Company Valuation: Swatch Group

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 14,175 13,103 11,658 8,455 8,803 9,379 - -
Change - -7.56% -11.03% -27.47% 4.11% 6.55% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,619 10,565 9,672 7,081 7,610 8,201 8,192 8,177
Change - -9.07% -8.45% -26.78% 7.46% 7.76% -0.1% -0.19%
P/E 18.9x 16.9x 13.6x 44.1x 3,365x 37.2x 23.7x 18.3x
PBR 1.24x 1.13x 0.97x 0.7x 0.75x 0.81x 0.8x 0.79x
PEG - 3.16x 1.78x -0.6x -34.1x 0x 0.4x 0.6x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.94x 1.75x 1.48x 1.26x 1.4x 1.43x 1.36x 1.3x
EV / Revenue 1.59x 1.41x 1.23x 1.05x 1.21x 1.25x 1.19x 1.13x
EV / EBITDA 7.96x 6.75x 6.12x 9.84x 13.6x 10.9x 8.33x 7.14x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 9.12x 8.12x 23.3x 56.4x 23.8x 14.6x 11.5x
EV / FCF 11.6x 31.4x -56.9x -32.8x 136x 30.8x 11x 11.7x
FCF Yield 8.63% 3.19% -1.76% -3.05% 0.74% 3.24% 9.1% 8.54%
Dividend per Share 2 5.5 6 6.5 4.5 4.5 4.598 5.171 5.619
Rate of return 1.97% 2.28% 2.84% 2.73% 2.67% 2.55% 2.87% 3.12%
EPS 2 14.77 15.56 16.75 3.74 0.05 4.85 7.62 9.834
Distribution rate 37.2% 38.6% 38.8% 120% 9,000% 94.8% 67.9% 57.1%
Net sales 1 7,313 7,499 7,888 6,735 6,280 6,561 6,909 7,206
EBITDA 1 1,459 1,565 1,581 720 558 753.9 983.6 1,146
EBIT 1 1,021 1,158 1,191 304 135 344.8 561.7 712.2
Net income 1 765 807 869 193 3 218.9 361.6 458.2
Net Debt 1 -2,556 -2,538 -1,986 -1,374 -1,193 -1,179 -1,187 -1,203
Reference price 2 279.00 263.00 228.60 165.00 168.25 180.30 180.30 180.30
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,771 51,808 51,836 51,872 51,767 51,996 - -
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/30/25 1/30/26 - - -
1CHF in Million2CHF
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
26.67x1.94x14.07x1.13% 4.07B
17.66x1.31x9.26x2.32% 3.27B
20.41x - - - 615M
46.89x - - 0.37% 425M
-13.94x0.43x8.2x - 293M
Average 19.54x 1.23x 10.51x 1.27% 1.73B
Weighted average by Cap. 22.46x 1.61x 11.79x 1.59%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield