Debt analysis
Source of funds allocation 2021-23, €bn | Gross debt, €bn | |
2.9 | |||||
10.2 | |||||
-7.4 | 0.2 | ||||
7.3 | |||||
0.2 | |||||
9.2 | 10.0 | ||||
-4.7 | 7.1 | ||||
Sources | Incremental | Cash Capex | Dividends | 2020E | 2023 |
of funds (1) | debt | Net Debt | Cash & Equivalents | |||||||||||
Old plan | ||||||||||||||
9.1 | 1.4 | -5.8 | -4.7 | |||||||||||
2020-22 | ||||||||||||||
Cost of debt | 1.8% | 1.4% | ||||||||||||
Increase in net debt to boost growth, leveraging on extremely low cost of debt
(1) Includes FFO, IFRS 16 effect and Others | 38 |
Credit metrics
FFO/EBITDA | FFO/Net Debt | Return on invested capital | ||
76% | 35% | 33% | 12% | 11% |
61% | ||||
1.8x | 2.3x | |||
2020E (1) | 2023 | 2020E (2) | 2023 | 2020E(1) | 2023 |
Net debt/EBITDA
Strong investment effort for long term sustainable value creation
(1) | Calculated on Net Income and EBITDA net of provisions | 39 |
(2) | Calculated on EBITDA net of provisions | |
Sustainable finance
An ambitious approach to sustainable finance instruments
2020 Sustainability linked transactions, €bn
Strategic actions
First listed sustainable finance corporate ECP Program in Europe
Growing relevance of sustainability linked instruments
Expanding sustainability approach to other short term and working capital instruments
0.1 | 4.7 | ||
4.0 | |||
0.6 | |||
Club Deal | SDG7 Euro | Retail Customers | 2020 total |
Bank Facilities | Commercial Paper | Factoring | transactions |
Strategy alignment and active role in promoting sustainability
40
Sustainable finance
Growing weight of sustainable debt
Sustainable finance as an instrument to
engage stakeholders
actions | |
Expanding initiatives across diverse ESG | |
Strategic | |
goals | |
Potential opportunities from EU recovery | |
plan | |
Share of sustainable debt
+18pp +14pp
27% | |||||||||
41% | |||||||||
6.6 €bn | 7.3 €bn | 45% | 10.2 €bn | ||||||
55% | |||||||||
59% | |||||||||
73%
2019 | 2020E | 2023 | ||||
Sustainable sources | Traditional sources | |||||
Sustainable finance representing ~60% of total gross debt by 2023
41
Closing remarks
José Bogas
CEO
Creating value for our shareholders
Gross Capex | Pay out(1) |
(€bn) | >3x | |
2.6 | ||
1.7 | ||
0.8 | ||
2014 | 2020 | 2021-23 avg. |
(%)
100 | ||||||
85(2) | ||||||
80 | 70 | 70 | ||||
2014 2020 2021 2022 2023
Dividend policy confirmed and in line with a more ambitious growth profile
(1) | On Net Ordinary Income | 43 |
(2) | Equivalent pay out referenced to 2014 Net Income from ongoing activities |
Closing Remarks
Financial Targets
EBITDA lfl
(€bn)
Net Ordinary Income (2)
(€bn)
Net income lfl (3)
(€bn)
Pay out
(%)
Implicit DPS
(€/share)
Implicit Dividend Yield(5)
Gross Capex (€bn)
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
3.9 (1) | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
100% | 80% | 70% | 70% |
~1.9 (4) | ~1.3 | ~1.2 | ~1.3 |
7.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% |
2.0 | 3.0 | 2.9 |
CAGR
2020E-23
+3%
+4%
-
2021-23
7.9
(1) | 2020E like for like EBITDA excluding +515 €mn of provision reversal from the commitments contained in the new collective agreement, -159 €mn of additional provision recorded for workforce restructuring plans and -213 €mn | |
of initial net accrual personnel costs due to restructuring plans relating to the decarbonization process. | ||
(2) | Reported Net Income - Net Results on Impairment of Non-Financial Assets over 10 €mn - Initial net accrual of personnel costs due to restructuring plans relating to the decarbonization process - Net Costs corresponding to the | |
Public Responsibility Plan for the Health Crisis COVID-19. | ||
(3) | Estimated Reported Net Income adjusted by net provisions effect (107 €mn) | |
(4) | 2020E implicit DPS corresponding to a Net Ordinary income of 2.0 €bn: ~1.9 €/share | 44 |
(5) | Share price as of 18/11/20: 24.23€ | |
Closing Remarks
Annual targets achieved since 2014
2030 vision focused on decarbonization, enabling infrastructures,
electrification and customer centricity
Digital platform development for a unique energy value proposal
Sound investment acceleration into the Energy Transition
Sustainability and circular strategy delivering long term value creation
45
Appendix
Key Financial Indicators
Commodity overview and update to latest market consensus
2021-23 plan | Brent price, $/bbl | CO2 price, €/ton | ||||||
2020-22 plan | 65 | 65 | 66 | 30.0 | 31.0 | 32.0 | ||
25.0 | ||||||||
55 | 59 | 23.5 | 24.0 | 24.5 | ||||
48 | ||||||||
39 | ||||||||
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
TTF, €/MWh
16 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
14 | 16 | ||
9 | |||
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
PVB, €/MWh
20.620.820.9
17.7
14.716.2
9.5
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
47
Key Financial Indicators
Power market overview and update to latest market consensus
Mainland Spain demand(1), TWh | Average daily market price(2), €/MWh |
2021-23 plan
2020-22 plan
258 | 53.2 | 53.5 | 53.3 | ||||
253 | 256 | ||||||
254 | 258 | 47.2 | 48.4 | 49.2 | |||
248 | 32.6 | ||||||
238 | |||||||
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Spain GDP growth, % | Thermal gap, TWh | ||||||
7.7% | 3.9% | ||||||
2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | |||||
48 | |||||||
1.5% | 38 | 38 | |||||
34 | 33 | 31 | 32 | ||||
-9.9% | 2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
- In bus bars
(2) Arithmetic power prices | 48 |
Key Financial Indicators
Net Income per year, €bn
1.7 | (1) | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
2020E 2021 2022 2023
EBITDA per year(1), €bn
3.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.3 | |||||
0.6 | ||||||||
0.4 | ||||||||
0.3 | 0.4 | |||||||
1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |||||
0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | ||||||
0.2 | ||||||||
2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | |||||
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||||
Networks | Non-mainland | EGPE | Gx & Sx (2) |
(1) | 2020E like for like EBITDA and Net Income. Rounded figures | 49 |
(2) | Gx & Sx EBITDA figure includes Generation and Supply business, Corporate Structure, Services and Adjustments and does not include Non-mainland generation | |
Key Financial Indicators
Comparison of old plan vs. updated plan
EBITDA, €bn | ||||
+ Supply Margin | + Supply Margin | |||
+ Fixed costs | + Fixed costs | |||
- OTC references | - OTC references | |||
- Catalan tax | - Catalan tax | |||
- Gas Margin | - Gas Margin |
3.9 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||
Plan 2020-22 | Plan 2021-23 |
50
Key Financial Indicators
Gross(1) Capex analysis
Gross Capex by business, €bn
7.9 | ||||||||||||||||
6.3 | ||||||||||||||||
3.8 | ||||||||||||||||
Renewables(2) | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||
Networks | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.6 | |||||||||||||
2.0 | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||
1.7 | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||
Gx(3) | ||||||||||||||||
0.6 | ||||||||||||||||
0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | ||||||||||||
Supply | ||||||||||||||||
0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | |||||||||||||
0.4 | ||||||||||||||||
0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | TOTAL | Old Plan |
- Includes client contributions
- Rounded figures
- Renewables capex includes maintenance, BESS and H2 investments
- Includes Capex in non mainland
- Customer capex includes Cost to Acquire new customers, Connections and Investments associated with new services.
Gross Capex by nature(2), €bn
7.9
6.3
5.2
Asset
development3.8
Asset | 1.6 | 1.7 |
management | ||
Customer (5) | 0.9 | 1.0 |
2020-22 | 2021-23 |
51
Key Financial Indicators
Net(1) Capex analysis
Net Capex by business(2), €bn
7.4 | ||||||||||||||||
5.8 | ||||||||||||||||
3.8 | ||||||||||||||||
Renewables(3) | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||
2.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||
Networks | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | ||||||||||||
Gx(4) | 0.6 | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||
0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | |||||||||||||
Supply | ||||||||||||||||
0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | |||||||||||||
0.3 | ||||||||||||||||
0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | TOTAL | Old Plan |
- Not including client contributions
- Rounded figures
- Renewables capex includes maintenance, BESS and H2 investments
- Includes Capex in non mainland
- Customer capex includes Cost to Acquire new customers, Connections and Investments associated with new services.
Net Capex by nature(2), €bn
7.4
5.8
Asset | 5.2 | |||
3.8 | ||||
development | ||||
Asset | 1.7 | |||
management | 1.6 | |||
Customer (5) | 0.6 | |||
0.4 | ||||
2020-22 | 2021-23 |
52
Net capacity and output evolution
Total capacity(1, 2), GW | Total output(1), TWh |
21.5 | 20.9 | 22.6 | 60 | 63 | ||||||||
19.6 | 56 | 57 | ||||||||||
7.7 | 11.5 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 21 | |||||||
9.8 | ||||||||||||
8.4 | ||||||||||||
3.3 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | ||||||||
Coal | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | ||||||||
(1) | ||||||||||||
CCGT | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | CCGT | Coal | 2 | 1 | ||||
7 | 7 | 6 | CCGT | |||||||||
CCGT | 6 | |||||||||||
4.3 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | |||||
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||||
~36% | Renewable capacity | ~52% | ~69% | CO2 emissions free | ~75% |
RES | Nuke | Thermal | Non mainland |
(1) | Rounded figures | 53 |
(2) | BESS capacity not included (0.3 GW) | |
Key Financial Indicators
Financial debt maturity calendar
Gross balance of maturities(1)
€bn | 7.3 |
3.8 | ||||||||
3.3 | ||||||||
1.3 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | |||||
0.5 | ||||||||
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | ||||||
0.3 | 1.4 | |||||||
1.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | ||||||
0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |||||
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025+ | TOTAL |
ECP's and other marketable securities(2) | Bank Debt | Other debts | ||
- Average life of debt: 4.1 years
- Coverage of 15 months of debt maturities
(1) | Outstanding 2020E. Rounded figures. | |
(2) | Notes issued are backed by long-term credit lines and are renewed on a regular basis. Accounting criteria maturities. | 54 |
Gas business
Volumes sold 2020E-23(1), TWh
Key figures(2)
+3%
8082
CCGT sales | 21 | 20 |
Retail | 59 | 62 |
2020E2023
Free customers (mn)
Regulated cust. (mn)
Total customers (mn)
Churn rate (3)
(%)
2020E2023
1.4 | 1.6 | +14% | |
0.2 0.2 -
1.7 | 1.8 | +6% | |
10.9% | 10.4% | -0.5 PP | |
(1) | Not included Wholesale business | (3) Churn rate B2C and B2B free |
(2) | Rounded figures | 55 |
2020E Spanish power market
Customers | Energy sold | |||
Business
Residential
Total
(1)2
Endesa Market Share
Customers (mn) | |||
Regulated | Free | Total | |
0.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | |
10.8 | 17.6 | 28.4 | |
11.0 | 18.4 | 29.4 | |
43% | 29% |
Endesa
market share | (1)2 |
34% | |
34% | |
Business
Residential
Total
Endesa Market Share | (1)2 |
Energy sold (TWh) | ||
Regulated | Free | Total |
1.4 | 151.1 | 152.5 |
26.1 | 54.7 | 80.8 |
27.5 | 205.8 | 233.3 |
47% | 33% |
Endesa
market share | (1)2 |
30% | |
32% |
Internal estimate based on Forecast 2020 Regulated; % calculated on Total Regulated Market Internal estimate based on Forecast 2020 Free; % calculated on Total Free Market.
