Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | |
37,120 JPY | +0.05% | +0.27% | +38.28% |
Nov. 30 | Japan's Nikkei edges lower; set for best month in 2 years | RE |
Nov. 29 | Japan's Nikkei ends lower as investors lock in profits from recent rally | RE |
Valuation
Fiscal Period : August | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitalization 1 | 6 351 953 | 6 460 481 | 7 406 445 | 8 373 801 | 10 266 710 | 11 384 068 | - | - |
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 5 765 382 | 5 687 840 | 6 633 209 | 7 867 587 | 9 129 493 | 10 497 220 | 10 048 703 | 9 851 277 |
P/E ratio | 39,1x | 71,5x | 43,6x | 30,6x | 34,7x | 37,1x | 33,7x | 30,6x |
Yield | 0,77% | 0,76% | 0,66% | 0,76% | 0,87% | 0,89% | 0,94% | 1,00% |
Capitalization / Revenue | 2,77x | 3,22x | 3,47x | 3,64x | 3,71x | 3,74x | 3,43x | 3,17x |
EV / Revenue | 2,52x | 2,83x | 3,11x | 3,42x | 3,30x | 3,45x | 3,03x | 2,74x |
EV / EBITDA | 18,8x | 17,4x | 15,5x | 16,5x | 16,1x | 16,3x | 14,3x | 13,0x |
EV / FCF | 26,0x | 30,1x | 19,2x | 36,0x | -82,1x | 30,5x | 24,5x | 21,3x |
FCF Yield | 3,85% | 3,32% | 5,22% | 2,78% | -1,22% | 3,28% | 4,07% | 4,70% |
Price to Book | 6,77x | 6,75x | 6,63x | 5,36x | 5,64x | 5,90x | 5,25x | 4,62x |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 306 167 | 306 281 | 306 389 | 306 545 | 306 652 | 306 683 | - | - |
Reference price 2 | 20 747 | 21 093 | 24 173 | 27 317 | 33 480 | 37 120 | 37 120 | 37 120 |
Announcement Date | 10/10/19 | 10/15/20 | 10/14/21 | 10/13/22 | 10/12/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
Fiscal Period : August | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 2 290 548 | 2 008 846 | 2 132 992 | 2 301 122 | 2 766 557 | 3 045 478 | 3 320 564 | 3 596 416 |
EBITDA 1 | 306 112 | 327 195 | 426 921 | 477 600 | 567 962 | 644 660 | 701 988 | 759 522 |
EBIT 1 | 257 636 | 149 347 | 249 011 | 297 325 | 381 090 | 442 443 | 492 997 | 542 673 |
Operating Margin | 11,2% | 7,43% | 11,7% | 12,9% | 13,8% | 14,5% | 14,8% | 15,1% |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 252 447 | 152 868 | 265 872 | 413 584 | 437 918 | 465 855 | 512 513 | 566 178 |
Net income 1 | 162 578 | 90 357 | 169 847 | 273 335 | 296 229 | 307 603 | 338 678 | 373 982 |
Net margin | 7,10% | 4,50% | 7,96% | 11,9% | 10,7% | 10,1% | 10,2% | 10,4% |
EPS 2 | 531 | 295 | 554 | 892 | 966 | 1 000 | 1 102 | 1 213 |
Free Cash Flow 1 | 221 749 | 188 887 | 346 371 | 218 591 | -111 186 | 344 538 | 409 325 | 463 218 |
FCF margin | 9,68% | 9,40% | 16,2% | 9,50% | -4,02% | 11,3% | 12,3% | 12,9% |
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 72,4% | 57,7% | 81,1% | 45,8% | - | 53,4% | 58,3% | 61,0% |
FCF Conversion (Net income) | 136% | 209% | 204% | 80,0% | - | 112% | 121% | 124% |
Dividend per Share 2 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 207 | 290 | 332 | 349 | 372 |
Announcement Date | 10/10/19 | 10/15/20 | 10/14/21 | 10/13/22 | 10/12/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
Fiscal Period : August | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2021 S2 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 1 208 512 | 1 202 864 | 495 218 | 434 910 | 930 128 | 627 391 | 591 585 | 1 218 977 | 546 129 | 536 016 | 716 393 | 750 957 | 1 467 350 | 676 154 | 623 053 | 812 679 | 830 631 | 742 883 | 679 973 | 914 000 |
EBITDA | - | - | 103 487 | 66 448 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
