Projected Income Statement: Southern Copper Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Southern Copper Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 3,950 2,759 4,747 5,103 3,000 1,940 1,635 655
Change - -30.15% 72.06% 7.5% -41.21% -35.34% -15.72% -59.94%
Announcement Date 1/25/21 2/1/22 2/2/23 2/2/24 2/12/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Southern Copper Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 592.2 892.3 948.5 1,009 1,027 1,301 2,083 1,572
Change - 50.68% 6.3% 6.34% 1.85% 26.66% 60.1% -24.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,191 3,400 1,854 2,564 3,394 3,434 3,775 4,208
Change - 55.17% -45.47% 38.32% 32.36% 1.15% 9.94% 11.48%
Announcement Date 1/25/21 2/1/22 2/2/23 2/2/24 2/12/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Southern Copper Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 48.45% 62.67% 53.4% 50.82% 56.03% 59.46% 62.61% 61.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.08% 55.47% 44.15% 42.36% 48.58% 52.42% 55.32% 53.93%
EBT Margin (%) 34.39% 52.1% 42.44% 39.97% 46.86% 49.98% 52.25% 53.87%
Net margin (%) 19.67% 30.98% 26.26% 24.51% 29.53% 31.53% 31.64% 33.18%
FCF margin (%) 27.44% 31.1% 18.45% 25.92% 29.69% 26.34% 26.78% 30.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) 139.53% 100.38% 70.27% 105.74% 100.52% 83.55% 84.64% 91.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.5% 19.28% 14.83% 14.26% 19.06% 19.63% 19.47% 17.13%
ROE 22.38% 44.19% 32.51% 31.3% 40.71% 40.66% 39.19% 31.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.02x 0.4x 0.88x 1.01x 0.47x 0.25x 0.19x 0.08x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.8x 0.81x 2.56x 1.99x 0.88x 0.56x 0.43x 0.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.42% 8.16% 9.44% 10.19% 8.99% 9.98% 14.78% 11.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.31% 13.02% 17.68% 20.05% 16.04% 16.79% 23.61% 18.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 27.03% 26.24% 51.16% 39.33% 30.26% 37.9% 55.19% 37.34%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.398 5.241 3.422 4.362 5.507 5.653 7.63 7.447
Change - 54.21% -34.71% 27.5% 26.25% 2.64% 34.98% -2.4%
Dividend per Share 1 1.416 3.02 3.304 3.776 2.041 3.053 3.717 3.896
Change - 113.33% 9.37% 14.29% -45.93% 49.55% 21.76% 4.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.821 9.949 9.87 9.057 11.42 13.47 16.02 18.52
Change - 12.79% -0.8% -8.24% 26.13% 17.89% 18.95% 15.59%
EPS 1 1.916 4.144 3.219 2.964 4.209 5.137 5.973 5.804
Change - 116.26% -22.32% -7.92% 42.01% 22.06% 16.27% -2.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 819,032 819,041 819,059 819,072 819,087 819,095 819,095 819,095
Announcement Date 1/25/21 2/1/22 2/2/23 2/2/24 2/12/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 36.3x 31.2x
PBR 13.8x 11.6x
EV / Sales 11.5x 10.6x
Yield 1.64% 2%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
186.25USD
Average target price
138.25USD
Spread / Average Target
-25.77%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SCCO Stock
  4. Financials Southern Copper Corporation