(1) Portugal is not included
56
Environmental, Social and Governance annexes
Sustainability Plan
Sustainable business model, driving change
through growth accelerators
2021 - 2023
Sustainability Plan
* Growth accellerators include innovation, digital supports, circular economy and sustainable finance
Focus on People Centricity
People we work with
Plan actions
2020E | 2021-23 targets | |
Gender - % of women in selection processes(1)
Climate survey(2)
Performance appraisal(2)
36% women involved in recruiting processes
- 100% of people involved
- 86% of people participating
- 8,567 people involved
- 100% of eligible people
50% women involved in recruiting processes
- 100% of people involved
- 87% of people participating
100% of people involved
Reskilling and upskilling - Promote and plan reskilling and upskilling programs for Endesa people in order to support
the energy transition
(1) It excludes the selection processes involving the blue collars
(2) Eligible and reachable people having worked in the Group for at least 3 months during 2020 | 61 |
Local and global communities
Plan actions | 2020E(1) | 2030 targets(1) |
High-quality, inclusive and fair education | 0.3 mn beneficiaries | 0.7 mn beneficiaries in 2030 | ||
Access to affordable and clean energy | 1.9 mn beneficiaries | 4.8 mn beneficiaries in 2030 | ||
Employment and sustainable | 0.6 mn beneficiaries | 1.9 mn beneficiaries in 2030 | ||
and inclusive economic growth | ||||
(1) Cumulated figures since 2015
62
Focus on Corporate Governance
Corporate governance structure
Composition
8%
31% BoD's composition
62%
Executive Proprietary Independent
BoD and Commitees
Shareholder's meeting | Audit firm | ||||
Board of Directors
(13 members)
Audit and Compliance | Appointments and | Sustainability and | |||||||
Committee | remuneration Committee | Governance Committee | |||||||
64
Board of Directors composition
Board of Directors
Board of Directors' diversity
J. Sánchez-Calero
J. Bogas
P. Grieco
F. Starace
A. de Paoli
A. Cammisecra
M. Roca
A. Echevarría
I. Garralda F. de Lacerda
P. González
E. Bieto
A. Koplowitz
Chairman | ||||
Sustainability & Governance C. | Proprietary | |||
. | ||||
CEO | ||||
Executive | ||||
Sustainability & Governance C. | ||||
Independent | ||||
Vice Chairman | ||||
Audit & Compliance C. | ||||
Appointments & Remuneration C. | ||||
Audit & Compliance C. | ||||
Sustainability & Governance C. | ||||
Appointments & Remuneration C. | ||||
Appointments & Remuneration C. | ||||
Audit & Compliance C. | ||||
Audit & Compliance C. | ||||
Appointments & Remuneration C. | ||||
Audit & Compliance C. | ||||
Appointments & Remuneration C. | ||||
Sustainability & Governance C. | ||||
By gender | By tenure |
15%
31%
46%
69% | 38% |
Male | Female | < 4 years | Over 6 years |
4-6 years | |||
Equality gender policies reaching 30% women
already in 2020
65
Short-term variable remuneration(1)
2020 Objective
RangeWeight
Net ordinary income | Maximum 120% | 25% | ||
FFO | Maximum 120% | 15% | ||
Fixed costs | Maximum 120% | 20% | ||
Decarbonization & Digitalization | Maximum 120% | 20% | ||
Safety in the workplace | Maximum 120% | 20% | ||
(1) 2020 executive director variable remuneration
Type of target
Economic
Financial
Economic
Business
ESG
Macro objective
Profitability
Cash and debt management
Efficiency
Environmental
Safety
66
Long-term variable remuneration(1)
Objective
(0%) | Entry (100%) | Over I (150%) | Over II (180%) |
Type of target
TSR(2)
50%(3)
ROACE(4)
40%(3)
CO2 emissions reduction (gCO2 /KWh) (4)
10%(3)
Endesa's TSR | Endesa's TSR | Endesa's TSR | Endesa's TSR |
<100% of | from 100 % to | from 110 % to | |
> 115% of | |||
TSR | 110% of | 115% of | |
TSR | |||
TSR | TSR | ||
≤49,3% | 49,3% | 50% | ≥50,7% |
≥171,5 | 171,5 | 166,4 | ≤162,9 |
MarketPerformance
FinancialProfitability
ESGEnvironmental
- Executive director Long Term Incentive Plan (LTI) 2020 2022. 30 % payment (if any) in the 4th year. 70% payment (if any) in the 5th year (deferred payment)
- Average TSR Endesa compared to average TSR EUROSTOXX Utilities Index EMU.