EBIT 1 | 136 736 | 167 982 | 59 915 | 21 114 | 81 029 | 119 406 | 69 871 | 189 278 | 81 806 | 26 241 | 117 077 | 103 186 | 220 263 | 110 311 | 50 516 | 139 754 | 120 599 | 119 972 | 68 117 | 164 000 |
Operating Margin | 11,3% | 14,0% | 12,1% | 4,85% | 8,71% | 19,0% | 11,8% | 15,5% | 15,0% | 4,90% | 16,3% | 13,7% | 15,0% | 16,3% | 8,11% | 17,2% | 14,5% | 16,1% | 10,0% | 17,9% |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 150 859 | 171 482 | 74 172 | 20 218 | - | 134 208 | 78 357 | 212 566 | 136 689 | 64 329 | 126 812 | 103 687 | 230 499 | 128 704 | 78 715 | 145 827 | 128 026 | 130 860 | 74 987 | 167 500 |
Net income 1 | 100 459 | 105 868 | 45 483 | 18 496 | - | 93 592 | 53 252 | 146 844 | 90 992 | 35 499 | 85 074 | 68 318 | 153 392 | 85 127 | 57 710 | 96 532 | 84 335 | 84 807 | 49 299 | 109 000 |
Net margin | 8,31% | 8,80% | 9,18% | 4,25% | - | 14,9% | 9,00% | 12,0% | 16,7% | 6,62% | 11,9% | 9,10% | 10,5% | 12,6% | 9,26% | 11,9% | 10,2% | 11,4% | 7,25% | 11,9% |
EPS 2 | 328 | 346 | 148 | 60,3 | - | 305 | 174 | 479 | 297 | 116 | 277 | 223 | 500 | 278 | 188 | 322 | 273 | 269 | 168 | - |
Dividend per Share 2 | 80,0 | 80,0 | - | 80,0 | - | - | 93,3 | 93,3 | - | 113 | - | 125 | 125 | - | - | - | 155 | - | 185 | - |
Announcement Date | 04/09/20 | 04/08/21 | 07/15/21 | 10/14/21 | 10/14/21 | 01/13/22 | 04/14/22 | 04/14/22 | 07/14/22 | 10/13/22 | 01/12/23 | 04/13/23 | 04/13/23 | 07/13/23 | 10/12/23 | - | - | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
Fiscal Period : August | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Net Cash position 1 | 586 571 | 772 641 | 773 236 | 506 214 | 1 137 217 | 886 848 | 1 335 364 | 1 532 791 |
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Free Cash Flow 1 | 221 749 | 188 887 | 346 371 | 218 591 | -111 186 | 344 538 | 409 325 | 463 218 |
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 18,0% | 9,50% | 16,4% | 20,4% | 17,5% | 16,3% | 16,3% | 16,0% |
Shareholders' equity 1 | 903 211 | 951 126 | 1 035 652 | 1 339 877 | 1 692 737 | 1 891 324 | 2 082 475 | 2 343 843 |
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 12,7% | 4,09% | 10,8% | 14,5% | 13,5% | 11,4% | 11,1% | 11,6% |
Assets 1 | 1 276 432 | 2 211 272 | 1 572 149 | 1 885 069 | 2 194 216 | 2 694 332 | 3 061 570 | 3 224 541 |
Book Value Per Share 2 | 3 066 | 3 123 | 3 643 | 5 094 | 5 939 | 6 296 | 7 071 | 8 033 |
Cash Flow per Share 2 | 689 | 876 | 1 135 | 1 480 | 1 576 | 942 | 1 775 | 2 077 |
Capex 1 | 65 744 | 67 508 | 76 124 | 79 606 | 95 306 | 91 066 | 94 498 | 104 657 |
Capex / Sales | 2,87% | 3,36% | 3,57% | 3,46% | 3,44% | 2,99% | 2,85% | 2,91% |
Announcement Date | 10/10/19 | 10/15/20 | 10/14/21 | 10/13/22 | 10/12/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating :
Investor Rating :
ESG Refinitiv :
B-
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
37,120JPY
Average target price
36,940.83JPY
Spread / Average Target
-0.48%
EPS Revisions
1st Jan change | Capi. | |
---|---|---|
+38.28% | 77 282 M $ | |
+54.41% | 130 B $ | |
-15.87% | 51 911 M $ | |
+14.32% | 44 747 M $ | |
+39.44% | 12 341 M $ | |
-12.95% | 11 129 M $ | |
+85.86% | 7 795 M $ | |
-13.84% | 7 494 M $ | |
+46.48% | 7 262 M $ | |
-27.96% | 6 766 M $ |
- Stock
- Equities
- Stock Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. - Japan Exchange
- Financials Fast Retailing Co., Ltd.