Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | |||||||
Ratings | |||||||
Update | |||||||
Foreign Currency | |||||||
Long-Term IDR | BBB+ | ||||||
Short-Term IDR | F1 | ||||||
Key Rating Drivers | Local Currency | ||||||
Long-Term IDR | A- | ||||||
Short-Term IDR | F1 | ||||||
Parent Support: Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.'s (SBP) Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) and Shareholder | |||||||
Support Rating (SSR) are based on expected support from its parent, The Bank of Nova Scotia | Viability Rating | bbb | |||||
(BNS, 'AA-'/Stable). Fitch Ratings considers SBP a strategically important subsidiary for BNS, | Shareholder Support Rating | bbb+ | |||||
underpinning the bank's SSR of 'bbb+'. SBP's Long-Term (LT) Foreign Currency (FC) IDR is | |||||||
capped by the country risks related to transfer and convertibility reflected in the Country | Sovereign Risk | ||||||
Ceiling of 'BBB+' and constrains Fitch's assessment of the ability of the shareholder to support | |||||||
Long-TermForeign-Currency | |||||||
its subsidiary. SBP's Local Currency (LC) IDR is consistent with a maximum uplift of two notches | |||||||
IDR | BBB | ||||||
above Peru's sovereign rating. The Outlook revision to Negative on SBP's LT FC and LC IDRs | |||||||
Long-TermLocal-Currency IDR | BBB | ||||||
mirrors the Outlook revision on the sovereign's LT IDRs. | Country Ceiling | BBB+ | |||||
Credit Profile Sensitive to Operating Environment (OE): SBP's Viability Rating (VR) is in line with | Outlooks | ||||||
the implied VR, which is underpinned by its solid business profile and capitalization. The Negative | |||||||
Long-TermForeign-Currency | |||||||
Outlook revision on the IDRs mirrors the revision of the Outlook on Peru's ratings, as the banks | |||||||
IDRa | Negative | ||||||
are constrained by the sovereign's ratings based on their current intrinsic credit profiles. | |||||||
Long-TermLocal-Currency | |||||||
Solid Capital Levels: Although SBP continues to report one of the strongest capitalization | IDRa | Negative | |||||
Sovereign Long-Term Foreign- | |||||||
metrics among the largest Peruvian banks, it has decreased from its peak in 2020 (14.8%). The | |||||||
Currency IDRb | Negative | ||||||
Fitch Core Capital/risk-weighted assets (FCC/RWA) ratio stood at 13.3% as of June 2022. In | Sovereign Long-Term Local- | ||||||
Fitch's view, the capital ratio is explained by growth in secured loans, recurrent earnings | Currency IDRb | Negative | |||||
generation and a flexible dividend payout. Loss absorption was also enhanced by higher loan | aRevised from Stable on Oct. 28, 2022. | ||||||
loss allowance coverage. Fitch's capitalization assessment is a rating strength and supports the | bRevised from Stable on Oct. 20, 2022. | ||||||
current VR, as the assessment highly benefits from ordinary support from its ultimate parent. | |||||||
Risk Profile Underpinned Asset Quality: SBP's adjustment to its risk appetite contributes to | Applicable Criteria | ||||||
the return of asset quality to pre-coronavirus pandemic levels. Additionally, continued slight | Bank Rating Criteria (September 2022) | ||||||
adjustments of its internal models and ongoing monitoring of the loan portfolio and warning | |||||||
signals, as well as a strengthened collection process, have contributed to asset quality | Related Research | ||||||
performance. As expected by Fitch, consolidated PDL decreased to 3.6% at 2Q22 from 6.5% at | |||||||
Fitch Takes Actions on Peruvian FIs following | |||||||
YE20, a result close to its average for 2016-2019 of 3.6%. | |||||||
Sovereign and OE Outlook Revision to | |||||||