- (%) Weight in the variable remuneration
- The target has been defined for a thermal gap of 31 TWh in 2022, as foreseen in the BIP 2020-2022. In the event that the thermal gap varies, it will be adjusted using the following formula: E(Ht)= (1,6 x Ht) + 122
67
Focus on Innovation & Cybersecurity
Innovation & Cybersecurity
Innovation
Plan actions | 2021-23 targets | |
Cybersecurity(1)
Plan actions | 2021-23 targets | |
Promoting innovation culture
1000 people involved in promotional innovation actions (workshops, trainings, intrapreneurship)
3 projects approved Make it Happen!
Execution of cyber exercises involving industrial plants/sites
Disseminating the IT security culture and changing people's behaviour
in order to reduce risks
36 cyberexercises executed on industrial plants/sites
15 cyber security knowledge sharing events held each year
(1) Group targets | 69 |
Glossary of terms (I/II)
Item
Average cost of debt (%)
Average life of debt (number of years)
Cash flow from operations (€mn)
Debt maturities coverage (months)
EBITDA (€mn)
EBIT (€mn)
Fixed costs (Opex) (€mn)
Gross margin (€mn)
Leverage (times)
Net Capex (€mn)
Funds from Operations (FFO, €mn)
Definition
Cost of gross financial debt / gross average financial debt
(Principal x number of days of term) / (Principal in force at the end of the period x number of days of the period)
Net cash provided by operating activities
Maturity period (months) for vegetative debt that could be covered with the liquidity available
Revenues - Purchases and Services + Work performed by the entity and capitalized - Personnel expenses - Other fixed operating expenses
EBITDA - Depreciation and amortization
Personnel expenses + Other fixed operating expenses - Work performed by the entity and capitalized
Revenues - Purchases and Services
Net financial debt / EBITDA
Gross tangible and intangible Capex - assets from clients' contributions and subsidies
The higher profit before tax and non-controlling interests net of depreciation and amortisation and other adjustments + Change in Net Working Capital + Variation in the payment of the Income Tax
70
Glossary of terms (II/II)
Item | Definition | |
Net financial debt (€mn) | Long and short term financial debt - Cash and cash equivalents - Derivatives recognized as financial assets | |
Net financial results (€mn) | Financial Revenues - Financial Expenses - Foreign Exchanges | |
Revenues (€mn) | Sales + Other operating revenues | |
Electric Integrated Margin (€mn) | Contribution margin Gx+Sx - Margin SENP - Margin SCVP - Margin gas - Margin Endesa X - Others | |
Unitary electric integrated margin (€/MWh) | Electric Integrated Margin / Electric sales in the liberalized market in Spain and Portugal | |
Gas retail unitary margin (€/MWh) | Gas margin from retail sales / Gas Retail sales | |
Endesa X Gross Margin (€mn) | Gross margin generated by the added value products and services commercialized by the Endesa X unit | |
71
Disclaimer
In accordance with the provisions of Article 226 of the Spanish Securities Market Act, this document includes Insider Information.
