Banks

Universal Commercial Banks

Peru

Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.

Ratings

Update

Foreign Currency

Long-Term IDR

BBB+

Short-Term IDR

F1

Key Rating Drivers

Local Currency

Long-Term IDR

A-

Short-Term IDR

F1

Parent Support: Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.'s (SBP) Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) and Shareholder

Support Rating (SSR) are based on expected support from its parent, The Bank of Nova Scotia

Viability Rating

bbb

(BNS, 'AA-'/Stable). Fitch Ratings considers SBP a strategically important subsidiary for BNS,

Shareholder Support Rating

bbb+

underpinning the bank's SSR of 'bbb+'. SBP's Long-Term (LT) Foreign Currency (FC) IDR is

capped by the country risks related to transfer and convertibility reflected in the Country

Sovereign Risk

Ceiling of 'BBB+' and constrains Fitch's assessment of the ability of the shareholder to support

Long-TermForeign-Currency

its subsidiary. SBP's Local Currency (LC) IDR is consistent with a maximum uplift of two notches

IDR

BBB

above Peru's sovereign rating. The Outlook revision to Negative on SBP's LT FC and LC IDRs

Long-TermLocal-Currency IDR

BBB

mirrors the Outlook revision on the sovereign's LT IDRs.

Country Ceiling

BBB+

Credit Profile Sensitive to Operating Environment (OE): SBP's Viability Rating (VR) is in line with

Outlooks

the implied VR, which is underpinned by its solid business profile and capitalization. The Negative

Long-TermForeign-Currency

Outlook revision on the IDRs mirrors the revision of the Outlook on Peru's ratings, as the banks

IDRa

Negative

are constrained by the sovereign's ratings based on their current intrinsic credit profiles.

Long-TermLocal-Currency

Solid Capital Levels: Although SBP continues to report one of the strongest capitalization

IDRa

Negative

Sovereign Long-Term Foreign-

metrics among the largest Peruvian banks, it has decreased from its peak in 2020 (14.8%). The

Currency IDRb

Negative

Fitch Core Capital/risk-weighted assets (FCC/RWA) ratio stood at 13.3% as of June 2022. In

Sovereign Long-Term Local-

Fitch's view, the capital ratio is explained by growth in secured loans, recurrent earnings

Currency IDRb

Negative

generation and a flexible dividend payout. Loss absorption was also enhanced by higher loan

aRevised from Stable on Oct. 28, 2022.

loss allowance coverage. Fitch's capitalization assessment is a rating strength and supports the

bRevised from Stable on Oct. 20, 2022.

current VR, as the assessment highly benefits from ordinary support from its ultimate parent.

Risk Profile Underpinned Asset Quality: SBP's adjustment to its risk appetite contributes to

Applicable Criteria

the return of asset quality to pre-coronavirus pandemic levels. Additionally, continued slight

Bank Rating Criteria (September 2022)

adjustments of its internal models and ongoing monitoring of the loan portfolio and warning

signals, as well as a strengthened collection process, have contributed to asset quality

Related Research

performance. As expected by Fitch, consolidated PDL decreased to 3.6% at 2Q22 from 6.5% at

Fitch Takes Actions on Peruvian FIs following

YE20, a result close to its average for 2016-2019 of 3.6%.

Sovereign and OE Outlook Revision to

Operational Profits Recovery: In Fitch's opinion, SBP's recovery in profitability is explained by

Negative (October 2022)

Peru (October 2022)

risk appetite adjustments, good efficiency levels and solid business generation amid local

Fitch Affirms Bank of Nova Scotia at 'AA-';

political uncertainty pressures. Although loan portfolio rebalancing and low interest rates

decreased business volume, SBP operational profit recovery was supported by lower than

Outlook Revised to Stable (July 2022)

expected provision expenses and greater subsidiaries and fees contribution. Operating profit

to RWA was 3.3% at 2Q22, up from 1.8% in Dec. 2021 and 0.4% at YE20, slightly better than

the Peruvian bank average of 2.9% for the same period.

Adequate Liquidity and Stable Funding: SBP has appropriately managed its liquidity to fund

asset growth while closely matching the maturities of its liabilities. SBP's funding profile is

Analysts

strengthened by its diversified mix of deposits, short-term funding and LT debt. SBP conforms

to Basel III regulatory liquidity requirements and significantly reduced its historical asymmetry

Robert Stoll

of loans/deposits in LC versus FC. Its loans to customer deposits ratio of 132.2% as of June 2022

+1 212 908 9155

is explained by SBP's usage of LT debt that aims for a composition of stable resources in line

robert.stoll@fitchratings.com

with liquidity policies and coverage ratios.

Sergio Pena

+57 601 241 3233

sergio.pena@fitchratings.com

Firmado Digitalmente por:

FRANCISCO GUILLERMO

RIVADENEIRA GASTANETA

Fecha: 14/11/2022 05:41:21 p.m.

Update │ November 14, 2022

fitchratings.com

1

Banks

Universal Commercial Banks

Peru

Rating Sensitivities

Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating

Action/Downgrade

  • Under Fitch's current support assessment and a multiple notch downgrade scenario from BNS, SBP's IDRs will likely remain at the level determined by its own VR or one notch below its parent's IDR, whichever is higher, but subject to sovereign rating and Country Ceiling considerations.
  • Pressure on SBP's VR could arise from a significant asset quality or profitability deterioration that erodes SBP's reserve and capital cushion, specifically operating profit/RWA sustained below its historical average of 2.0% and an FCC ratio below 10%.

Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating

Action/Upgrade

  • A rating upgrade of SBP's LT LC IDR is unlikely over the rating horizon. Over the medium term, this rating could be upgraded if the parent's ratings are upgraded or if Fitch's support assessment of SBP changes to an equalization of its IDRs with those of the parent, but it is subject to constraints on the maximum uplift above the sovereign rating.
  • While unlikely in the current OE, SBP's LT FC IDR would be upgraded if Peru's sovereign rating and Country Ceiling are upgraded.

Debt Rating Classes

Rating Level

Rating

Subordinated: Long-Term

BBB

Source: Fitch Ratings.

Subordinated debt: SBP's subordinated debt rating of 'BBB' is one notch below what Fitch considers the appropriate anchor rating, the bank's own support-driven LT FC IDR of 'BBB+'. This anchor rating is capped by Peru's Country Ceiling, which addresses transfer and convertibility risks; hence, the overall notching for this issue rating is only one notch lower than the anchor to reflect loss severity risk partially mitigated by institutional support, instead of the baseline case of two notches lower.

Rating Sensitivities

  • SBP's subordinated debt ratings would move in line with their respective anchor rating, the bank's support-driven LT FC IDR.

Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.

Update │ November 14, 2022

fitchratings.com

2

Banks

Universal Commercial Banks

Peru

Ratings Navigator

Operating Environment

Financial Profile

Shareholder SupportRating

Business Profile

Risk Profile

Asset Quality

Earnings & Profitability

Capitalisation & Leverage

Funding & Liquidity

Implied Viability Rating

Viability Rating

Issuer Default Rating

20%

10%

20%

15%

25%

10%

aaa

aaa

aaa

aaa

AAA

aa+

aa+

aa+

aa+

AA+

aa

aa

aa

aa

AA

aa-

aa-

aa-

aa-

AA-

a+

a+

a+

a+

A+

a

a

a

a

A

a-

a-

a-

a-

A-

bbb+

bbb+

bbb+

bbb+ bbb+

BBBBB++ Neg

bbb

bbb

bbb

bbb bbb

bbb

BBB

bbb-

bbb-

bbb-

bbb-

BBB-

bb+

bb+

bb+

bb+

BB+

bb

bb

bb

bb

BB

bb-

bb-

bb-

bb-

BB-

b+

b+

b+

b+

B+

b

b

b

b

B

b-

b-

b-

b-

B-

ccc+

ccc+

ccc+

ccc+

CCC+

ccc

ccc

ccc

ccc

CCC

ccc-

ccc-

ccc-

ccc-

CCC-

cc

cc

cc

cc

CC

c

c

c

c

C

f

f

f

ns

D or RD

The Key Rating Driver (KRD) weightings used to determine the implied Viability Rating (VR) are shown as percentages at the top. In cases where the implied VR is adjusted upward or downward to arrive at the VR, the KRD associated with the adjustment reason is highlighted in red. The shaded areas indicate the benchmark-implied scores for each KRD.

Significant Changes

Fitch revised the Outlook on the sovereign's LT IDR to Negative as a deterioration in political stability and government effectiveness has increased downside risks to Peru's ratings. In the agency's view, weaker governance poses greater downside risks to investment and economic growth.

Fitch also revised the Outlook on the OE score to negative as a slowdown in economic and loan growth, an increase in borrowing costs and persistent political uncertainty are detracting from Peruvian banking sector activity. However, sustained capitalization, improving profitability and lower loan impairment charges provide sufficient resilience to face stress from political uncertainty and external shocks.

Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.

Update │ November 14, 2022

fitchratings.com

3

Banks

Universal Commercial Banks

Peru

Summary Financials and Key Ratios

6/30/22

2019

Six Months - Interim

Audited -

(PEN Mil., Year End Dec, 31, Unaudited)

(USD Mil.)