Operational Profits Recovery: In Fitch's opinion, SBP's recovery in profitability is explained by | Negative (October 2022) | ||||||
Peru (October 2022) | |||||||
risk appetite adjustments, good efficiency levels and solid business generation amid local | |||||||
Fitch Affirms Bank of Nova Scotia at 'AA-'; | |||||||
political uncertainty pressures. Although loan portfolio rebalancing and low interest rates | |||||||
decreased business volume, SBP operational profit recovery was supported by lower than | Outlook Revised to Stable (July 2022) | ||||||
expected provision expenses and greater subsidiaries and fees contribution. Operating profit | |||||||
to RWA was 3.3% at 2Q22, up from 1.8% in Dec. 2021 and 0.4% at YE20, slightly better than | |||||||
the Peruvian bank average of 2.9% for the same period. | |||||||
Adequate Liquidity and Stable Funding: SBP has appropriately managed its liquidity to fund | |||||||
asset growth while closely matching the maturities of its liabilities. SBP's funding profile is | Analysts | ||||||
strengthened by its diversified mix of deposits, short-term funding and LT debt. SBP conforms | |||||||
to Basel III regulatory liquidity requirements and significantly reduced its historical asymmetry | Robert Stoll | ||||||
of loans/deposits in LC versus FC. Its loans to customer deposits ratio of 132.2% as of June 2022 | +1 212 908 9155 | ||||||
is explained by SBP's usage of LT debt that aims for a composition of stable resources in line | robert.stoll@fitchratings.com | ||||||
with liquidity policies and coverage ratios. | |||||||
Sergio Pena | |||||||
+57 601 241 3233 | |||||||
sergio.pena@fitchratings.com | |||||||
Firmado Digitalmente por: | |||||||
FRANCISCO GUILLERMO | |||||||
RIVADENEIRA GASTANETA | |||||||
Fecha: 14/11/2022 05:41:21 p.m. | |||||||
Update │ November 14, 2022 | fitchratings.com | 1 | |||||
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating
Action/Downgrade
- Under Fitch's current support assessment and a multiple notch downgrade scenario from BNS, SBP's IDRs will likely remain at the level determined by its own VR or one notch below its parent's IDR, whichever is higher, but subject to sovereign rating and Country Ceiling considerations.
- Pressure on SBP's VR could arise from a significant asset quality or profitability deterioration that erodes SBP's reserve and capital cushion, specifically operating profit/RWA sustained below its historical average of 2.0% and an FCC ratio below 10%.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating
Action/Upgrade
- A rating upgrade of SBP's LT LC IDR is unlikely over the rating horizon. Over the medium term, this rating could be upgraded if the parent's ratings are upgraded or if Fitch's support assessment of SBP changes to an equalization of its IDRs with those of the parent, but it is subject to constraints on the maximum uplift above the sovereign rating.
- While unlikely in the current OE, SBP's LT FC IDR would be upgraded if Peru's sovereign rating and Country Ceiling are upgraded.
Debt Rating Classes
Rating Level | Rating |
Subordinated: Long-Term | BBB |
Source: Fitch Ratings. | |
Subordinated debt: SBP's subordinated debt rating of 'BBB' is one notch below what Fitch considers the appropriate anchor rating, the bank's own support-driven LT FC IDR of 'BBB+'. This anchor rating is capped by Peru's Country Ceiling, which addresses transfer and convertibility risks; hence, the overall notching for this issue rating is only one notch lower than the anchor to reflect loss severity risk partially mitigated by institutional support, instead of the baseline case of two notches lower.
Rating Sensitivities
- SBP's subordinated debt ratings would move in line with their respective anchor rating, the bank's support-driven LT FC IDR.