This document contains certain "forward-looking" statements regarding anticipated financial and operating results and statistics and other future events. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and they are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors that may be beyond ENDESA's control or may be difficult to predict.
Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, information regarding: estimated future earnings; anticipated increases in generation and market share; management strategy and goals; estimated cost reductions; tariffs and pricing structure; estimated capital expenditures and other investments; estimated increases in capacity and output and changes in capacity mix; repowering of capacity and macroeconomic conditions. The main assumptions on which these expectations and targets are based are related to the regulatory setting, exchange rates, increases in production and installed capacity in markets where ENDESA operates, increases in demand in these markets, assigning of production amongst different technologies, and the availability and cost of the gas, coal, fuel oil and emission rights necessary to run our business at the desired levels.
In these statements we avail ourselves of the protection provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 of the United States of America with respect to forward-looking statements.
The following important factors, in addition to those discussed elsewhere in this document, could cause actual financial and operating results and statistics to differ materially from those expressed in our forward-looking statements:
Economic and industry conditions: significant adverse changes in the conditions of the industry, the general economy or our markets; the effect of the prevailing regulations or changes in them; tariff reductions; the impact of interest rate fluctuations; the impact of exchange rate fluctuations; the impact of energy commodities price fluctuations; natural disasters; the impact of more restrictive environmental regulations and the environmental risks inherent to our activity; potential liabilities relating to our nuclear facilities.
Transaction or commercial factors: any delays in or failure to obtain necessary regulatory, antitrust and other approvals for our proposed acquisitions or asset disposals, or any conditions imposed in connection with such approvals; our ability to integrate acquired businesses successfully; the challenges inherent in diverting management's focus and resources from other strategic opportunities and from operational matters during the process of integrating acquired businesses; the outcome of any negotiations with partners and governments. Delays in or impossibility of obtaining the pertinent permits and rezoning orders in relation to real estate assets. Delays in or impossibility of obtaining regulatory authorisation, including that related to the environment, for the construction of new facilities, repowering or improvement of existing facilities or its closure or decommissioning; shortage of or changes in the price of equipment, material or labour; opposition of political or ethnic groups; adverse changes of a political or regulatory nature in the countries where we or our companies operate; adverse weather conditions, natural disasters, accidents or other unforeseen events, defaults quantifiable of monetary obligations by the counterparties to which the Company has effectively granted net credit and the impossibility of obtaining financing at what we consider satisfactory interest rates.
Regulatory, environmental and political/governmental factors: political conditions in Spain and Europe generally; changes in Spanish, European and foreign laws, regulations and taxes.
Operating factors: technical problems; changes in operating conditions and costs; capacity to execute cost-reduction plans; capacity to maintain a stable supply of coal, fuel and gas; acquisitions or restructuring; capacity to successfully execute a strategy of internationalisation and diversification.
Competitive factors: the actions of competitors; changes in competition and pricing environments; the entry of new competitors in our markets.
Further details on the factors that may cause actual results and other developments to differ significantly from the expectations implied or explicitly contained in this document are given in the Risk Factors section of the current ENDESA regulated information filed with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores (the Spanish securities regulator or the "CNMV" for its initials in Spanish).
No assurance can be given that the forward-looking statements in this document will be realised. Except as may be required by applicable law, neither Endesa nor any of its affiliates intends to update these forward-looking statements.
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of Endesa, S.A.. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Endesa, S.A. or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates.
72
IR Team
Contact us
Mar Martinez
Head of Investor Relations
Investor Relations team
Isabel Permuy
Javier Hernandez
Francesc Trilla
Juan Carlos Jimenez
Sonia Herranz
Paloma de Miguel
Contacts
Email: ir@endesa.es
Phone: + 34 91 213 15 03
- 34 91 213 90 49 Website:www.endesa.com
73
73
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Endesa SA published this content on 25 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 25 November 2020 12:04:02 UTC