2021

2020

Unqualified

Summary Income Statement

Net Interest and Dividend Income

448

1,710.0

3,181.2

4.130.2

4,398.3

Net Fees and Commissions

131

500.0

617.7

532.5

685.4

Other Operating Income

39

149.7

399.7

425.0

524.7

Total Operating Income

618

2,359.7

4,198.6

5,087.7

5,608.4

Operating Costs

243

927.3

1,976.7

2,022.7

2,062.5

Pre-Impairment Operating Profit

375

1,432.4

2,221.9

3,065.0

3,545.9

Loan and Other Impairment Charges

70

265.9

910.7

2,845.3

1,599.1

Operating Profit

305

1,166.5

1,311.2

219,7

1,946.8

Other Non-Operating Items (Net)

(3.0)

(9.8)

19.2

35.7

11.6

Tax

98

375.4

298,3

3,0

485.8

Net Income

205

781.3

1.032,1

252.4

1,472.6

Other Comprehensive Income

(34)

(128.1)

(416.1)

(118.6)

32.9

Fitch Comprehensive Income

171

653.2

616.0

133.8

1,505.5

Summary Balance Sheet

Assets

Gross Loans

16,253

62,086.4

58,926.5

54,929.4

53,843.8

- of which impaired

594

2,268.0

2,317.9

3,530.8

2,017.7

Loan Loss Allowances

986

3,766.6

3,890.5

5,374.7

2,912.9

Net Loan

15,267

58,319.8

55,036.0

49,554.7

50,930.9

Interbank

175

668.5

661.6

474.5

38.0

Derivatives

104

396.8

412.8

189.6

158.1

Other Securities and Earning Assets

1,192

4,555.2

5,256.3

8,875.3

6,492.0

Total Earning Assets

16,738

63,940.3

61,366.7

59,094.1

57,619.0

Cash and Due from Banks

3,540

13,522.9

13,646.8

17,117.3

15,072.2

Other Assets

1,109

4,237.7

3,870.3

3,792.7

3,623.6

Total Assets

21,388

81,700.9

78,883.8

80,004.1

76,314.8

Liabilities

Customer Deposits

12,292

46,955.2

47,237.6

48,575.2

44,763.0

Interbank and Other Short-Term Funding

2,118

8,091.1

6,480.1

16,709.3

12,718.3

Other Long-Term Funding

3,591

13,715.8

12,711.3

3,312.9

7,340.9

Trading Liabilities and Derivatives

136

518.4

398.3

181.6

129.7

Total Funding and Derivatives

18,136

69,280.5

66,827.3

68,779.0

64,951.9

Other Liabilities

574

2.194.2

1,250.8

1,203.6

1,464.7

Total Equity

2,677

10,226.2

10,805.7

10,021.5

9,898.2

Total Liabilities and Equity

21,388

81,700.9

78,883.8

80,004.1

76,314.8

Exchange Rate

USD1 = PEN3,82 USD1 = PEN3,9849

USD1 = PEN3,62

USD1 = PEN3,312

Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions.

Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.

Update │ November 14, 2022

fitchratings.com

4

Banks

Universal Commercial Banks

Peru

Summary Financials and Key Ratios

(As of Dec. 31)

6/30/22

2021

2020

2019

Ratios (%, annualized as appropriate)

Profitability

Operating Profit/Risk-Weighted Assets

3.3

1.8

0.4

2.9

Net Interest Income/Average Earning Assets

5.5

5.1

6.9

8.0

Non-Interest Expense/Gross Revenue

39.5

47.4

39.9

36.9

Net Income/Average Equity

15.3

10.0

2.5

15.9

Asset Quality

Impaired Loans Ratio

3.7

3.9

6.4

3.8

Growth in Gross Loans

5.4

7.3

2.0

8.4

Loan Loss Allowances/Impaired Loans

166.1

167.9

152.2

144.4

Loan Impairment Charges/Average Gross Loans

0.9

1.6

5.1

3.0

Capitalization

Fitch Core Capital Ratio

13.3

13.8

14.8

13.6

Tangible Common Equity/Tangible Assets

11.6

12.7

11.5

11.8

Net Impaired Loans/Fitch Core Capital

(16.0)

(15.9)

(20.3)

(10.0)

Funding and Liquidity

Gross Loans/Customer Deposits

132.2

124.7

113.1

120.3

Customer Deposits/Total Non-Equity Funding

68.3

71.1

70.8

69.1

Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions.

Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.

Update │ November 14, 2022

fitchratings.com

5

Para continuar a leer este documento, haga clic aquí para la versión original.

Attachments

  • Original Link
  • Original Document
  • Permalink

Disclaimer

Scotiabank Perú SAA published this content on 14 November 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 15 November 2022 00:13:59 UTC.