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ November 14, 2022 | fitchratings.com | 2 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Ratings Navigator
Operating Environment | Financial Profile | Shareholder SupportRating | |||||||||||||
Business Profile | Risk Profile | Asset Quality | Earnings & Profitability | Capitalisation & Leverage | Funding & Liquidity | Implied Viability Rating | Viability Rating | Issuer Default Rating | |||||||
20% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 25% | 10% | ||||||||||
aaa | aaa | aaa | aaa | AAA | |||||||||||
aa+ | aa+ | aa+ | aa+ | AA+ | |||||||||||
aa | aa | aa | aa | AA | |||||||||||
aa- | aa- | aa- | aa- | AA- | |||||||||||
a+ | a+ | a+ | a+ | A+ | |||||||||||
a | a | a | a | A | |||||||||||
a- | a- | a- | a- | A- | |||||||||||
bbb+ | bbb+ | bbb+ | bbb+ bbb+ | BBBBB++ Neg | |||||||||||
bbb | bbb | bbb | bbb bbb | bbb | BBB | ||||||||||
bbb- | bbb- | bbb- | bbb- | BBB- | |||||||||||
bb+ | bb+ | bb+ | bb+ | BB+ | |||||||||||
bb | bb | bb | bb | BB | |||||||||||
bb- | bb- | bb- | bb- | BB- | |||||||||||
b+ | b+ | b+ | b+ | B+ | |||||||||||
b | b | b | b | B | |||||||||||
b- | b- | b- | b- | B- | |||||||||||
ccc+ | ccc+ | ccc+ | ccc+ | CCC+ | |||||||||||
ccc | ccc | ccc | ccc | CCC | |||||||||||
ccc- | ccc- | ccc- | ccc- | CCC- | |||||||||||
cc | cc | cc | cc | CC | |||||||||||
c | c | c | c | C | |||||||||||
f | f | f | ns | D or RD |
The Key Rating Driver (KRD) weightings used to determine the implied Viability Rating (VR) are shown as percentages at the top. In cases where the implied VR is adjusted upward or downward to arrive at the VR, the KRD associated with the adjustment reason is highlighted in red. The shaded areas indicate the benchmark-implied scores for each KRD.
Significant Changes
Fitch revised the Outlook on the sovereign's LT IDR to Negative as a deterioration in political stability and government effectiveness has increased downside risks to Peru's ratings. In the agency's view, weaker governance poses greater downside risks to investment and economic growth.
Fitch also revised the Outlook on the OE score to negative as a slowdown in economic and loan growth, an increase in borrowing costs and persistent political uncertainty are detracting from Peruvian banking sector activity. However, sustained capitalization, improving profitability and lower loan impairment charges provide sufficient resilience to face stress from political uncertainty and external shocks.
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ November 14, 2022 | fitchratings.com | 3 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Summary Financials and Key Ratios
6/30/22 | 2019 | ||||
Six Months - Interim | |||||
Audited - | |||||
(PEN Mil., Year End Dec, 31, Unaudited) | (USD Mil.) | 2021 | 2020 | Unqualified | |
Summary Income Statement | |||||
Net Interest and Dividend Income | 448 | 1,710.0 | 3,181.2 | 4.130.2 | 4,398.3 |
Net Fees and Commissions | 131 | 500.0 | 617.7 | 532.5 | 685.4 |
Other Operating Income | 39 | 149.7 | 399.7 | 425.0 | 524.7 |
Total Operating Income | 618 | 2,359.7 | 4,198.6 | 5,087.7 | 5,608.4 |
Operating Costs | 243 | 927.3 | 1,976.7 | 2,022.7 | 2,062.5 |
Pre-Impairment Operating Profit | 375 | 1,432.4 | 2,221.9 | 3,065.0 | 3,545.9 |
Loan and Other Impairment Charges | 70 | 265.9 | 910.7 | 2,845.3 | 1,599.1 |
Operating Profit | 305 | 1,166.5 | 1,311.2 | 219,7 | 1,946.8 |
Other Non-Operating Items (Net) | (3.0) | (9.8) | 19.2 | 35.7 | 11.6 |
Tax | 98 | 375.4 | 298,3 | 3,0 | 485.8 |
