Projected Income Statement: The JM Smucker Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: The JM Smucker Company

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,417 4,321 3,171 7,303 7,608 7,108 6,497 5,932
Change - -2.17% -26.61% 130.31% 4.18% -6.57% -8.6% -8.7%
Announcement Date 6/3/21 6/7/22 6/6/23 6/6/24 6/10/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The JM Smucker Company

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 306.7 417.5 471 586.5 393.8 322.9 385.8 385.6
Change - 36.13% 12.81% 24.52% -32.86% -17.99% 19.46% -0.04%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,258 718.8 717 642.9 816.6 919 1,084 1,318
Change - -42.88% -0.25% -10.33% 27.02% 12.54% 17.96% 21.58%
Announcement Date 6/3/21 6/7/22 6/6/23 6/6/24 6/10/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The JM Smucker Company

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.56% 20.18% 18.73% 22.94% 24.16% 22.19% 23.13% 23.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.1% 18% 16.59% 20.01% 20.91% 18.2% 19.56% 20.03%
EBT Margin (%) 14.64% 10.55% -0.11% 12.18% -12% -1.93% 12.9% 13.66%
Net margin (%) 10.95% 7.9% -1.07% 9.1% -14.1% -2.69% 9.97% 10.18%
FCF margin (%) 15.72% 8.99% 8.41% 7.86% 9.36% 10.15% 11.79% 14.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 143.59% 113.79% -785.32% 86.41% -66.35% -377.02% 118.31% 138.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.27% 5.95% 6.12% 5.89% 5.7% 5.24% 5.86% 6.06%
ROE 10.74% 11.83% 12.32% 13.85% 15.66% 16.87% 18.34% 17.69%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.45x 2.68x 1.98x 3.89x 3.61x 3.54x 3.06x 2.7x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.51x 6.01x 4.42x 11.36x 9.32x 7.73x 5.99x 4.5x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.83% 5.22% 5.52% 7.17% 4.51% 3.57% 4.2% 4.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.99% 25.86% 29.48% 31.26% 18.68% 16.08% 18.14% 17.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 24.37% 58.08% 65.69% 91.23% 48.22% 35.14% 35.59% 29.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.92 10.48 11.19 11.78 11.35 12.25 13.81 14.48
Change - -24.71% 6.72% 5.27% -3.58% 7.85% 12.75% 4.84%
Dividend per Share 1 3.6 3.96 4.08 4.24 4.32 4.326 4.505 4.669
Change - 10% 3.03% 3.92% 1.89% 0.14% 4.15% 3.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 72.28 75.09 69.84 72.45 57.17 52.41 58.69 64.57
Change - 3.89% -7% 3.74% -21.09% -8.32% 11.98% 10.02%
EPS 1 7.79 5.83 -0.86 7.13 -11.57 -2.294 8.264 8.978
Change - -25.16% -114.75% 929.07% -262.27% 80.17% 460.24% 8.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 108,310 108,458 106,636 106,176 106,417 106,648 106,648 106,648
Announcement Date 6/3/21 6/7/22 6/6/23 6/6/24 6/10/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -39.6x 11x
PBR 1.73x 1.55x
EV / Sales 1.86x 1.76x
Yield 4.76% 4.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
90.91USD
Average target price
122.40USD
Spread / Average Target
+34.64%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SJM Stock
  4. Financials The JM Smucker Company