Pernod Ricard shares stand out with an interesting technical chart pattern displaying horizontal consolidation. One would assume that the current accumulation phase will cede eventually to an acceleration to the upside.
Summary
● The company presents an interesting fundamental situation from a short-term investment perspective.
● The company's Refinitiv ESG score, based on a ranking of the company relative to its industry, comes out particularly well.
Strengths
● Before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, the company's margins are particularly high.
● Margins returned by the company are among the highest on the stock exchange list. Its core activity clears big profits.
● Over the last twelve months, the sales forecast has been frequently revised upwards.
● Growth remains a strong point in this company. In their sales forecast, analysts sound optimistic with regard to sales prospects.
● For the past year, analysts covering the stock have been revising their EPS expectations upwards in a significant manner.
● For the past twelve months, EPS forecast has been revised upwards.
● Consensus analysts have strongly revised their opinion of the company over the past 12 months.
● There is high visibility into the group's activities for the coming years. Outlooks on future revenues from analysts covering the equity remain similar. Such hardly dispersed estimates support highly predictable sales for the current and upcoming fiscal years.
Weaknesses
● The company is in debt and has limited leeway for investment
● The company's enterprise value to sales, at 4.48 times its current sales, is high.
● The company appears highly valued given the size of its balance sheet.
● The valuation of the company is particularly high given the cash flows generated by its activity.
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Pernod Ricard is the world's No. 2 in the production and marketing of Premium and Prestige spirits and wines. Net sales break down by family of products as follows:
- spirits and champagnes of strategic international brands (63.4%): Absolut (12.7 million cases sold in 2022/23), Jameson (10.7 million), Ballantine's (8.8 million), Chivas Regal (5.1 million), Malibu (4.7 million), Ricard (4.4 million), Havana Club (4.3 million), Beefeater (3.7 million), Martell (2.4 million), The Glenlivet (1.6 million), Mumm (0.6 million), Royal Salute (0.3 million) and Perrier-Jouët (0.3 million);
- local strategic brands' spirits (17.7%): Seagram's, Kahlua, Olmeca, Seagram's Gin, Ramazzotti, Imperial, Pastis 51 and Clan Campbell brands, etc.;
- speciality brand's craft spirits (6.2%): Italicus, Lillet, Pernod, Suze, Augier, Malfy, Jefferson's, Powers and Redbreast brands, etc.;
- strategic wines (3.9%): Jacob's Creek, Kenwood, Brancott Estate, Campo Viejo, Church Road, George, St Hugo, Stoneleigh, Ysios and Wyndham brands;
- other (8.8%).
At the end of June 2023, the group has 96 production sites worldwide.
Net sales are distributed geographically as follows: Europe (28.5%), Americas (28.7%) and other (42.8%).