Projected Income Statement: Marriott International, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Marriott International, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 8,700 9,557 11,535 14,051 15,846 17,371 18,271 18,537
Change - 9.85% 20.7% 21.81% 12.77% 9.62% 5.18% 1.46%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/13/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Marriott International, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 183 332 452 750 604 731.2 692.5 767.5
Change - 81.42% 36.14% 65.93% -19.47% 21.05% -5.28% 10.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 994 2,031 2,718 1,999 2,608 3,002 3,324 3,584
Change - 104.33% 33.83% -26.45% 30.47% 15.1% 10.73% 7.85%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/13/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Marriott International, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 18.55% 19.63% 19.84% 20.56% 21.35% 21.65% 22.13%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.9% 15.42% 16.59% 16.58% 17.09% 17.68% 18.32% 18.86%
EBT Margin (%) 8.52% 14.99% 14.25% 12.55% 12.96% 14.39% 15.07% 15.8%
Net margin (%) 7.93% 11.35% 13% 9.46% 9.93% 10.58% 11.13% 11.76%
FCF margin (%) 7.17% 9.78% 11.46% 7.96% 9.96% 10.77% 11.27% 11.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 90.45% 86.13% 88.16% 84.17% 100.27% 101.8% 101.33% 99.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.37% 9.36% 11.99% 10.26% 10.21% 17.11% 18.56% 12%
ROE 119.2% 237.94% - - - 56.6% 49% -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.82x 2.48x 2.48x 2.82x 2.94x 2.92x 2.86x 2.73x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.75x 4.71x 4.24x 7.03x 6.08x 5.79x 5.5x 5.17x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.32% 1.6% 1.91% 2.99% 2.31% 2.62% 2.35% 2.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.03% 8.62% 9.71% 15.06% 11.22% 12.29% 10.85% 11.29%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 18.41% 16.35% 16.63% 37.52% 23.16% 24.36% 20.84% 21.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.574 7.253 10.47 9.639 11.74 15.29 14.67 18.13
Change - 102.92% 44.29% -7.9% 21.8% 30.28% -4.11% 23.66%
Dividend per Share 1 - 1 1.96 2.41 2.64 2.808 3.09 3.468
Change - - 96% 22.96% 9.54% 6.35% 10.07% 12.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.333 1.829 -2.252 -10.49 -13.78 -20.92 -23.59 -22.84
Change - -57.79% -223.1% -365.94% -31.38% -51.78% -12.78% 3.21%
EPS 1 3.34 7.24 10.18 8.33 9.51 11.24 13.04 14.65
Change - 116.77% 40.61% -18.17% 14.17% 18.2% 15.99% 12.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 325,683 316,540 293,691 277,893 268,352 263,689 263,689 263,689
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/13/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 32x 27.5x
PBR -17.2x -15.2x
EV / Sales 4.02x 3.83x
Yield 0.78% 0.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
359.18USD
Average target price
377.42USD
Spread / Average Target
+5.08%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MAR Stock
  4. Financials Marriott International, Inc.