Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 27,850 24,007 19,487
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 4.92% -13.8% -18.83%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,843 7,597 7,822
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 10.62% -3.13% 2.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 9,910 12,716 13,275
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 18.41% 28.32% 4.39%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 18.72% 19.12% 19.23%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 13.75% 14.28% 14.38%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 12.32% 13% 13.36%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 9.19% 9.71% 9.98%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.22% 9.01% 9.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 78.55% 92.82% 91.81%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.01% 7.59% 7.74%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.76% 14.84% 14.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.08x 0.89x 0.7x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.81x 1.89x 1.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.72% 5.38% 5.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 30.53% 28.16% 28.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 79.14% 59.74% 58.92%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 28.99 29.77 31.54
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 29.21% 2.69% 5.94%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 - 9.193 9.725 10.28
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% - - 5.78% 5.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 134.5 144.1 157
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 8.25% 7.11% 8.98%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 18.49 20.27 21.58
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% 0.67% 9.59% 6.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 681,363 681,363 681,363
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14x 12.8x
PBR 1.92x 1.79x
EV / Sales 1.49x 1.42x
Yield 3.56% 3.76%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
258.50SEK
Average target price
277.57SEK
Spread / Average Target
+7.38%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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