Conference Call - Update on Covid-19
April 09, 2020
- Management Focus
- Financial Highlights
- Pulp & Paper Market
- Management Focus
- Financial Highlights
- Pulp & Paper Market
on Covid-19 context
People | Society | Business |
continuity
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to care for our People
Home office (except for activities that requires on-site presence)
Cancellation of events, trips, visits to the mills and face- to-face meetings
Removal of pregnants, patients with chronic diseases and people over 60 years
Increased of cleaning and sanitizing common areas
Maintenance of operations with minimal employees and service providers
Guidance for employees and service providers to keep their distance
Measurement of body temperature on arrival at the mill gates
Chartered buses circulating with fewer passengers
Distribution of lunch boxes and greater spacing between tables and chairs
Application of the screening questionnaire for suppliers
Adoption of quarantine in case of risk of contamination
Maintenance downtimes postponements
Frequent information sharing
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to care for our Society
Maintenance of all direct jobs currently
Guarantee, for a period of 60 days, the maintenance of the transfer of 100% of the cost of the payroll of service providers' workers who will have their activities suspended
Donation of personal use materials, including toilet paper, napkins and disposable diapers
Support for initiatives to increase the production of ventilators for acquisition and donation to hospitals
Purchase of masks to be donated to hospitals and in search of ventilators and hospital masks
Support improvements of hospitals in regions we operate
Guarantee supply of essential items
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to care for our Business
Risk assessment for all operations
Business continuity plan developed for 100% of operations with different levels of contingency plans
Crisis Management Team installed on the corporate and business units levels
Push stocks forward in outbound logistics chain
Keep higher wood and raw materials inventories in the mills to mitigate logistics disruption
Close contacts with our suppliers, service providers and customers
units levels
Budget revision on discrecionary disbursements (capex and opex)
Hiring freeze, salaries and promotion postponements
Keep high liquidity position as "war chest"
Monitor and mitigate credit risk
Quick response time in the decision making process with constant monitoring of exogenous risks
Pulp & Paper considered as essential by WHO and several countries
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- Management Focus
- Financial Highlights
- Pulp & Paper Market
and long-term debt profile
1Q20 initiatives
Roll-over of EPPs
- US$750 M paid down (~1.5 year)
- US$850 M issued (~5 years)
- Same cost
Make-whole of 2021 bond (US$190 M)
Withdraw of US$500 M RCF
- Effective April 1st, 2020
- Cost: LIBOR + 1.3% p.y.
Liquidity and Debt Profile (US$ billion) - Pro Forma1
2.5 | ||
RCF | 0.2 | 12.7 |
Non-Trade
Finance
Cash on | 2.4 | 1.1 |
hand | 0.9 | |
0.2 | Trade- | ||||
Finance | |||||
Liquidity | 20202 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 onwards | |
(2Q-4Q) | 83% of total debt | ||||
1. Cash position on April 1, 2020. Total debt position reported as of 12/31/2019, adjusted by the the 1Q20 Initiatives described above, as well as debt matured in 1Q20. | 9 |
R$/US$ = 5.2035 (04/01/2020) | 2. Main maturities remaining in 2020 (2Q-4Q): US$0.5 billion in CRAs and US$0.4 billion in EPPs and ACC/ACE. |
benefits cash generation
EBITDA | ~R$500 M benefit for each |
R$/US$0.10 depreciation | |
Sensitivity analysis on FX (R$/US$ 4.0307 on 12/31/2019) - R$ billion
FX level | 4.50 | 5.00 | 5.50 | ||||||
20201 | 2021 | 20201 | 2021 | 20201 | 2021 | ||||
EBITDA | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 7.5 | |||
(-) ZCCs cash | (0.6) | (0.0) | (1.5) | (0.7) | (2.4) | (1.5) | |||
adjustment | |||||||||
(-) Swaps cash | (1.2) | (0.3) | (1.7) | (0.4) | (2.2) | (0.5) | |||
adjustment2 | |||||||||
(=) Net cash | 0.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 5.5 | |||
flow impact | |||||||||
Zero-Cost | Consistent strategy and |
Collars | rolling position |
Average strikes of ZCCs (R$/US$)
5.48 | 5.58 | ||||
4.53 | 4.60 | 4.70 | 4.50 | ||
4.20 | 4.10 | 4.60 | 4.63 | ||
Calls | 4.23 | ||||
4.12 | 4.17 | 4.13 | |||
Puts 3.87 | 3.93 | ||||
2Q20 | 3Q20 4Q20 | 1Q21 | 2Q21 | Jul/21 Aug/21 Sep/21 |
Interest rate
swaps
Opportunities to minimize cost of debt
Low-sulphur
fuel oil
Hedging of close to 100% exposure of next 12 months with low oil prices
All hedging contracts with no margin calls
1. Impact for transactions remaining in Q2 to Q4/2020. | 2. As of April 06, 2020 market curves for calculations on interest rates swaps. | 10 |
- Management Focus
- Financial Highlights
- Pulp & Paper Market
demand growth amid the perspective of paper segment contraction
Suzano Pulp Revenues by end-use 2019 and 2020 trends:
3% | Positive for packaging: |
Others | |
Increase driven by | |
e-commerce and food delivery | |
16% | |
Specialties |
Positive in all regions
61% Tissue
Negative for decorative papers, but better view on at-home consumption
Negative driven by sharp decrease in Europe and Americas
20%
P&W
Source: Suzano Market Intelligence | 12 |
related to pulp capacities shutdowns
Source: Fastmarkets RISI
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Unexpected Downtimes - 1H20
Asia: 380 k tons BHKP
Europe: 260 k tons BHKP/BSK/UKP/BCTMP
North America: 240 k tons BSKP/UKP
Latin America: 60 k tons BHKP/BSKP/UKP
Oceania: 70 k tons UKP/Mechanical
Total supply reduction already confirmed:
Source: Brian McClay, RISI and Suzano Market Intelligence
for the supply side
Other factors in place to be considered:
- Closure of sawmills in North America increasing the risk for
o Less | collection due to |
social isolation
- Mills likely to postpone scheduled
o Risks of interruption in the chain and
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on the Covid-19 context
- Strong cost competitiveness
- Production distributed on several sites mitigate operational risk
- Geographically diversified revenues and customer base
- Pulp end-use mostly linked to the tissue segment
- FX depreciation benefits cash flow generation
- Zero refinancing risk up to 2022 even without free cash flow generation
- Smooth debt profile and no financial covenants
- Conservative and formal Indebtedness, Dividend and Hedging policies in place
- Leverage framing program in progress as planned
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Investor Relations
www.suzano.com.br/ir
ir@suzano.com.br
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Suzano SA published this content on 09 April 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 09 April 2020 12:07:06 UTC