Net Income | 205 | 781.3 | 1.032,1 | 252.4 | 1,472.6 |
Other Comprehensive Income | (34) | (128.1) | (416.1) | (118.6) | 32.9 |
Fitch Comprehensive Income | 171 | 653.2 | 616.0 | 133.8 | 1,505.5 |
Summary Balance Sheet | |||||
Assets | |||||
Gross Loans | 16,253 | 62,086.4 | 58,926.5 | 54,929.4 | 53,843.8 |
- of which impaired | 594 | 2,268.0 | 2,317.9 | 3,530.8 | 2,017.7 |
Loan Loss Allowances | 986 | 3,766.6 | 3,890.5 | 5,374.7 | 2,912.9 |
Net Loan | 15,267 | 58,319.8 | 55,036.0 | 49,554.7 | 50,930.9 |
Interbank | 175 | 668.5 | 661.6 | 474.5 | 38.0 |
Derivatives | 104 | 396.8 | 412.8 | 189.6 | 158.1 |
Other Securities and Earning Assets | 1,192 | 4,555.2 | 5,256.3 | 8,875.3 | 6,492.0 |
Total Earning Assets | 16,738 | 63,940.3 | 61,366.7 | 59,094.1 | 57,619.0 |
Cash and Due from Banks | 3,540 | 13,522.9 | 13,646.8 | 17,117.3 | 15,072.2 |
Other Assets | 1,109 | 4,237.7 | 3,870.3 | 3,792.7 | 3,623.6 |
Total Assets | 21,388 | 81,700.9 | 78,883.8 | 80,004.1 | 76,314.8 |
Liabilities | |||||
Customer Deposits | 12,292 | 46,955.2 | 47,237.6 | 48,575.2 | 44,763.0 |
Interbank and Other Short-Term Funding | 2,118 | 8,091.1 | 6,480.1 | 16,709.3 | 12,718.3 |
Other Long-Term Funding | 3,591 | 13,715.8 | 12,711.3 | 3,312.9 | 7,340.9 |
Trading Liabilities and Derivatives | 136 | 518.4 | 398.3 | 181.6 | 129.7 |
Total Funding and Derivatives | 18,136 | 69,280.5 | 66,827.3 | 68,779.0 | 64,951.9 |
Other Liabilities | 574 | 2.194.2 | 1,250.8 | 1,203.6 | 1,464.7 |
Total Equity | 2,677 | 10,226.2 | 10,805.7 | 10,021.5 | 9,898.2 |
Total Liabilities and Equity | 21,388 | 81,700.9 | 78,883.8 | 80,004.1 | 76,314.8 |
Exchange Rate | USD1 = PEN3,82 USD1 = PEN3,9849 | USD1 = PEN3,62 | USD1 = PEN3,312 | ||
Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions.
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ November 14, 2022 | fitchratings.com | 4 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Summary Financials and Key Ratios
(As of Dec. 31) | 6/30/22 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
Ratios (%, annualized as appropriate) | ||||
Profitability | ||||
Operating Profit/Risk-Weighted Assets | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2.9 |
Net Interest Income/Average Earning Assets | 5.5 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 8.0 |
Non-Interest Expense/Gross Revenue | 39.5 | 47.4 | 39.9 | 36.9 |
Net Income/Average Equity | 15.3 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 15.9 |
Asset Quality | ||||
Impaired Loans Ratio | 3.7 | 3.9 | 6.4 | 3.8 |
Growth in Gross Loans | 5.4 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 8.4 |
Loan Loss Allowances/Impaired Loans | 166.1 | 167.9 | 152.2 | 144.4 |
Loan Impairment Charges/Average Gross Loans | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 3.0 |
Capitalization | ||||
Fitch Core Capital Ratio | 13.3 | 13.8 | 14.8 | 13.6 |
Tangible Common Equity/Tangible Assets | 11.6 | 12.7 | 11.5 | 11.8 |
Net Impaired Loans/Fitch Core Capital | (16.0) | (15.9) | (20.3) | (10.0) |
Funding and Liquidity | ||||
Gross Loans/Customer Deposits | 132.2 | 124.7 | 113.1 | 120.3 |
Customer Deposits/Total Non-Equity Funding | 68.3 | 71.1 | 70.8 | 69.1 |
Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions.
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ November 14, 2022 | fitchratings.com | 5 |
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Scotiabank Perú SAA published this content on 14 November 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 15 November 2022 00:13:59 UTC.