Projected Income Statement: Moncler

Forecast Balance Sheet: Moncler

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -730 19.2 -229 -385 -1,458 -442 -799 -972
Change - 102.63% -1,292.71% -68.12% -278.7% 69.69% -80.77% -21.65%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Moncler

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 124.7 167.1 174.1 186.7 215.6 196.8 209.8 223.6
Change - 34% 4.17% 7.24% 15.49% -8.71% 6.61% 6.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 550.3 327.7 740.8 645.7 529 715.1 732 801.4
Change - -40.45% 126.04% -12.84% -18.08% 35.19% 2.36% 9.49%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Moncler

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.81% 33.81% 39.73% - 40.98% 40.97% 41.32% 41.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.47% 29.76% 29.95% 29.47% 29.16% 29.47% 29.77% 30.03%
EBT Margin (%) 27.25% 28.71% 29.17% 29.26% 28.32% 28.23% 28.65% 29.01%
Net margin (%) 19.23% 23.31% 20.51% 20.57% 20.01% 19.85% 20.16% 20.44%
FCF margin (%) 26.9% 12.59% 24.82% 20.77% 16.89% 21.78% 20.86% 21.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 139.84% 54.02% 121.06% 100.95% 84.41% 109.74% 103.45% 104.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.2% 13.62% 12.71% 14.87% 13.14% 11.07% 11.18% 11.59%
ROE 19.94% 22.46% 20.01% 18.81% 16.85% 16.58% 16.68% 16.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.02x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.06x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.09% 6.42% 5.83% 6% 6.88% 5.99% 5.98% 5.94%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.02% 18.99% 14.68% - 16.8% 14.63% 14.47% 14.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.66% 50.99% 23.5% 28.91% 40.76% 27.52% 28.66% 27.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.542 2.446 3.387 3.077 5.354 3.524 3.647 3.991
Change - -3.75% 38.46% -9.16% 74.01% -34.18% 3.48% 9.44%
Dividend per Share 1 0.6 1.12 1.15 1.3 1.4 1.395 1.465 1.6
Change - 86.67% 2.68% 13.04% 7.69% -0.35% 5% 9.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.41 10.8 11.9 13.26 14.19 15.21 16.33 17.57
Change - 14.73% 10.22% 11.42% 7.04% 7.19% 7.34% 7.62%
EPS 1 1.47 2.24 2.26 2.36 2.31 2.396 2.599 2.823
Change - 52.38% 0.89% 4.42% -2.12% 3.74% 8.47% 8.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 269,576 268,824 270,137 270,606 271,598 271,990 271,990 271,990
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20x 18.4x
PBR 3.15x 2.94x
EV / Sales 3.84x 3.49x
Yield 2.91% 3.06%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
47.94EUR
Average target price
61.37EUR
Spread / Average Target
+28.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise