Projected Income Statement: Great Wall Motor Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Great Wall Motor Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 4,090 -12,043 -6,030 -8,997 -10,232 -25,798 -23,473 -49,239
Change - -394.45% 49.93% -49.2% -13.73% -152.13% 9.01% -109.77%
Announcement Date 1/25/21 2/8/22 2/2/23 1/24/24 3/28/25 1/30/26 - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Great Wall Motor Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,780 12,473 15,859 16,229 11,082 11,551 11,060 11,067
Change - 60.32% 27.15% 2.33% -31.71% 4.23% -4.26% 0.07%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,599 22,843 -3,990 1,525 16,700 13,312 8,261 18,489
Change - 979.02% -117.47% 138.22% 995.33% -20.29% -37.95% 123.81%
Announcement Date 1/25/21 2/8/22 2/2/23 1/24/24 3/28/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Great Wall Motor Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.17% 8.6% 10.29% 8.38% 10.05% 9.31% 8.72% 9.17%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.42% 4.67% 5.8% 4.16% 6.88% 5.14% 5.46% 6.38%
EBT Margin (%) 6.05% 5.49% 6.41% 4.52% 7.06% 5.24% 5.71% 6.65%
Net margin (%) 5.19% 4.98% 6.03% 4.05% 6.28% 4.45% 4.8% 5.88%
FCF margin (%) -2.52% 16.76% -2.9% 0.88% 8.26% 5.88% 3.22% 6.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) -48.46% 336.86% -48.19% 21.71% 131.58% 103.67% 67.05% 107.85%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.03% 4.08% 4.58% 3.63% 6.06% 5.24% 4.61% 5.54%
ROE 9.58% 11.26% 12.6% 10.61% 17.2% 11.82% 13.34% 15.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -1.57x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.53% 9.15% 11.55% 9.37% 5.48% 5.1% 4.31% 3.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 74.07% 106.36% 112.25% 111.79% 54.54% 54.76% 49.45% 41.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -299.38% 54.6% -397.52% 1,064.42% 66.36% 86.77% 133.88% 59.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5646 3.824 1.355 2.073 3.27 2.691 2.657 3.261
Change - 577.26% -64.56% 52.98% 57.7% -17.69% -1.25% 22.71%
Dividend per Share 1 0.28 0.37 0.3 0.3 0.45 0.4687 0.4243 0.5864
Change - 32.14% -18.92% 0% 50% 4.16% -9.48% 38.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.249 6.726 8.014 8.06 9.192 10.31 11.13 13.08
Change - 7.65% 19.14% 0.58% 14.05% 12.14% 7.99% 17.47%
EPS 1 0.58 0.73 0.91 0.82 1.49 1.16 1.365 1.868
Change - 25.86% 24.66% -9.89% 81.71% -22.15% -6.41% 36.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,175,953 9,235,467 8,645,413 8,456,737 8,511,594 8,558,529 8,558,529 8,558,529
Announcement Date 1/25/21 2/8/22 2/2/23 1/24/24 3/28/25 1/30/26 - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 11.9x 8.62x
PBR 1.14x 1.06x
EV / Sales 0.78x 0.52x
Yield 3.98% 3.61%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
11.77CNY
Average target price
17.62CNY
Spread / Average Target
+49.75%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Great Wall Motor Company Limited